Sentences with phrase «for uncertainty assessment»

Not exact matches

Such factors include, among others, general business, economic, competitive, political and social uncertainties; the actual results of current and future exploration activities; the actual results of reclamation activities; conclusions of economic evaluations; meeting various expected cost estimates; changes in project parameters and / or economic assessments as plans continue to be refined; future prices of metals; possible variations of mineral grade or recovery rates; the risk that actual costs may exceed estimated costs; failure of plant, equipment or processes to operate as anticipated; accidents, labour disputes and other risks of the mining industry; political instability; delays in obtaining governmental approvals or financing or in the completion of development or construction activities, as well as those factors discussed in the section entitled «Risk Factors» in the Company's Annual Information Form for the year ended December 31, 2017 dated March 15, 2018.
Such risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to: our ability to achieve our financial, strategic and operational plans or initiatives; our ability to predict and manage medical costs and price effectively and develop and maintain good relationships with physicians, hospitals and other health care providers; the impact of modifications to our operations and processes; our ability to identify potential strategic acquisitions or transactions and realize the expected benefits of such transactions, including with respect to the Merger; the substantial level of government regulation over our business and the potential effects of new laws or regulations or changes in existing laws or regulations; the outcome of litigation, regulatory audits, investigations, actions and / or guaranty fund assessments; uncertainties surrounding participation in government - sponsored programs such as Medicare; the effectiveness and security of our information technology and other business systems; unfavorable industry, economic or political conditions, including foreign currency movements; acts of war, terrorism, natural disasters or pandemics; our ability to obtain shareholder or regulatory approvals required for the Merger or the requirement to accept conditions that could reduce the anticipated benefits of the Merger as a condition to obtaining regulatory approvals; a longer time than anticipated to consummate the proposed Merger; problems regarding the successful integration of the businesses of Express Scripts and Cigna; unexpected costs regarding the proposed Merger; diversion of management's attention from ongoing business operations and opportunities during the pendency of the Merger; potential litigation associated with the proposed Merger; the ability to retain key personnel; the availability of financing, including relating to the proposed Merger; effects on the businesses as a result of uncertainty surrounding the proposed Merger; as well as more specific risks and uncertainties discussed in our most recent report on Form 10 - K and subsequent reports on Forms 10 - Q and 8 - K available on the Investor Relations section of www.cigna.com as well as on Express Scripts» most recent report on Form 10 - K and subsequent reports on Forms 10 - Q and 8 - K available on the Investor Relations section of www.express-scripts.com.
VICTORIA — The B.C. Liberal government's chaotic approach to environmental assessment changes creates an atmosphere of distrust and uncertainty for communities, First Nations and industry that will only slow down industrial projects, say B.C.'s New Democrats.
With due consideration for the uncertainty surrounding these assessments, it tries to develop a sense of the balance of risks, so as to provide a basis for coming to an informed decision on interest rates each month.
Citing passages for and against predestination from Shakespeare, Craig Stephans seems to agree on the difficulty of easy assessment and on the inherent uncertainty.
«It is regrettable that the publication of Key Stage 2 SATs results today has been marred by the Government's mishandling of curriculum and assessment reforms which has created deep anxiety, confusion and uncertainty for pupils and schools.
There are uncertainties involved, so we included wide - ranging assessments of these, as well as pointers to the most promising avenues for improvement.
Reliable uncertainty estimates are needed for the prioritisation of research relating to the development of greenhouse gas inventories and for the assessment of the importance of emission sources and carbon sinks.
«There are so many variables that will affect the future of forests in northern Minnesota, forest managers will probably always have to deal with some amount of uncertainty,» said Stephen Handler, lead author of the vulnerability assessment and a climate change specialist with the Northern Institute for Applied Climate Science (NIACS).
(C) potential metrics and approaches for quantifying the climatic effects of black carbon emissions, including its radiative forcing and warming effects, that may be used to compare the climate benefits of different mitigation strategies, including an assessment of the uncertainty in such metrics and approaches; and
Giving statistically accurate and informative assessments of a model's uncertainty is a daunting task, and an expert's scientific training for such an estimation may not always be adequate.
For the assessments of climate impacts made herein, we follow guidance from the National Climate Assessment and Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) on how to standardize confidence levels and uncertainty characterization in our key messages, as provided below.
If teachers» response to uncertainty is to close their doors and teach what they know, most of what they now know is Louisiana's set of Tier 1 curricula, which has grown to encompass materials for early childhood, social studies, and science programs, along with math and ELA interim and benchmark assessment systems.
Licensure assessments for those entering teaching reflect this uncertainty; virtually all measure some aspects of candidates» personal content knowledge but few test their knowledge at a standard adequate for teaching it, and even fewer require evidence of performance ability — in part because there is no professional consensus around what a new teacher should be able to do.
The uncertainty about the risk assessment of mezzanine tranches means that any calculation of the prudent regulatory bank capital held for these tranches should be significantly higher than that for the underlying asset pool.
A comprehensive risk assessment would determine flood hazard for individual structures by modeling watershed and floodplain characteristics at fine spatial scales; it would describe the varying levels of protection offered by all elements of a flood protection system and mitigation measures; and it would account explicitly for uncertainties, including those related to current and future flood hazard, structure value and vulnerability, and the current and future performance of flood protection measures.
«The approaches used in detection and attribution research described above can not fully account for all uncertainties, and thus ultimately expert judgement is required to give a calibrated assessment of whether a specific cause is responsible for a given climate change.
Today's uncertainty comes from evaluating feedbacks and tipping points such as how much longer the Ocean will keep sucking up heat and CO2 (OHC) or how fast non-linear developments will occur or for how long we can sustain civilisation based on conservative scenario assessments RCP8.5.
The assessment based on these results typically takes into account the number of studies, the extent to which there is consensus among studies on the significance of detection results, the extent to which there is consensus on the consistency between the observed change and the change expected from forcing, the degree of consistency with other types of evidence, the extent to which known uncertainties are accounted for in and between studies, and whether there might be other physically plausible explanations for the given climate change.
It is neither an academic review, nor a plan for a new research programme Uncertainties attach to almost every aspect of the issue, yet policymakers are looking for clear guidance from scientists, hence authors have been asked to provide their best - estimates wherever possible, together with an assessment of the uUncertainties attach to almost every aspect of the issue, yet policymakers are looking for clear guidance from scientists, hence authors have been asked to provide their best - estimates wherever possible, together with an assessment of the uncertaintiesuncertainties.
This assessment is from my own lab and so I may be a little biased, but although there are significant uncertainties (particular for the aerosol indirect effects), it probably gives a reasonable idea of the current thinking.
As Will Steffen points out in his earlier response, it would have been scientifically more correct for Ellis et al. to refer not only to their own assessment of uncertainties regarding a potential biosphere tipping point but also to the response to their article by Terry Hughes et al. (2014).
Pielke Sr., R.A. J. Nielsen - Gammon, C. Davey, J. Angel, O. Bliss, N. Doesken, M. Cai., S. Fall, D. Niyogi, K. Gallo, R. Hale, K.G. Hubbard, X. Lin, H. Li, and S. Raman, 2007a: Documentation of uncertainties and biases associated with surface temperature measurement sites for climate change assessment.
The easiest way to develop a tax narrative is via income tax increases for the very wealthy — you can easily sell this to the 51 % of voters you need more easily than the technical details about energy security, environmental discourse, science and uncertainty, precautionary principles, climate policy stabalisation assessment, green legacies, global trading schemes, UN COP frameworks ALL of which have to be defended for the policy framework to be politically feasible.
Although the small number of impact assessments that evaluate stabilisation scenarios do not take full account of uncertainties in projected climate under stabilisation, they nevertheless provide indications of damages avoided and risks reduced for different amounts of emissions reduction.
To work and collaborate with other professional organizations, research institutions, government entities and private sector companies for sole purpose of improving the accuracy and reducing the uncertainty of wind resource and project energy assessments.
Indeed, the FAR widened the likely range of temperature increase for a doubling of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere from the previous assessment, indicating greater uncertainty, not less, about this issue.
For policy - relevant science and regulatory science, more formal methods of uncertainty characterization and management should be used in scientific research and assessments
Contribution from working group I to the fifth assessment report by IPCC TS.5.4.1 Projected Near - term Changes in Climate Projections of near - term climate show small sensitivity to Green House Gas scenarios compared to model spread, but substantial sensitivity to uncertainties in aerosol emissions, especially on regional scales and for hydrological cycle variables.
Each contribution was reviewed externally and within the editorial structure of Climatic Change for accuracy in its portrayal of historical context and underlying science, but every author has been allowed to express his or her own opinion about how well the IPCC in general and the uncertainty guidance documents in particular have served IPCC's various clients — readers of the full assessments, readers of the technical summaries, and readers who have confined their attention to the overarching summaries for policymakers and synthesis reports.
As IPCC, in a search for objectivity in uncertainty assessment, has turned more to describing uncertainty in terms of the characteristics of ensembles of model outcomes, the deficiency in such an approach (its exclusion or limited treatment of systemic, structural uncertainty in models) has become increasingly apparent to the community (Winsberg 2010; Knutti et al. 2008; Goldstein and Rougier 2009).
This assessment allows for a greater level of uncertainty in the 21st century than in the 20th century, retaining the 50 % mean score albeit with a greater level of overall certainty.
After establishing sources of uncertainty and methods for code verification, the paper looks at a representative sampling of verification and validation efforts that are underway in the glacier modeling community, and establishes a context for these within an overall solution quality assessment.
As you see, for instance in this thread, the uncertainty on the assessments of IPCC is getting deeper and deeper.
Of course, this relies on the uncertainty in the regional TYPE 4 climate projection OF CHANGES IN CLIMATE STATISTICS IN THE COMING DECADES being small enough for the information to be useful in a risk assessment process.
Concerning the uncertainty of assessments made by IPCC, already in The Environment Conference Rio de Janeiro 1992 there was agreed a principle according to which» lack of full scientific certainty shall not be used as a reason for postponing cost - effective measures to prevent environmental degradation».
I'd argue all the original assessment reports in the 1980s took a fairly good approach: maybe they didn't include every uncertainty that may have been relevant, but honestly, they did a surprisingly good job for such a complex assessment tax: all these reports from the 1980s got the big picture pretty much right.
[8] C.L. Weber, P. Jaramillo, J. Marriott, C. Samaras, Uncertainty and variability in accounting for grid electricity in life cycle assessment, in: Sustainable Systems and Technology, 2009.
For the moment, accept that there is «some» warming that is attributable to CO2 (i.e. lets not debate the fundamental science here, but uncertainty assessments are ok).
Uncertainty envelopes are shown for the three early assessments, but not for AR4, though it is the most recent.
But how can the comparison be «scientifically better» when uncertainty envelopes are shown for the three early assessment reports, but not for AR4.
The changes will include a stronger review process for future climate assessments and fuller inclusion of alternate scientific views and acknowledgment of scientific uncertainty and controversy.
This requirement directly follows from the purpose of the RCPs to facilitate climate model runs that are relevant for policy - making and scientific assessment (and thus cover the full uncertainty range).
Based on our assessment, we have very high confidence for climate impacts (especially sea level rise and storm surge) on ecosystems; and we have high confidence for climate impacts on agriculture (reduced to some degree, compared to our level of confidence about ecosystems, by uncertainty about the efficacy and implementation of adaptation options).
For event attribution assessments to be most useful, remaining scientific uncertainties need to be robustly assessed and the results clearly communicated.
Multiple climate scenarios that address at least one, or preferably several sources of uncertainty allow these uncertainties to be quantified and explicitly accounted for in impact assessments.
13.5.1 Key Uncertainties in Climate Scenarios 13.5.1.1 Specifying alternative emissions futures 13.5.1.2 Uncertainties in converting emissions to concentrations 13.5.1.3 Uncertainties in converting concentrations to radiative forcing 13.5.1.4 Uncertainties in modelling the climate response to a given forcing 13.5.1.5 Uncertainties in converting model response into inputs for impact studies 13.5.2 Approaches for Representing Uncertainties 13.5.2.1 Scaling climate model response patterns 13.5.2.2 Defining climate change signals 13.5.2.3 Risk assessment approaches 13.5.2.4 Annotation of climate scenarios
Adapting core principles of risk assessment to climate: To date, the approach of climate change assessments has primarily been rooted in communicating relative scientific certainty and uncertainty around anticipated changes in the physical climate system, along with some basic biophysical impacts that would seem to be generally implied by those climate changes: based, for example, on general understanding of associations such as those between impacts and weather extremes.
The WMO (1999) assessment gave a value of -0.2 Wm - 2 with an uncertainty of ± 0.15 Wm - 2 for the period from late 1970s to mid-1990s.
However, even agreement amongst models does not at this stage allow for any thorough assessment about uncertainties about changes.»»
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