«This research contributes to our knowledge of climate change and can inform models used
for predictions of future climate change.»
Not exact matches
On the broader implications
of the findings and outlook, Dr Hossaini said: «Ozone is an important
climate gas and
changes to its abundance, including due to the increasing influence
of dichloromethane, could be relevant
for refining
future climate predictions.
To get some idea
of what
climate change will likely mean
for the reefs, the World Heritage Centre asked coral experts at NOAA and elsewhere to produce what they claim is a first
of its kind study «that scientifically quantifies the scale
of the issue, makes a
prediction of where the
future lies, and indicates effects up to the level
of individual sites,» says Fanny Douvere, marine program coordinator at the center.
But he is hopeful
for the
future of satellite - based
prediction — even as it becomes a greater necessity in a
changing climate and globalized world.
By looking at the
climate changes that took place thousands
of years ago, we can improve
predictions for future climate.
«In the face
of natural variability and complexity, the consequences
of change in any single factor,
for example greenhouse gas emissions, can not readily be isolated, and
prediction becomes difficult... Scientific uncertainties continue to limit our ability to make objective, quantitative determinations regarding the human role in recent
climate change, or the degree and consequence
of future change.»
The extra data spanning many thousands
of years that this study uncovers will go a long way to matching model projections with past observations, helping scientists identify the most accurate models
for making
predictions of future climate change.
Since this goes along with an increasing greenhouse effect and a further global warming, a better understanding
of the carbon cycle is
of great importance
for all
future climate change predictions.
(Paper abstract)
Climate models may underestimate heat stored in ground General circulation models (GCMs), the primary tool for estimating the magnitude of future climate change, rely on realistic inputs to generate accurate predi
Climate models may underestimate heat stored in ground General circulation models (GCMs), the primary tool
for estimating the magnitude
of future climate change, rely on realistic inputs to generate accurate predi
climate change, rely on realistic inputs to generate accurate
predictions.
There has been no shortage
of predictions for how the
future will look as the
climate changes.
Clearly, the causes
of climate change over the last millennium have very little to do with attribution
of modern warming, or
for future prediction.
To equate
climate models with «bad» science must be understood to be an attempt to undermine any scientific justification
for climate change policies because models are needed to make
predictions about the
future states
of complex systems.
For a useful critique
of model - starting - points which bear no relation to the real - world, see: D. Koutsoyiannis et al (2008) «On the credibility
of climate predictions» in Hydrological Sciences 53 (4) August 2008 671-684, who conclude that the GCM models defy normal assessments
of validity and should not be relied upon to predict
future climate change.
• The readiness
of the nation to predict and avoid public and occupational health problems caused by heat waves and severe storms • Characterization and quantification
of relationships between
climate variability, health outcomes, and the main determinants
of vulnerability within and between populations • Development
of reliable methods to connect
climate - related
changes in food systems and water supplies to health under different conditions •
Prediction of future risks in response to
climate change scenarios and
of reductions in the baseline level
of morbidity, mortality, or vulnerability • Identification
of the available resources, limitations
of, and potential actions by the current U.S. health care system to prevent, prepare
for, and respond to
climate - related health hazards and to build adaptive capacity among vulnerable segments
of the U.S. population
The reason I wondered about a
prediction, is that in the film they talk about the past
climate changes, if they are so certain that their interpretation on past
climate is correct
for the past, then sureley a
prediction for the
future would be a good test
of their interpretation.
«The large - scale winds would look better because the release
of latent heat drives a lot
of those winds, and
climate sensitivity would be better constrained because not only is the base state highly dependent on convective parameterization but the model
predictions for future climate change are also very sensitive to that as well.»
-- Muller believes humans are
changing climate with CO2 emissions — humans have been responsible
for «most»
of a 0.4 C warming since 1957, almost none
of the warming before then — IPCC is in trouble due to sloppy science, exaggerated
predictions; chairman will have to resign — the «Climategate» mails were not «hacked» — they were «leaked» by an insider — due to «hide the decline» deception, Muller will not read any
future papers by Michael Mann — there has been no increase in hurricanes or tornadoes due to global warming — automobiles are insignificant in overall picture — China is the major CO2 producer, considerably more than USA today — # 1 priority
for China is growth
of economy — global warming is not considered important — China CO2 efficiency (GDP per ton CO2) is around one - fourth
of USA today, has much room
for improvement — China growth will make per capita CO2 emissions at same level as USA today by year 2040 — if it is «not profitable» it is «not sustainable» — US energy
future depends on shale gas
for automobiles; hydrogen will not be a factor — nor will electric cars, due to high cost — Muller is upbeat on nuclear (this was recorded pre-Fukushima)-- there has been no warming in the USA — Muller was not convinced
of Hansen's GISS temperature record; hopes BEST will provide a better record.
In this final section, I will try to make estimates
of what subcap methane emissions may mean
for future climate change; more as a speculative basis
for discussion rather than an authoritative
prediction.
In an article on «the perils
of confirmation bias,» published
for the Global Warming Policy Foundation (a group firmly opposed to policies that counteract
climate change), Ridley suggested that «governments should fund groups that intend to explore alternative hypotheses about the likely
future of climate as well as those that explore the dangerous man - made
climate change prediction.»
A rational public and private sector response to the threat
of storm damage in a
changing climate must therefore acknowledge scientific uncertainties that are likely to persist beyond the time at which decisions will need to be made, focus more on the risks and benefits
of planning
for the worst case scenarios, and recognize that the combination
of societal trends and the most confident aspects
of climate change predictions makes
future economic impacts substantially more likely than does either one alone.
A small minority
of predictions for future climate were in the cooling direction, these were outnumbered by
predictions of no
change and far more still that predicted warming.
Future warming is likely to be on the high end
of predictions says Kevin Trenberth
of the National Center
for Atmospheric Research who has been a lead author
for the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change (IPCC).
The coal and oil companies, as well as the oil - producing nations, argue that the computerized
climate models are crude and approximate, incomplete, inconclusive, and so flawed that their
predictions of future climate change can not be used as a basis
for taking action.
Indeed, working with
predictions for future temperature increases and glacier melt rates generated by ten separate global
climate models — all of which are also used by the Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change - the team have concluded that these smaller ice sources will contribute around 12 centimetres to world sea - level increases over the remainder of the century, with this likely to have catastrophic consequences for numerous natural habitats as well as for hundreds of thousands of
climate models — all
of which are also used by the Intergovernmental Panel
of Climate Change - the team have concluded that these smaller ice sources will contribute around 12 centimetres to world sea - level increases over the remainder of the century, with this likely to have catastrophic consequences for numerous natural habitats as well as for hundreds of thousands of
Climate Change - the team have concluded that these smaller ice sources will contribute around 12 centimetres to world sea - level increases over the remainder
of the century, with this likely to have catastrophic consequences
for numerous natural habitats as well as
for hundreds
of thousands
of people.