Not exact matches
The NFL attracts a large number of «
square» or «public»
bettors, and these largely uninformed individuals can help create artificial line value
for sharp
bettors.
This is the time of year when
square bettors flock to sports betting marketplace, making it an ideal time
for sharp
bettors to find value.
Square bettors are prone to betting these games
for one simple reason — they plan on watching the game and they want some sort of vested interest.
In David Purdum's recent article at ESPN Chalk, he reports that large bets by
square bettors taking the short trip from California have been on the Dodgers, but sportsbooks expect sharp money to come in on the Astros
for both game 1 and the series.
Sportsbook.com is renowned
for being a «
square» sportsbook, meaning that it takes low limits and attracts more casual
bettors.
Without any action to get down on (besides the Home Run Derby and Midsummer Classic itself), sharp and
square bettors alike are forced to take a step back, reflect on their first - half performance, re-examine winning and losing strategies and prepare
for the second - half of the season.
That bodes well
for contrarian strategies, particularly when
bettors wait
for square money to artificially inflate the spread.
Square bettors tend to overwhelmingly root
for winning teams and high - scoring games, and sportsbooks account
for these tendencies by shading favorites and overs.
For example, an uninformed (or
square)
bettor is more prone to bet on the favorite regardless of the point spread.
Square bettors are prone to betting these games
for...
Square bettors love rooting
for high - scoring games, which is why the under has historically provided contrarian value.
Sports Insights bases its
Square Plays on its contacts within the industry (including sports books and «sharp»
bettors), actual money bet, and other sources — to get VALUE
for their members.
Bovada, which is well known to
bettors as a very public /
square sportsbook, posted prop bets
for six of the major awards including outstanding series, actor and actress.
Square Plays SportsInsights» «Betting Against the Public» strategy has proven to be very profitable
for baseball
bettors over the past three seasons.
When you say «Oddsmakers are more willing to move the line on a $ 5000 bet from a sharp
bettor than they would
for a $ 25000 bet from a
square.»
Square bettors love to pound the favorite while sharp
bettors would simply wait
for bookmakers to adjust their odds before taking the underdog at an artificially inflated price.
With
square bettors eager to bet on any football game that they can (we tracked ~ 47k bets on the 5 NBA games last night, ~ 40k on the 3 MACtion games), there are more than 60 % of bets on the over
for each of the three games.
Oddsmakers are more willing to move the line on a $ 5000 bet from a sharp
bettor than they would
for a $ 25000 bet from a
square.
Admittedly, Bovada is a
square sportsbook and likely shaded their lines to account
for the influx of over
bettors, but even so it's interesting to see Manning with such lofty expectations.
South Carolina is available as high as +16 at some of the
square sportsbooks, so we would strongly suggest that
bettors shop
for the best line before taking South Carolina as a home «dog.
If you're truly looking
for value betting on Super Bowl futures, don't look
for these trendy teams whose prices are being over-inflated by
square bettors and don't overreact to free agency hype.
In fact, this game provides the perfect example of why
bettors should always shop
for the best line since many
square books (like BetOnline, Bovada and Sportsbook.com) are offering Golden State -5.5, while sharper books (like CRIS and 5Dimes) are currently listing Cleveland +6.
March Madness can be one of the most profitable times of the year
for bettors, both sharp and
square.
Square bettors will tend to gravitate towards big name schools like Florida, so oddsmakers like Sportsbook.com will shade their lines to account
for the inevitable influx of public money.
Square bettors love taking the over; it is more fun to cheer
for points to be scored than hoping each team punts the ball.
Square plays have been great to college football
bettors for the past six seasons.