Sentences with phrase «for storm intensity»

Lin expects that a lot of consensus building will be needed for the storm intensity scale to change.

Almost all of 2017's ACE was crammed into an 8 - week period which truly smashed records for storm intensity / frequency.

BTW, the prediction is for storm intensity to increase due to higher sea surface temperatures (a rather obvious conclusion), frequency is debated.

Not exact matches

While it's hard to say if the punishing number and intensity of storms were due to climate change, climate scientists have now determined — in two separate research efforts — that Hurricane Harvey's record - blasting rains (best measured in feet for much of Houston) were likely amplified by climate change.

(The Saffir - Simpson scale only accounts for windspeed, but precipitation is closely linked to a storm's intensity.)

Irma, the center storm in this image, broke a new record for hurricane intensity by sustaining 185 mph winds for 36 hours.

The best historical analogue for a hurricane that follows NHC's 5 pm EDT Friday track and intensity forecast for Irma may be Hurricane Donna of 1960, which tore through the Florida Keys just northeast of Marathon as a Category 4 storm with 140 mph winds.

No, his despair over sin, and all the more, the more it storms in the passion of expression, whereby without being aware of it in the least he informs against himself when he «never can forgive himself» that he could sin thus (for this sort of talk is pretty nearly the opposite of penitent contrition which prays God for forgiveness)-- this despair is far from being a characteristic of the good, rather it is a more intensive characterization of sin, the intensity of which is a deeper sinking into sin.

The silver: coming in a close second for gaffe - master of the week is George Osborne, whose failed economic policies have created a political storm of daunting intensity.

«The results emphasise yet again that storm impacts are highly sensitive to factors other than just simply intensity,» says Greg Holland of the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colorado.

Although a winter storm had been forecast, few were prepared for the intensity of the post-Christmas storm, which included a phenomenon known as thundersnow in some areas, shut down railways and left thousands stranded at airports across the region.

Scientists working to improve storm intensity forecasting have identified a more accurate means of predicting a hurricane's strength as it approaches landfall, using sea temperature readings that they say will help forecasters better prepare communities for storm impacts in the face of sea - level rise caused by rising global temperatures.

The experts agree that natural variability is largely to blame for the relative intensity of various hurricanes, but Holland and Webster note that the locations of such storms have changed.

Powerful hurricanes such as Harvey, Irma and Maria are also providing a testing ground for new tools that scientists hope will save lives by improving forecasts in various ways, from narrowing a storm's future path to capturing swift changes in the intensity of storm winds.

While rainfall intensity was more realistically predicted by the high - resolution climate models, particularly for summer convective storms, these storms do not make a significant difference to summer phosphorus losses.

Researchers still don't fully understand the small but important shifts in storm dynamics that trigger a tornado or hurricane, for instance, and they can't forecast a hurricane's intensity.

Scientists have not pinpointed the reason for the strengthening of the low pressure system in the Amundsen Sea, but the number and intensity of storms in the region could continue to increase throughout the 21st century as a consequence of greenhouse gas warming, Thomas said.

If tropical storms increase in intensity, then coral reefs will need longer times for recovery from impacts between storm events.

Anthony, R., Aster, R.C., Rowe, C.A., Multi-Decadal analysis of Global Trends in Microseism Intensities: A proxy for Changes in Extreme Storm Activity and Oceanic Wave State, Seismol.

It has linked that warming to a decline in the intensity and duration of storms over North America, Europe and Asia, which allows for the intense build - up of heat.

Dr. Jonathan Overpeck, director of the Institute for the Study of Planet Earth at the University of Arizona, and recipient of the shared 2007 Nobel Peace Prize for his role as a Coordinating Lead Author for the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment, will address the trend of droughts in the west and the vulnerability of coastal communities as they face sea level rise coupled with increasing storm intensities.

Dr. Jonathan Overpeck, director of the Institute for the Study of Planet Earth at the University of Arizona, and recipient of the shared 2007 Nobel Peace Prize for his role as a Coordinating Lead Author for the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment, will address the trend of droughts in the west and the vulnerability of coastal communities as they face sea level rise coupled with increasing storm intensities.

Confidence in the latter is not related to TC intensity or frequency; it comes from the probable increase in heavy rain events and the inevitable rise in sea level that will make it easier for storm surges to go inland.

I'm going to go out on a limb and forecast a period of declining tropical storm intensity in the Atlantic basin over the next few decades, with another peak just in time for me to be dead and buried.

While there is a good theoretical case for greater damage from tropical storms, there is evidence that mid latitude storms may have decreased in intensity compared to the Middle ages, and a good theoretical case that they should decline in intensity due to global warming.

One parameter for intensification is obviously SST which could dictate a percentage of storms of each intensity.

Hadley Centre climate forecasts are for more high - intensity storms in Britain as global warming intensifies — Scotland has just had the strongest storm in living memory this January, which subsequently hit Scandinavia after increasing its wind - speeds over the North Sea (so it's not just us, it seems).

The scientists, Ning Lin and Kerry Emanuel, stressed that these simulation were run only for a single model of storm track and intensity — the National Hurricane Center's central scenario.

It is also been documented that storm size is actually not that well correlated with intensity (compare Hurricanes Charlie and Katrina for example; same intensity, vastly different sizes).

When an eye exists, which is certainly the case for the mature storms that Webster et al (2005) and Emanuel (2005) were most concerned with, the intensity is based on two temperatures; warmest pixel in the eye and temperature of coldest ring around the eye.

it is a double irony that this thread served not only to push the bottom thread off the dot earth blog's front page (which discussing mit professor kerry emmanuel's recent research showing little if any correlation between the intensity or frequency of such disastrous storms); but, also, that the maoistic and totalitarian government of burma (just like the co2 warriors in its allegedly redistributionist fervor) similarly demonstrated its complete contempt for the population and did so little to warn its citizens of this impending disaster.

If a storm of similar intensity had veered east (Unlike Katrina for example) and moved east along our Gulf coast, pushing a storm surge ahead of it and into the corner of the Apalachee Bay as this one did into the Gulf of Martaban, we would also see extraordinary devastation — even though our coast is not quite as low, and even though the Burma coast forms a funnel (like the Bay of Fundy) unlike Apalachee Bay.

Also, I'd think modeling storm size would be easier than storm intensity for the same reasons predicting average global temperature is easier to predict than next week's weather.

Tropical cyclones are responsible for the vast majority of loss of property and life and the level of scientific uncertainty regarding genesis and intensity of TCs is greater than extratropical, baroclinic storms.

In following the course of projections for this storm, and then the burst of criticism about failed intensity forecasts, I was brought back to the hours I spent with meteorologists at the National Hurricane Center in September, 2004, as they tracked the course of Hurricane Ivan (shortly before I headed to Alabama to cover its landfall as a major hurricane; here's a narrated report I filed from Mobile).

«Future projections based on theory and high - resolution dynamical models consistently suggest that greenhouse warming will cause the globally averaged intensity of tropical cyclones to shift towards stronger storms,» Knutson et al. (2010); Grinsted et al. (2013) projected «a twofold to sevenfold increase in the frequency of Katrina magnitude events for a 1 °C rise in global temperature.»

Trenberth 2015 suggested that for Hurricane Sandy, «the subways and tunnels may not have flooded without warming - induced increase in sea level and storm intensity and size, putting a potential price tag of human climate change in this storm in the tens of billions of dollars.»

For the entire Northern Hemisphere, there is evidence of an increase in both storm frequency and intensity during the cold season since 1950,1 with storm tracks having shifted slightly towards the poles.2, 3 Extremely heavy snowstorms increased in number during the last century in northern and eastern parts of the United States, but have been less frequent since 2000.11,15 Total seasonal snowfall has generally decreased in southern and some western areas, 16 increased in the northern Great Plains and Great Lakes region, 16,17 and not changed in other areas, such as the Sierra Nevada, although snow is melting earlier in the year and more precipitation is falling as rain versus snow.18 Very snowy winters have generally been decreasing in frequency in most regions over the last 10 to 20 years, although the Northeast has been seeing a normal number of such winters.19 Heavier - than - normal snowfalls recently observed in the Midwest and Northeast U.S. in some years, with little snow in other years, are consistent with indications of increased blocking (a large scale pressure pattern with little or no movement) of the wintertime circulation of the Northern Hemisphere.5 However, conclusions about trends in blocking have been found to depend on the method of analysis, 6 so the assessment and attribution of trends in blocking remains an active research area.

-- Susan Solomon, Nature The Long Thaw is written for anyone who wishes to know what cutting - edge science tells us about the modern issue of global warming and its effects on the pathways of atmospheric chemistry, as well as global and regional temperatures, rainfall, sea level, Arctic sea - ice coverage, melting of the continental ice sheets, cyclonic storm frequency and intensity and ocean acidification.

Figure 2.24: Variation of winter storm frequency and intensity during the cold season (November - March) for high latitudes (60 - 90 ° N) and mid-latitudes (30 - 60 ° N) of the Northern Hemisphere over the period 1949 - 2010.

This paper reports high - resolution (15 min) water column and streambed temperature data for storm events of contrasting magnitude, duration, and intensity for three streams (draining glacier, snow, and groundwater sources) across an alpine river system during summers 2002 and 2003.

On the question of hurricanes, the theoretical arguments that more energy and water vapor in the atmosphere should lead to stronger storms are really sound (after all, storm intensity increases going from pole toward equator), but determining precisely how human influences (so including GHGs [greenhouse gases] and aerosols, and land cover change) should be changing hurricanes in a system where there are natural external (solar and volcanoes) and internal (e.g., ENSO, NAO [El Nino - Southern Oscillation, North Atlantic Oscillation]-RRB- influences is quite problematic — our climate models are just not good enough yet to carry out the types of sensitivity tests that have been done using limited area hurricane models run for relatively short times.

As for the Deepwater Horizon site, forecast wave heights are creeping up as well, as the storm will probably reach a peak intensity of 75 - 80 knots even if it stays on the southerly course.

The storm track intensity is also calculated correcting only for the temporal variability of the advection speed.

NOTE: The Atlantic Tracks File is an ASCII (text) file containing the 6 - hourly (0000, 0600, 1200, 1800 UTC) center locations (latitude and longitude in tenths of degrees) and intensities (maximum 1 - minute surface wind speeds in knots and minimum central pressures in millibars) for all Tropical Storms and Hurricanes from 1851 through 2002.

-- The Administrator of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the Director of the National Science Foundation shall enter into an arrangement with the National Academy of Sciences to complete a study of the current state of the science on the potential impacts of climate change on patterns of hurricane and typhoon development, including storm intensity, track, and frequency, and the implications for hurricane - prone and typhoon - prone coastal regions.

High temperatures are to blame for an increase in heat - related deaths and illness, rising seas, increased storm intensity, and many of the other dangerous consequences of climate change.

[24] For hurricane evacuation studies, a family of storms with representative tracks for the region, and varying intensity, eye diameter, and speed, are modeled to produce worst - case water heights for any tropical cyclone occurrenFor hurricane evacuation studies, a family of storms with representative tracks for the region, and varying intensity, eye diameter, and speed, are modeled to produce worst - case water heights for any tropical cyclone occurrenfor the region, and varying intensity, eye diameter, and speed, are modeled to produce worst - case water heights for any tropical cyclone occurrenfor any tropical cyclone occurrence.

Intensity, Frequency and Potential for the Destruction of Human Settlements: Cat 4 and 5 Hurricanes of the Cape Verde Storm System.

A cyclone tracking scheme will be applied to reanalyses, yielding an inventory of Arctic cyclone locations, tracks, and intensities that will provide a framework for analysis of ice and upper - ocean responses to storms.