PS:
for Sea Ice Volume history from 1948 to 2004 clearly showing the 60 - year Cycle, see http://psc.apl.washington.edu/zhang/IDAO/retro.html#NAO [ignore the mid-1960's Ice peak — it is from 3 volcanos]
The maximum
for sea ice volume was reached during April.
Right now, the trend
for sea ice volume is down.
Not exact matches
«The autumn
volume of the
sea ice (as opposed to the extent) is still close to its minimum record,» Robert Meisner, spokesman
for European Space Agency, said yesterday.
The melting of a rather small
ice volume on East Antarctica's shore could trigger a persistent
ice discharge into the ocean, resulting in unstoppable
sea - level rise
for thousands of years to come.
In a study published in the actual
volume of Nature Communications, geo - and climate researchers at the Alfred - Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre
for Polar - and Marine Research (AWI) show that, in the course of our planet's history, summertime
sea ice was to be found in the central Arctic in periods characterised by higher global temperatures — but less CO2 — than today.
But the large
volumes of data on Arctic
sea and land
ice that IceBridge has collected during its nine years of operations there have also enabled scientific discoveries ranging from the first map showing what parts of the bottom of the massive Greenland Ice Sheet are thawed to improvements in snowfall accumulation models for all of Greenla
ice that IceBridge has collected during its nine years of operations there have also enabled scientific discoveries ranging from the first map showing what parts of the bottom of the massive Greenland
Ice Sheet are thawed to improvements in snowfall accumulation models for all of Greenla
Ice Sheet are thawed to improvements in snowfall accumulation models
for all of Greenland.
To understand
sea - level change means understanding not only the transfer of land
ice into the ocean, but also,
for example, how the gravitational field of the Earth changes as inconceivably large water
volumes shift around the planet.
Anderson, J.B., Shipp, S.S., Bartek, L.R., and Reid, D.E., 1992, Evidence
for a grounded
ice sheet on the Ross
Sea continental shelf during the late Pleistocene and preliminary paleodrainage reconstruction: in Elliot, D.H. ed., Contributions to Antarctic Research III, Antarctic Research Series,
Volume 57, American Geophysical Union, Washington, D.C., p. 39 - 62.
According to the latest Piomas data, a combination of the smallest
sea ice extent and the second - thinnest
ice cover on record puts total
volume of
sea ice in November 2016 at a record low
for this time of year.
The
volume of
sea ice left at the end of the summer melt season seems to vary more from year to year than had perhaps been previously appreciated; after declining
for several years,
sea ice volume shot up after the unusually cool summer of 2013, the data revealed.
Writing in Nature Climate Change, two scientists from the Potsdam Institute
for Climate Impact Research (PIK) say the melting of quite a small
volume of
ice on the East Antarctic shore could ultimately trigger a discharge of
ice into the ocean which would result in unstoppable
sea - level rise
for thousands of years ahead.
Global warming induced by increasing CO2 will cause
ice to melt and hence
sea level to rise as the global
volume of
ice moves toward the quasi-equilibrium amount that exists
for a given global temperature [53].
Meanwhile, in the Arctic,
sea ice volume is at a record low
for the time of year according to PIOMAS.
So does it make sense to extrapolate
sea ice volume for prediction?
And, the post looked at possibilities
for future
sea ice area and
volume, but not
for extent.
With error bars provided, we can use the PIOMAS
ice volume time series as a proxy record
for reality and compare it against
sea -
ice simulations in global climate models.
Since the
volume of
ice at risk under BAU is within a factor of two of the
volume of
ice at risk during a deglaciation under orbital forcing, while the forcing is much more rapidly applied under BAU, looking at
sea level rise rates in the paleo - record might actually be considered a search
for lower limits on what to expect if reticence did not run so strongly in our approach.
Whether or not this is the case
for sea ice extent or
volume is an open question.
Global climate model projections (in CMIP3 at least) appear to underestimate
sea ice extent losses with respect to observations, though this is not universally true
for all models and some of them actually have ensemble spreads that are compatible with PIOMAS
ice volume estimates and satellite observations of
sea ice extent.
Ice volume, the product of sea ice area and thickness, is a measure for the total loss in sea ice and the total amount of energy involved in melting the i
Ice volume, the product of
sea ice area and thickness, is a measure for the total loss in sea ice and the total amount of energy involved in melting the i
ice area and thickness, is a measure
for the total loss in
sea ice and the total amount of energy involved in melting the i
ice and the total amount of energy involved in melting the
iceice.
Hence, in summary, I find that
volume and extent both matter
for the healthiness of the
sea ice.
Either the OP is FOS, or we're likely in
for a HUGE increase in
sea ice volume for September.
So, I was curious about your recent paper and whether there was any discussion of changes in the THC poleward of the GIS shelf vs the data from the RAPID program line located at 26.5 N. With the decline in minimum extent and
volume of
sea -
ice, one might expect to see more THC sinking into the Arctic Ocean, with consequences
for both climate and weather.
The main issue is that
sea ice is fresher than
sea water (has less salt), and since salty water is more dense (1028 kg / m3) than fresher water (1004 kg / m3
for 5 psu), the
volume of
sea water displaced by the
ice is slightly less than the
volume of the
ice if it melted.
For instance, when the first working group's volume was released in 2007, researchers criticized it for failing to include in its sea - level projections the contributions from melting ice sheets in West Antarctica and Greenla
For instance, when the first working group's
volume was released in 2007, researchers criticized it
for failing to include in its sea - level projections the contributions from melting ice sheets in West Antarctica and Greenla
for failing to include in its
sea - level projections the contributions from melting
ice sheets in West Antarctica and Greenland.
There has been a lot of discussion over the past few years on the use of
sea ice volume as a better index than
sea ice extent
for use in Outlooks.
Klazes (Public), 3.6 (95 % confidence interval of + / - 0.9), Statistical September extent is predicted using an estimated minimum value of the PIOMAS arctic
sea ice volume and a simple model
for volume - extent relationship.
Using new data from CryoSat - 2 validated with in situ data, they generate estimates of
ice volume for the winters of 2010/11 and 2011/12 and compare these data with current estimates from the University of Washington team of
sea ice hindcasts (PIOMAS) and earlier (2003 — 8) estimates from the ICESat mission.
For example, let's say that evidence convinced me (in a way that I wasn't convinced previously) that all recent changes in land surface temperatures and
sea surface temperatures and atmospheric temperatures and deep
sea temperatures and
sea ice extent and
sea ice volume and
sea ice density and moisture content in the air and cloud coverage and rainfall and measures of extreme weather were all directly tied to internal natural variability, and that I can now see that as the result of a statistical modeling of the trends as associated with natural phenomena.
They found that 2017 tied 2012
for the lowest measured Arctic
sea ice volume on record, though 2012 remains the year with the lowest summer minimum
volume.
- What percentage of Arctic
sea ice loss /
ice volume loss is attributable to warm currents entering, apparently
for the first time, a decade or so ago into the Arctic?
Arctic
sea ice volume, area, and extent have been in long - term decline
for decades, and this decline has accelerated over the past 5 years.
7 December 2016... Carbon Brief (Contributed): Record low
volume highlights exceptional year
for Arctic
sea ice
280 Though I can not find any literature on equatorial warming triggering reorganization
for the D - O events, there are reports,
for the glacial - interglacial transition, that Pacific
sea surface temperatures warmed 3,000 years before changes in
ice volumes.
The mean
ice concentration anomaly
for June 2013 is 0.9 x 106 square kilometers greater than June 2012, however Arctic
sea ice thicknesses and
volumes continue to remain the lowest on record.
«In fact, the September
sea ice volume is already down 75 % with a trend to zero by September 2016, suggests that the Arctic is heading
for complete meltdown, which would be a planetary catastrophe,» Ibid.
For example Arctic
Sea Ice volume and extent has not dramatically declined this year as compared to the last few more recent years.
The PIOMAS Arctic
sea ice volume numbers
for January 2017 have just been published.
For everyone who did not monitor the Polar sat pictures, the regular Mid-April clouding over of most of the Arctic Ocean has happened, that was and is good news, it is a slow starter, but from a second lowest maximum volume, sea ice needs all the good news it can get, which will likely not come until mid June onwards, for a little whi
For everyone who did not monitor the Polar sat pictures, the regular Mid-April clouding over of most of the Arctic Ocean has happened, that was and is good news, it is a slow starter, but from a second lowest maximum
volume,
sea ice needs all the good news it can get, which will likely not come until mid June onwards,
for a little whi
for a little while.
All of these characteristics (except
for the ocean temperature) have been used in SAR and TAR IPCC (Houghton et al. 1996; 2001) reports
for model - data inter-comparison: we considered as tolerable the following intervals
for the annual means of the following climate characteristics which encompass corresponding empirical estimates: global SAT 13.1 — 14.1 °C (Jones et al. 1999); area of
sea ice in the Northern Hemisphere 6 — 14 mil km2 and in the Southern Hemisphere 6 — 18 mil km2 (Cavalieri et al. 2003); total precipitation rate 2.45 — 3.05 mm / day (Legates 1995); maximum Atlantic northward heat transport 0.5 — 1.5 PW (Ganachaud and Wunsch 2003); maximum of North Atlantic meridional overturning stream function 15 — 25 Sv (Talley et al. 2003),
volume averaged ocean temperature 3 — 5 °C (Levitus 1982).
Tied
for fourth lowest
sea ice extent, in a three - way tie
for lowest
sea ice volume, the fastest one month
sea ice loss
for the date, and unusual Arctic cyclone activity affecting the decayed
ice of the polar regions, focus just on the lake too trivializes what's happening in a region the size of the Arctic Ocean.
Maslowski's recent, peer - reviewed work (Maslowski W., Clement Kinney J., Higgins M., Roberts A. (2012) «The Future of Arctic
Sea Ice», The Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences, 40: 625 - 654) emphasizes «the need for detailed analyses of changes in sea ice thickness and volume to determine the actual rate of melt of Arctic sea ice&raqu
Sea Ice», The Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences, 40: 625 - 654) emphasizes «the need for detailed analyses of changes in sea ice thickness and volume to determine the actual rate of melt of Arctic sea ice&raqu
Ice», The Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences, 40: 625 - 654) emphasizes «the need
for detailed analyses of changes in
sea ice thickness and volume to determine the actual rate of melt of Arctic sea ice&raqu
sea ice thickness and volume to determine the actual rate of melt of Arctic sea ice&raqu
ice thickness and
volume to determine the actual rate of melt of Arctic
sea ice&raqu
sea ice&raqu
ice».
Global warming induced by increasing CO2 will cause
ice to melt and hence
sea level to rise as the global
volume of
ice moves toward the quasi-equilibrium amount that exists
for a given global temperature [53].
Poitou & Bréon do not explain why the
ice pack
volume would be relevant
for the albedo; according to Haas (2005)[47] the changes of the thickness of the
sea ice are small since they are correctly measured by an airborne radio apparatus, only over the Arctic.
You can download the data here and see
for yourself that according to PIOMAS as of end of September 2015
sea ice volume is 1087 km3 lower than 2014, and just 289 km3 higher than 2013, after having been 1223 km3 higher at the end of June.
If these really are the first data relating to the
volume of
ice available to science, then it really is far too early
for researchers to be claiming to be able to put a date on the demise of summer Arctic
sea ice.
To say nothing of the warming trends also noticed in,
for example: * ocean heat content * wasting glaciers * Greenland and West Antarctic
ice sheet mass loss *
sea level rise due to all of the above *
sea surface temperatures * borehole temperatures * troposphere warming (with stratosphere cooling) * Arctic
sea ice reductions in
volume and extent * permafrost thawing * ecosystem shifts involving plants, animals and insects
Reynolds (Public), 4.06 (3.49 - 4.63), Statistical / Heuristic Because the decline in extent is due to increasing ease with which open water can be revealed by declining
volume, a simple method is used to predict September
sea ice extent based on May
sea ice volume for the Arctic Ocean from the PIOMAS model.
For example Japanese skeptic blogger Kirye of KiryeNet tweeted here: «From the standpoint of Arctic
sea ice volume, the melt season hasn't started yet.»