Sentences with phrase «for seasonal forecasts»

The ECMWF atmospheric module is evaluated every day in numerical weather prediction mode, and also each month for the seasonal forecasts.

Type 3 downscaling is applied, for example, for seasonal forecasts where slowly changing anomalies in the surface forcing (such as sea surface temperature) provide real - world information to constrain the downscaling results.

One application for seasonal forecasts would be to make sure that surfing contests are held during periods of good surf.

Is there a need for more accuracy than for seasonal forecasts?

The problems here are no better than for seasonal forecasts of 3 - 6 months, possibly even worse if you want to refine it to months instead of seasons.

So at best this is useful for seasonal forecasts, unless someone is forecasting sea ice extent on longer time scales.

Jason - 3 measurements will also be ingested by Numerical prediction models coupling the atmosphere and the oceans used for seasonal forecasting.

Some of the climate models are now used for seasonal forecasting, for e.g. ENSO.

Attribution depends on simulation models, whose reliability can be tested and if necessary recalibrated using well - established procedures developed for seasonal forecasting.

We employ dynamical models for seasonal forecast because they have capability to resolve and predict details from pan-Arctic to local scales in non-stationary and physically consistent manner.

Note: Given current capabilities for seasonal forecasting of sea ice, we consider this still an experimental forecast.

Section four addresses the potential for seasonal forecasting and section five describes some current international initiatives related to this issue.

Ultimately, this makes it impossible for seasonal forecast models to accurate simulate the dramatic orographic enhancement that occurs in California's mountainous terrain during major storm events.

Not exact matches

He based his forecast on seasonal changes in buying and selling patterns and the fact that large speculators» net long position is now at 445,000 futures contracts, which suggests there is not much space for more buying before the seasonal selling starts.

Instead of waiting for an event to happen, the idea is to incorporate seasonal forecasts, which are done a month or more ahead of time, into the climate models.

The team used real - time seasonal rainfall, temperature and El Niño forecasts, issued at the start of the year, combined with data from active surveillance studies, in a probabilistic model of dengue epidemics to produce robust dengue risk estimates for the entire year.

Eventually, the team hopes to combine their work with that of others into an experimental seasonal forecast that NOAA can release next year, for the first time.

The developed drought - fire models in this study can help to developing a seasonal forecast system for these management strategies.

Fast forward nearly four years later, and an experimental forecast team has put together the first seasonal outlook for tornadoes in the U.S..

The next mega-droughts and subsequent active wildfire seasons for the western U.S. might be predictable a full year in advance, extending well beyond the current seasonal forecast and helping segments of the economy related to agriculture, water management and forestry.

This year, AER's Director of Seasonal Forecasting, Judah Cohen, is calling for colder than average temperatures along much of the east coast and into New England.

I also must point out the failure of Seasonal temperature Forecasts, quite glaring again for this past winter.

John Allen, an associate research scientist at the International Research Institute for Climate and Society at Columbia University, who, with colleagues, came out with the first seasonal tornado forecast last year, expects a below - normal number of tornadoes in the south central U.S.

The forecast scheme for the September sea ice extent is based on a methodology similar to one used for the seasonal prediction of river streamflow.

In collaboration with Ralph, our team at the Met Office Hadley Centre combined techniques from two normally separate areas of climate science — seasonal forecasting and carbon cycle research — to forecast CO2 concentrations for 2016.

Judah Cohen, a climate forecaster at Atmospheric and Environmental Research in Massachusetts, who issues seasonal snowfall forecasts several months in advance for his company's clients, said the relationship between sea ice loss and the Arctic Oscillation is a key area for future research to focus on.

A few climate models have been tested for (and shown) capability in initial value predictions, on time scales from weather forecasting (a few days) to seasonal forecasting (annual).

On Thursday, the Climate Prediction Center (CPC) released its latest seasonal drought forecast for the U.S..

Recognized around the world as a leading source of colour information through seasonal trend forecasts, custom colour development, and palette recommendations for product and corporate identity, Pantone Color Institute partners with global brands to leverage the power, psychology and emotion of colour in their design strategy.

No need to check the weather forecast for our stroll through decades of sunny seasonal offerings, through Vice City and Xtreme Beach Volleyball

Tim Palmer, the head of the Probability and Seasonal Forecasting Division at the European Centre for Medium - Range Weather Forecasts wrote the following in Physics World:

I also must point out the failure of Seasonal temperature Forecasts, quite glaring again for this past winter.

PIOMAS has been run in a forward mode (and hence without data assimilation) to yield seasonal predictions for the sea ice outlook (Zhang et al. 2008) and has also provided input to statistical forecasts (Lindsay et al. 2008) and fully - coupled models.

# 378 Jared... I got some of the numbers for the projections from press releases on the met office site but after a bit of digging all the numbers (and science behind them) can be found via a link at http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/science/creating/monthsahead/seasonal/index.html registration is needed to get the seasonal forecast and the global annual forecasts.

There is a group that has been testing the role that ensembles of GCMs can play in improving seasonal - level forecasts, but I have looked as hard as I can, and I have not found rigorous forecast falsification for multi-annual or multi-decadal forecasts.

Further analysis showed that the absolute monthly maximum / minimum temperature was poorly correlated with that of the previous month, ruling out depeendency in time (this is also true for monthly mean temperature — hence, «seasonal forecasting» is very difficult in this region).

Seasonal forecasts are often made with coupled ocean - atmoaphere models (more like climate models), as opposed to atmosphere - only models for ordinary weather forecasts.

However, a new study by Doblas - Reyes and co-authors at the European Centre for Medium - Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF)-- the «European weather centre» — suggests that by updating the greenhouse conditions with the observed annual mean values, the skill of the seasonal forecasts improve noForecasts (ECMWF)-- the «European weather centre» — suggests that by updating the greenhouse conditions with the observed annual mean values, the skill of the seasonal forecasts improve noforecasts improve noticeably.

As for the Met Office, seasonal forecasts for the UK / Europe have some skill, but it is too small (IMO) to provide useful info.

Case in point, this year's all time high GT seems forgotten in latest seasonal forecasts calling for a colder winter than last year.

Ms Najira said that the Government of Malawi is using climate information to derive resilient designs and to address the impacts of climate change and variability, to plan for disaster risk management and for contingency planning (seasonal forecasts).

Seasonal forecasts support strategic decisions regarding crop cultivar selection and intended acreage for planting.

interestingly, all the seasonal forecasts last March / Apr were for a strong El Nino.

But a paid seasonal forecast for conditions which have not emerged?

In the context of humanitarian aid and disaster preparedness, the Red Cross Climate Centre / IRI have proposed a «Ready - Set - Go» concept for making use of forecasts from weather to seasonal, in which seasonal forecasts are used to begin monitoring of subseasonal and short - range forecasts, update contingency plans, train volunteers, and enable early warning systems («Ready»); sub-monthly forecasts are used to alert volunteers, warn communities («Set»); and, weather forecasts are then used to activate volunteers, distribute instructions to communities, and evacuate if needed («Go»).

For NWP forecasts, model error is not usually so dominant that a reforecast set is needed but for the subseasonal to seasonal range model error is too large to be ignorFor NWP forecasts, model error is not usually so dominant that a reforecast set is needed but for the subseasonal to seasonal range model error is too large to be ignorfor the subseasonal to seasonal range model error is too large to be ignored.

The Bureau's seasonal outlook system for Australia is based on rainfall and temperature forecasts from the POAMA model.

Such targeted «forecasts of opportunity» would represent a departure from the usual practice in seasonal forecasting where skill levels are averaged across all reforecasts for a particular season and start date, and might spawn a substantial research effort needed to properly represent and convey the conditional skill of such forecasts, perhaps in terms of spread - skill relationships.

Exploitation of improved and novel sea ice information for the initialization and evaluation of weekly - to - seasonal probabilistic sea ice forecasting systems.

In much the same way that the seasonal forecasts for the number of hurricanes is determined from a suite of indicators, this seems to be the most reasonable approach for glacier mass balance forecasting.