Sentences with phrase «for prediction accuracy»

I think what this point highlights is that without an a priori belief about the relationship between time from prediction and an expected confidence interval for prediction accuracy, it's very hard to know where the finish line is in this kind of an evaluation.

Not exact matches

It was the middle of primary season, a time when the web is thick with political commentary, but Poblano's writing stood out for its sophisticated treatment of data and the accuracy of its predictions.

There is a prediction market at the University of Iowa called Iowa Electronic Markets that has an ongoing track record for accuracy and serves mainly as a proof of concept for students.

Joint lead author Professor Manfred Kayser from Erasmus MC said: «Besides substantially increasing our understanding of human pigmentation genetics in general, finding these new hair colour genes is also important for further increasing the accuracy of hair colour prediction from DNA traces in future forensic applications, which can help to find unknown perpetrators of crime.»

Researchers also evaluated the accuracy of existing climate model predictions for that region.

His research has been valuable to the Laboratory's nuclear - test - detection satellite programs, and his work is significantly increasing the accuracy of predictions for the behavior of energetic electrons from high - altitude nuclear explosions.

We constructed classifiers to distinguish between the baseline and post-intervention states (Supplementary Methods) and achieved prediction accuracies of 96 % for the vacation effect (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, or AUROC, equal to 0.98) and 85 % for the meditation effect (AUROC = 0.93; Supplementary Figure S1), supporting the potential for blood - based wellness biomarkers.

For eukaryotic proteins (excluding plant sequences) an overall prediction accuracy of 66 % for four locations was achieved, with 33 % of the sequences being predicted with an accuracy of 82 % or bettFor eukaryotic proteins (excluding plant sequences) an overall prediction accuracy of 66 % for four locations was achieved, with 33 % of the sequences being predicted with an accuracy of 82 % or bettfor four locations was achieved, with 33 % of the sequences being predicted with an accuracy of 82 % or better.

Finally, we have validated the accuracy of cuRRBS predictions for single and double enzyme digestions using two independent experimental datasets.

For three possible subcellular locations in prokaryotic organisms a prediction accuracy of 81 % can be achieved.

For maximum accuracy, height must be considered when making such predictions.

More specifically, we examine video lessons of preservice science teachers and observe for instances of science content accuracy / inaccuracy, prediction and hypothesis testing, and number, rate, and frequency of science questions promoting deep thinking.

For example you can see each student's current work, average growth, effort and accuracy scores, and predictions of student outcomes based on their current progress.

Although the combination of measures improves classification accuracy in a prediction model, in practice, it is difficult to discern the combination of cut scores and patterns of performance that would identify a student as at risk for not passing the criterion measure.

The forecast of the order time delay data of CSI 300 index and the comparative analysis of the SVR model, GA - SVR and the WD - GA - SVR model predictions indicate that the WD - GA - SVR model significantly improve the robustness of the prediction model and forecast accuracy, can provide a reference for policy makers and investors.

Accuracy would be less if the prediction were for the next hour, and if one would just have to make a forecast for the next day, merely by looking out of the window, a substantial number of people on any given day would be wrong.

For weather predictions, accuracy disappears within a few weeks — but for ocean forecasts, accuracy seems to have decadal scale accuracy — and when you go to climate forcing effects, the timescale moves toward centuries, with the big uncertainties being ice sheet dynamics, changes in ocean circulation and the biosphere responFor weather predictions, accuracy disappears within a few weeks — but for ocean forecasts, accuracy seems to have decadal scale accuracy — and when you go to climate forcing effects, the timescale moves toward centuries, with the big uncertainties being ice sheet dynamics, changes in ocean circulation and the biosphere responfor ocean forecasts, accuracy seems to have decadal scale accuracy — and when you go to climate forcing effects, the timescale moves toward centuries, with the big uncertainties being ice sheet dynamics, changes in ocean circulation and the biosphere response.

Surely it is not beyond the wit of man to devise some sort rating system whereby points are awarded for distance from board, and closeness to bullseye, reflecting advance prediction and spatio - temporal accuracy?

By 2025 it may be possible to evaluate the accuracies of all the model predictions for 2012 — 2025, and reach a reasonable conclusion as to which model (s) might most be relied upon for planning the subsequent 75 years.

Re # 24 Terry: My prediction for the NAS panel is that Mann is out on a limb given the other presentations — that 0.2 C accuracy comment will come back to bite him (as will his virtual non-attendance).

If the accuracy you require is, for instance, that a national peak oil model must predict the date of the peak within several months and be precise to the nearest 1,000 bbl / day, then indeed all predictions have failed and will continue to do so.

Even if we only got fossil fuel predictions right to 20 - 30 % accuracy (for the peak height) and 20 - 30 years (for timing), that would be a huge improvement on the enormous spread of future scenarios currently on the table via the SRES and RCP exercises.

Why should that not be the FIRST thing you ask for, and as good a guide as any to the likely accuracy of their present prediction?

Joshua: If there was no prediction for the first 12 years of the 21rst century, then it seems a bit misleading, in 2012, to say that we do not have a demonstrated record of accuracy for predictions of average temperature change for the 21rst century, or through 2050, or even through 2025.

It peaked when someone asked about the accuracy of his warmer and drier prediction for Alberta.

I'll admit that dimethysulphide and iodocompounds are poor reaches for straws, I don't know who dreamed that up, more emphasis should be made on natural mineral, sea - salt, and gas - to - particle aerosols)-- Very poor oversimplified cloud modeling (equating all clouds to a single W / m2 forcing parameter)-- Accuracy of model predictions (they present a juicy graph of a 1988 model and observed temps.

Given the large uncertainties in the model input parameters as documented in Chapter 8 of the IPCC FAR 2007, the fall in the effective global temperature as published by the Hadley Centre and GSS for 2007/2008, which was not predicted by the models, why are there no definitive studies being made of other model predictions to verify their accuracy?

One of the interesting things with economics is that the cycle of prediction to reality is much shorter for climate science, so we are better able evaluate the accuracy of predictions.

Next - generation models for estimating extinction risks should incorporate these factors in order to increase biological realism and therefore the accuracy of future predictions.»

13) The inability of climate models to adequately reproduce the recent states and trends of Arctic sea ice diminishes confidence in their accuracy for making future climate predictions.

A set of legal scholars polled for their predictions on SCOTUS outcomes came in with an accuracy of 59 %, 4 but it is well known that in the modern Court most cases are reversed.

In all, they submitted 775 predictions and the computer won hands down, with Case Cruncher getting an accuracy rate of 86.6 %, compared with 66.3 % for the lawyers.

Of course, once it surfaces, we will notify you on our prediction accuracy and eventually review the devices for your pleasure

A prediction by a sci - fi writer in 1999 is going viral for its frightening level of accuracy.