Sentences with phrase «for the confirmation bias»

You're falling for confirmation bias as you're clearly ignoring the number of chances screwed up by Giroud.

Now for the confirmation bias.

Further, no matter the context, overstatement of certainty reflects sloppiness, a lack of comprehensiveness, and often, it's a «tell» for confirmation bias, motivated reasoning, etc., in particularly when someone who is extensively trained and experienced in analytical reasoning makes over-statements of certainty.

One would think that a skeptic, and not a «skeptic» would bend over backward to control for confirmation bias — but instead what we have here are self - described «skeptics» ignoring any potential for motivated reasoning — to be absolutely certain of conclusions that just happen to be consistent with confirmation bias.

While everyone looks for complex psychological explanations for confirmation bias etc., the simple truth is that there is nothing new in the climate debate.

Therefore, misinformation about the law will be increasingly rooted in the social discourse of live - blogging, as it meets the radical grounds for confirmation bias laid by the Internet.

Not exact matches

In all of the above cases the entrepreneur who is susceptible to the confirmation bias will look for information and analyze it in a way that will yield: 1) fewer competitors rather than more, because it increases the viability of the start - up, 2) underestimation of the capabilities of the competition because stronger competitors will make life harder for the entrepreneur, 3) view of the company's product as fully addressing the needs of the customer because otherwise the start - up is at a weaker position in the marketplace, and 4) need for less resources rather than more because it generally makes raising the money easier.

Confirmation bias is defined as the tendency to search for and interpret information in a way that confirms one's own existing preconceptions, beliefs and opinions.

A very basic example of confirmation bias in daily life, in which people look for information that supports their existing notions and views, is the preference of conservatives to watch Fox News and of liberals to watch MSNBC.

The first step in fighting confirmation bias is for the entrepreneur to constantly remind herself of the existence of the bias whenever information is collected, evaluated and interpreted.

Another way to circumvent confirmation bias is to engage an advisor or mentor to be a no - man (the antidote to a yes - man) whose role is to argue the opposite of what the entrepreneur thinks or believes and to actively look for, and expose, the downside of everything the entrepreneur wishes to do.

Most of us have heard the term, and most smart businesses have added checks and balances to their processes to try to overcome confirmation bias — for example, by making sure that their business is structured to allow the open flow of information between executives and those close to whatever problem is being addressed, or by including designated naysayers in the conversation around a decision.

Thus, if we can eliminate confirmation bias we will have a higher probability of making the best investment decision for our intended objectives.

With so many media - savy fundies predicting the crash and all their ego - massaging confirmation bias articles and neatly chosen «expert opinions», we may not get more than a handful of 10 % corrections for another decade and every time they happen, we will be told the sky is falling!

Reblogged this on myatheistlife and commented: Here's a good bit of fun... statistics for the whole family with a family sized heaping of confirmation bias to go along side it.

If you determine how true something is by leaving out everything that isn't Jesus Christ and him Crucified then I'm afraid you are merely looking for confirmation of your own bias.

And while we are on the subject of being cognitive: a feature of normal cognition is a confirmation bias that allows us to be impervious to contradictory evidence and only notice information that confirms our pre-existing beliefs, hence the cherry picking, reinterpreting and mixing of what is convenient which has led to the approximately 40,000 Christian denominations and organizations in the world (Center for the Study of Global Christianity (CSGC) at Gordon - Conwell Theological Seminary).

But understanding our biases, our confirmation seeking, our craving for answers, and all other mind - centered dilemmas (as you so ably write), is key to transcending artificial, unnecessary divisions between people.

If it were not for my daily reality flying in the face of the anti-gay confirmation bias of my environment I don't think I would have ever moved out of my fundamentalism.

For Christians, there's a danger in how these conspiracy theories tap into an existing confirmation bias that all humans essentially have.

Confirmation Bias... «Explanations for the observed biases include wishful thinking and the limited human capacity to process information.»

I only recently heard of this confirmation bias theory and my best advice would be for people to look it up, could be an eye opener.

Confirmation bias is a serious problem for many novice bettors, who tend to only recall information that reaffirms their preexisting beliefs.

If you are inclined to think water birth is a great tool for laboring women, confirmation bias will lead you to think of «all the women and babies who use water birth without a problem.»

So interpretation of royal numbers tends to be blighted by a data problem known as «confirmation bias» - which basically means «you get what you look for».

Add to those propensities the confirmation bias (which seeks and finds confirmatory evidence for what we already believe) and the hindsight bias (which tailors after - the - fact explanations to what we already know happened), and we have the foundation for conspiratorial cognition.

Gruca found this confirmation bias in student traders participating in the Iowa Electronic Markets over a 10 - year period during which they bought and sold real - money contracts to predict the four - week opening box office receipts for a new movie.

For example, the hindsight bias can lead one to work backward from a suspect to the evidence, and then the confirmation bias can direct one to find additional confirming evidence for that suspect even if none exisFor example, the hindsight bias can lead one to work backward from a suspect to the evidence, and then the confirmation bias can direct one to find additional confirming evidence for that suspect even if none exisfor that suspect even if none exists.

All these elements fit into what is known as the «confirmation bias» — our tendency to look for information that fits with what we already believe.

Most are studies on rats and are picked at for specific information that serves the author's confirmation bias.

Perhaps this trend is one I've picked out due to confirmation bias as I'm on the hunt for the perfect, timeless and classic camel coat.

But more importantly, that sequel to the Rosetta stone of the modern sci - fi / horror / action film (combining not one, not two, but three maligned genres) also earned Sigourney Weaver an Oscar nomination for Best Actress — a confirmation that the Academy could look past a long - held horror bias to celebrate superb genre performances.

Students identify the responsibilities of citizen watchdogs, summarize strategies for combatting confirmation bias and responsibly consuming and sharing news and information, and complete a culminating essay.

Critical examination of online resources: Assessing the credibility and usefulness of information found online and in the media, for example, evaluating accuracy of source data, bias and relevance to learning goals; learning to think about and check for personal biases and everyone's tendency to confirmation bias; and varying search terms to find alternative perspectives.

In this lesson, students consider the definition and responsibilities of «citizen watchdogs,» develop a culminating set of strategies or guidelines for combating confirmation bias as they consume and create news and information, and consider the very powerful role of social and mobile media as tools for social change.

But while the Sentinel series can be forgiven for raising legitimate problems with a handful of facilities — issues that certainly merit discussion — the series also blatantly ignores facts that do not support its confirmation bias against the Florida Tax Credit Scholarship and its member schools.

Confirmation bias is a dangerous instinct for investors to be swayed by, because often the most crucial data is precisely that which contradicts our beliefs.

If you own stock in Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT), you tend to think it is a better company than it is, and you tend to have confirmation bias and search for evidence that supports your thesis.

OK, that's enough from me for now — hopefully this adds some interesting (& speculative) insights, both near term and / or long term, to my investment thesis: We're in a bull market, which just might transform itself into a bubble, and even ultimately become the mother of all bubbles... This is obviously an evolving thesis — which I must highlight, is designed to be constantly questioned and re-evaluated based on new data & developments, and certainly not a thesis to be simply adopted & defended to the death with all kinds of confirmation bias.

They include overconfidence, a compelling need for social validation, and a confirmation bias that leads people to discount or disregard contrary evidence.

For value investors, with their focus on amassing tremendous detail and due diligence on single stocks, one insidious bias stands above all others: confirmation bias.

The Millionaire Next Door is a flawed book rife with confirmation bias (it's obvious that a certain kind of millionaire would best respond to the authors» incentives), but you should still read it, even for the inspiration factor alone.

There are those that do have confirmation bias, and I have seen that kind of thing in these reviews, but it seems to me that that one particular part you call out in your blog is not part of it, but rather holding reviewers accountable for their scores.

Confirmation bias may be a part of it, but we've seen a lot of reviews, particularly on the exclusives side, which seem to get reduced scores for things which get no mention in other reviews, or get a pass from the same reviewer when it comes to another game.

I know that everyone has subjective tastes, but refusing to try something you might otherwise enjoy, just because its an indie game, does not even account for taste — its just an exercise in confirmation bias.

Probably confirmation bias on my part, looking for evidence of intensity, and ignoring everything else that could be changing.

I will say this; I little no doubt that just as is true of everyone else, including you, Dan's work is influenced by cultural cognition, or other manifestations of motivated reasoning (I think I have seen evidence of confirmation bias, for example).

Confirmation bias is huge and it is «hiding in plain sight» for consensus «scientists».

Instead, we have the millstone of confirmation bias, the endless search for factors that explain the pause and the determination to ignore and even ridicule fresh thinking.

Psychologists studying climate communication make two additional (and related) points about why the warming - snow link is going to be exceedingly difficult for much of the public to accept: 1) people's confirmation biases lead them to pay skewed attention to weather events, in such a way as to confirm their preexisting beliefs about climate change (see p. 4 of this report); 2) people have mental models of «global warming» that tend to rule out wintry impacts.