The Royals were the only team to cash
for public bettors, winning 80 games and hitting over 75.5 wins.
It's been an up - and - down start to the MLB season
for public bettors.
9 of the 12 games in action on Thursday night are seeing > 75 % of bets on the Over, but that could spell doom
for public bettors.
Last week was solid
for public bettors as the most lopsided bet teams went 4 - 2.
A nice win
for public bettors.
It's been a solid start
for public bettors this season — teams closing with at least 70 % of tickets have gone 67 - 50 ATS.
This was a rare nice win
for public bettors this tourney as 59 % of tickets took USC.
The Cowboys led 49 - 14 at halftime and easily won 59 - 21, starting off a solid day
for public bettors.
Hard to resist
for public bettors.
Unfortunately
for these public bettors, the Warriors were actually tied with the Chicago Bulls for the best under record (50 - 32).
It doesn't get much more attractive than
that for a public bettor.
Not exact matches
These artificially inflated lines have historically created value
for opportunistic contrarian
bettors since they're getting a better line purely based on the
public perception.
12/22/11 — Large NFL Home Underdogs Provide Late Season Value 12/14/11 — College Football Bowl Season 70/30 Betting System 12/07/11 — In the 13th Week He Rose Again:
Public Bettors Back on Tebow 11/30/11 — Identifying False Line Moves 11/16/11 — How to Win with Steam Moves 11/09/11 — Optimum Levels
for Betting Against the
Public 11/02/11 — Boston Bruins Pounding the
Public 10/19/11 — The Tim Tebow Effect 10/12/11 —
Public Chasing Their Way to Even in 2011 10/05 / 11 — The
Public's Love / Hate Relationship with the 2011 Buffalo Bills
The NFL attracts a large number of «square» or «
public»
bettors, and these largely uninformed individuals can help create artificial line value
for sharp
bettors.
Sportsbooks know they'll receive
public money on those two teams regardless of the line, and those shaded lines have provided value
for opportunistic contrarian
bettors.
For value - minded sports
bettors, using betting trends data and line - movement to identify games that are shaded solely due to
public money, or the expectation of
public money, will help you get the «best of the number» and increase your overall winning percentage.
If McGregor is able to pull off the upset,
public bettors will be rewarded with a massive plus - money payout, which would be a nightmare
for the books.
The Jets are a favorite
for casual
bettors, and the
public is likely to swallow the points on the road against Oakland in their home opener.
Bettors can find a number of useful articles on our College Football blog page, and we'd recommend visiting our free NCAAF odds page throughout bowl season
for the latest odds and
public betting trends.
Just like McGregor now, Hillary Clinton's odds skyrocketed in the final weeks and days before November 8th thanks to an influx of
public betting, which created great value
for bettors to go against the grain and take a shot on Trump at an inflated number.
Bettors should be sure to bookmark our free NBA odds page
for the latest odds and
public betting trends.
Due to increased
public attention, bowl games provide opportunities
for contrarian
bettors to find extra value when betting against the
public.
You are also getting good numbers because
public perception often inflates lines, giving brave contrarian
bettors an extra half point or full point
for free.
Although sharper
bettors may often place larger bets on the dogs, it will be beneficial in the long run
for dogs to hit at a higher rate in order to combat the overwhelming
public support on favorites.
Public perception, bolstered by conventional wisdom and media coverage, led
bettors to assume that «stay» would win, which provided added value
for those brave enough to go against the grain and take «leave» at plus money.
Individual games will lead to profits and losses
for market participants (
bettors, the betting
public in general, and the sportsbooks), but the long - term will result in a 4.5 % profit margin
for the sportsbooks.
Since there's limited
public money in the marketplace, sharp
bettors are mainly responsible
for moving lines.
This altered
public perception can create value
for opportunistic contrarian
bettors.
While the current data shows that sharp and
public bettors are lining up on different sides, there's still plenty of time
for that to change, especially if this line gets to Philadelphia +3 and inspires buyback as limits continue to increase.
For spread
bettors, fading the
public produced mixed results in yesterday's games.
For that reason,
bettors need to identify heavily bet games with extreme levels of
public betting when backing contrarian favorites.
Overs: 38 - 25 (just 4 - 8 since Round of 32 when betting tickets
for O / U really increase) Majority of
public bettors has been on the Over in 60 of 64 games
We do not recommend betting against every single ranked team, but knowing that these rankings can artificially inflate the line based on
public perception can help add value
for sharp
bettors.
Lopsided
public betting action causes bloated moneylines, leaving a lot of money on the table
for bettors willing to go against the grain and taking the other side.
This influx of
public money creates value
for bettors looking to fade the
public.
That's good news
for all of the
public bettors hammering Golden State this evening.
NHL
bettors should be sure to bookmark our free NHL odds page
for the latest lines,
public betting trends, injury updates, futures and more.
Casual
bettors love betting favorites and overs, so sportsbooks will shade their opening lines to account
for the inevitable influx of
public money.
In short, betting against the
public continues to be one of the simplest ways
for MLB
bettors to build their bankroll.
Over the past decade, it has become far easier
for casual sports
bettors to access information which means merely betting against the
public isn't as profitable as it once was.
Money continues to pour in on both sides, with the sharps matching the
public bettors dollar
for dollar.»
For over a decade, the team at Sports Insights has gone to great lengths to conclusively prove that betting against the public will produce positive returns for sports betto
For over a decade, the team at Sports Insights has gone to great lengths to conclusively prove that betting against the
public will produce positive returns
for sports betto
for sports
bettors.
The other way
bettors can easily identify sharp money is by looking
for reverse line movement, which is when a line moves against our
public betting percentages.
This season has seen historically high levels of
public support
for AL teams during interleague play, and contrarian
bettors can exploit this tendency by backing NL ball clubs.
Most oddsmakers know which games will take one - sided
public betting, so they will shade their opening lines to account
for dull
bettors racing to the window like drunkards (or myself) racing to the bar at last call.
We believed that oddsmakers would shade their lines to account
for that
public betting, which would create value
for opportunistic
bettors — especially when the volume ticks up in the playoffs.
With oddsmakers adjusting
for injuries and
public bettors hammering the home chalk, the line has moved from MIA -7 to MIA -10.
Although betting against the
public produced a winning record
for second half
bettors, it was still well below the 52.38 % break - even point.
It will be interesting to see whether this higher volume impacts the value of betting against the
public, but regardless there are several profitable strategies
for contrarian
bettors to implement.
After seeing that some of our traditional contrarian strategies have had mixed results
for second half
bettors, we believed that we could create an excellent halftime betting system by capitalizing on
public perception.