The purpose of this User Consultation Meeting (UCM) was to bring users and experts in the field of EO (calibration, validation, data merging, algorithm development) and service delivery together to present their detailed requirements
for ocean surface current products and services.
Identify weather - related patterns in data
for ocean surface currents, temperature and winds with special attention given to El Nino.
Not exact matches
This past June scientists at NASA's Stennis Space Center in Mississippi reported that the eyewall's extreme conditions can stir up
ocean currents 300 feet below the
surface, disrupting sediment and organisms on the seafloor
for as long as a week after the storm subsides.
Balance time
for those
surface layers is short, but
for the deep
ocean, CO2 doesn't diffuse but is gradually carried there by slow moving
ocean currents, these may take on the order of a thousand years to complete.
The
surface heat capacity C (j = 0) was set to the equivalent of a global layer of water 50 m deep (which would be a layer ~ 70 m thick over the
oceans) plus 70 % of the atmosphere, the latent heat of vaporization corresponding to a 20 % increase in water vapor per 3 K warming (linearized
for current conditions), and a little land
surface; expressed as W * yr per m ^ 2 * K (a convenient unit), I got about 7.093.
As the area / volume ratio
for the NH parts of the
oceans is practically the same as
for the SH, the
surface heating (W / m2) must be larger in the NH parts, within the constraints of heat exchange via
ocean and air
currents (and partly by the difference in warming area in the tropics vs. the cooling areas in the higher latitudes)...
In the case of
oceans the energy does penetrate the
surface layers and is often carried away
for eventual release elsewhere, depending on the
ocean currents.
In the case of
oceans the energy does penetrate the
surface layers and is often carried away
for eventual release elsewhere and at another time, depending on the
ocean currents and other internal oceanic mechanisms such as the flow of the Thermohaline Circulation with a period of more than 800 years
for a full circuit.
For example, atmospheric carbon dioxide grew by approximately 30 % during the transition from the most recent cold glacial period, about 20,000 years ago, to the
current warm interglacial period; the corresponding rate of decrease in
surface ocean pH, driven by geological processes, was approximately 50 times slower than the
current rate driven largely by fossil fuel burning.
For short term (ocean surface, existing biosphere) that is about 3 ppmv / °C, for longer term (including increasing biosphere area, changes in ocean currents) the ratio is about 8 ppmv /
For short term (
ocean surface, existing biosphere) that is about 3 ppmv / °C,
for longer term (including increasing biosphere area, changes in ocean currents) the ratio is about 8 ppmv /
for longer term (including increasing biosphere area, changes in
ocean currents) the ratio is about 8 ppmv / °C.
Adapted
for Australian
oceans, the model simulates the effect of climate in the 2060s on temperature and
currents in the warm pool, a tuna habitat defined by warmer
surface water.
Using an
ocean circulation model
for the shelf, the authors find that
surface temperatures may increase by 0.5 to 2.0 °C, seasonal
surface salinity may drop by up to 2 PSS in some areas, and that Haida Eddies will strengthen, as will the Vancouver Island Coastal
Current and freshwater discharges into coastal waters.
Climate models are like weather models
for the atmosphere and land, except they have to additionally predict the
ocean currents, sea - ice changes, include seasonal vegetation effects, possibly even predict vegetation changes, include aerosols and possibly atmospheric chemistry, so they are not like weather models after all, except
for the atmospheric dynamics, land
surface, and cloud / precipitation component.
However,
current forecast systems have limited ability on these timescales because models
for such climate forecasts must take into account complex interactions among the
ocean, atmosphere, and land
surface, as well as processes that can be difficult to represent realistically.
Hence if you increased the partial - pressure of the gas you thereby force more CO2 down to the
oceans in accordance with the partitioning ratio which is understood to be 1:50
for CO2 at the Earth's
current surface temperature.
So how our environmental future plays out now is that as the poles melt, the
ocean heats, and water
surface area increases, atmospheric H2O skyrockets and some time later as the temperature passes through 4 deg C heading
for 5 deg C global temperature rise, the
ocean currents start to stall.
Deep
ocean currents occasionally push through the warm
surface layer in the south eastern Pacific in one of the major areas
for upwelling on the planet.
Sorry Mike, but as I pointed out above, you're ignoring the fast - equilibrium of Henry's law, which sets a fixed partitioning ratio of 1:50
for how much CO2 resides in the atmosphere and
oceans respectively at the
current mean
surface temperature of 15C.
Strong, localized sea
surface temperature anomalies may reveal that an
ocean current, such as the Gulf Stream Current off the east coast of the United States, has veered off its usual path for a time or is stronger or weaker than
current, such as the Gulf Stream
Current off the east coast of the United States, has veered off its usual path for a time or is stronger or weaker than
Current off the east coast of the United States, has veered off its usual path
for a time or is stronger or weaker than usual.
Another presenter at the session, Paul Chang, a project scientist who studies satellite
ocean surface wind data at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Center
for Weather and Climate Prediction in College Park, Md., said that the
current method that is largely used by U.S. scientists in this area of research, known as the Dvorak technique, employs satellite imagery to estimate tropical cyclone intensity but is imprecise and subjective.
Moreover, the scientists called
for continued support of
current and future technologies
for ocean monitoring to minimize observation errors in sea
surface temperature and
ocean heat content.
The world's climate is way too complex... with way too many significant global and regional variables (e.g., solar, volcanic and geologic activity, variations in the strength and path of the jet stream and major
ocean currents, the seasons created by the tilt of the earth, and the concentration of water vapor in the atmosphere, which by the way is many times more effective at holding heat near the
surface of the earth than is carbon dioxide, a non-toxic, trace gas that all plant life must have to survive, and that produce the oxygen that WE need to survive) to consider
for any so - called climate model to generate a reliable and reproducible predictive model.
A powerful pulse of heat that will reinforce the
current weak, mid-
ocean El Nino, lend energy to ridiculously warm Pacific
Ocean sea
surface states, and pave the way
for a long - duration equatorial heat spike.
Tides are responsible
for large changes in
ocean surface height and in
ocean currents that help set the rate at which ice melts.
For example, reductions in seasonal sea ice cover and higher surface temperatures may open up new habitat in polar regions for some important fish species, such as cod, herring, and pollock.128 However, continued presence of cold bottom - water temperatures on the Alaskan continental shelf could limit northward migration into the northern Bering Sea and Chukchi Sea off northwestern Alaska.129, 130 In addition, warming may cause reductions in the abundance of some species, such as pollock, in their current ranges in the Bering Sea131and reduce the health of juvenile sockeye salmon, potentially resulting in decreased overwinter survival.132 If ocean warming continues, it is unlikely that current fishing pressure on pollock can be sustained.133 Higher temperatures are also likely to increase the frequency of early Chinook salmon migrations, making management of the fishery by multiple user groups more challenging.
For example, reductions in seasonal sea ice cover and higher
surface temperatures may open up new habitat in polar regions
for some important fish species, such as cod, herring, and pollock.128 However, continued presence of cold bottom - water temperatures on the Alaskan continental shelf could limit northward migration into the northern Bering Sea and Chukchi Sea off northwestern Alaska.129, 130 In addition, warming may cause reductions in the abundance of some species, such as pollock, in their current ranges in the Bering Sea131and reduce the health of juvenile sockeye salmon, potentially resulting in decreased overwinter survival.132 If ocean warming continues, it is unlikely that current fishing pressure on pollock can be sustained.133 Higher temperatures are also likely to increase the frequency of early Chinook salmon migrations, making management of the fishery by multiple user groups more challenging.
for some important fish species, such as cod, herring, and pollock.128 However, continued presence of cold bottom - water temperatures on the Alaskan continental shelf could limit northward migration into the northern Bering Sea and Chukchi Sea off northwestern Alaska.129, 130 In addition, warming may cause reductions in the abundance of some species, such as pollock, in their
current ranges in the Bering Sea131and reduce the health of juvenile sockeye salmon, potentially resulting in decreased overwinter survival.132 If
ocean warming continues, it is unlikely that
current fishing pressure on pollock can be sustained.133 Higher temperatures are also likely to increase the frequency of early Chinook salmon migrations, making management of the fishery by multiple user groups more challenging.134
QUOTE: «
For the
current average
ocean surface temperature, Henry's law gives ~ 290 μatm (= ppmv minus % water vapor).
Therefore, the enhanced
ocean heat sink is the main cause
for the
current slowing in
surface warming.
The increase is currently ~ 110 μatm (~ ppmv) above equilibrium
for the
current average
ocean surface temperature.
It consists of cold, deepwater
currents starting near the poles and traveling long distances along the bottom of the
ocean before
surfacing again, with important consequences
for the climate.
Threats to marine biodiversity in the U.S. are the same as those
for most of the world: overexploitation of living resources; reduced water quality; coastal development; shipping; invasive species; rising temperature and concentrations of carbon dioxide in the
surface ocean, and other changes that may be consequences of global change, including shifting
currents; increased number and size of hypoxic or anoxic areas; and increased number and duration of harmful algal blooms.
The
ocean surface is not level, but «lumpy»
for various reasons; local gravity, density (temperature, salinity), air pressure,
currents, wind, outflow from rivers, rotation of the Earth, tides, changes in Moon's orbit,
ocean cycles such as the Pacific Oscillation, North Atlantic Oscillation, and a few others I can't remember just now.
The real reasons
for climate changes are uneven solar radiation, terrestrial precession (that is, axis gyration), instability of oceanic
currents, regular salinity fluctuations of the Arctic
Ocean surface waters, etc..
Features of the model described here include the following: (1) tripolar grid to resolve the Arctic
Ocean without polar filtering, (2) partial bottom step representation of topography to better represent topographically influenced advective and wave processes, (3) more accurate equation of state, (4) three - dimensional flux limited tracer advection to reduce overshoots and undershoots, (5) incorporation of regional climatological variability in shortwave penetration, (6) neutral physics parameterization for representation of the pathways of tracer transport, (7) staggered time stepping for tracer conservation and numerical efficiency, (8) anisotropic horizontal viscosities for representation of equatorial currents, (9) parameterization of exchange with marginal seas, (10) incorporation of a free surface that accommodates a dynamic ice model and wave propagation, (11) transport of water across the ocean free surface to eliminate unphysical «virtual tracer flux» methods, (12) parameterization of tidal mixing on continental she
Ocean without polar filtering, (2) partial bottom step representation of topography to better represent topographically influenced advective and wave processes, (3) more accurate equation of state, (4) three - dimensional flux limited tracer advection to reduce overshoots and undershoots, (5) incorporation of regional climatological variability in shortwave penetration, (6) neutral physics parameterization
for representation of the pathways of tracer transport, (7) staggered time stepping
for tracer conservation and numerical efficiency, (8) anisotropic horizontal viscosities
for representation of equatorial
currents, (9) parameterization of exchange with marginal seas, (10) incorporation of a free
surface that accommodates a dynamic ice model and wave propagation, (11) transport of water across the
ocean free surface to eliminate unphysical «virtual tracer flux» methods, (12) parameterization of tidal mixing on continental she
ocean free
surface to eliminate unphysical «virtual tracer flux» methods, (12) parameterization of tidal mixing on continental shelves.