There's the usual array of options for wheel users to adjust
the force feedback sensitivity among other options, but Slightly Mad Studios realise that not everyone who plays Project CARS have access to expensive racing peripherals cluttering their living room.
Not exact matches
Earlier studies on the
sensitivity of tropical cyclones to past climates have only analyzed the effect of changes in the solar radiation from orbital
forcing on the formation of tropical cyclones, without considering the
feedbacks associated to the consequent greening of the Sahara.
The climate
sensitivity classically defined is the response of global mean temperature to a
forcing once all the «fast
feedbacks» have occurred (atmospheric temperatures, clouds, water vapour, winds, snow, sea ice etc.), but before any of the «slow»
feedbacks have kicked in (ice sheets, vegetation, carbon cycle etc.).
S&W argue further that this
sensitivity does not only represent the direct solar
forcing, but includes all the
feedback mechanisms.
I'm not even an amateur climate scientist, but my logic tells me that if clouds have a stronger negative
feedback in the Arctic, and I know (from news) the Arctic is warming faster than other areas, then it seems «
forcing GHGs» (CO2, etc) may have a strong
sensitivity than suggested, but this is suppressed by the cloud effect.
The change in temperature you'd need to balance a
forcing of 4 W / m2 with no
feedbacks is around 1.2 ºC and the difference between that and the real
sensitivity (around 3 ºC) is a measure of how strong the net
feedbacks are.
(where T = temperature, f =
feedback factor and F a Flux or
Forcing and C is the baseline climate
sensitivity i.e. for a clear atmosphere)
In some sense, though, almost any known
forcing is useful in inferring climate
sensitivity, since the same
feedbacks that determine the response to Milankovic also determine response to CO2, though the relative weightings of the different
feedbacks are likely to be different.
They got 10 pages in Science, which is a lot, but in it they cover radiation balance, 1D and 3D modelling, climate
sensitivity, the main
feedbacks (water vapour, lapse rate, clouds, ice - and vegetation albedo); solar and volcanic
forcing; the uncertainties of aerosol
forcings; and ocean heat uptake.
The regional climate
feedbacks formulation reveals fundamental biases in a widely - used method for diagnosing climate
sensitivity,
feedbacks and radiative
forcing — the regression of the global top - of - atmosphere radiation flux on global surface temperature.
A few other things — Mann et al. does not «get rid» of a MWP and LIA — «weaker TSI
forcing would imply the presence of a stronger climatic
feedback to TSI variation and / or a stronger climate
sensitivity to other solar changes» — What about non-solar changes?
However, in view of the fact that cloud
feedbacks are the dominant contribution to uncertainty in climate
sensitivity, the fact that the energy balance model used by Schmittner et al can not compute changes in cloud radiative
forcing is particularly serious.
Note then, that the SEA definition of
sensitivity includes
feedbacks associated with vegetation, which was considered a
forcing in the standard Charney definition.
Plotting GHG
forcing (7) from ice core data (27) against temperature shows that global climate
sensitivity including the slow surface albedo
feedback is 1.5 °C per W / m2 or 6 °C for doubled CO2 (Fig. 2), twice as large as the Charney fast -
feedback sensitivity.»
Abstract:» The
sensitivity of global climate with respect to
forcing is generally described in terms of the global climate
feedback — the global radiative response per degree of global annual mean surface temperature change.
The climate
sensitivity classically defined is the response of global mean temperature to a
forcing once all the «fast
feedbacks» have occurred (atmospheric temperatures, clouds, water vapour, winds, snow, sea ice etc.), but before any of the «slow»
feedbacks have kicked in (ice sheets, vegetation, carbon cycle etc.).
My question concerns the interplay of
forcings and
feedbacks to produce a «climate
sensitivity»:
However, in the global mean, these changes sum to zero (or very close to it), and so the global mean
sensitivity to global mean
forcings is huge (or even undefined) and not very useful to understanding the eventual ice sheet growth or carbon cycle
feedbacks.
This empirical climate
sensitivity corresponds to the Charney (1979) definition of climate
sensitivity, in which «fast
feedback» processes are allowed to operate, but long - lived atmospheric gases, ice sheet area, land area and vegetation cover are fixed
forcings.
Because high latitudes are thought to be most sensitive to greenhouse gas
forcing owing to, for example, ice - albedo
feedbacks, we focus on the tropical Pacific Ocean to derive a minimum value for long - term climate
sensitivity.
It is my understanding that the uncertainties regarding climate
sensitivity to a nominal 2XCO2
forcing is primarily a function of the uncertainties in (1) future atmospheric aerosol concentrations; both sulfate - type (cooling) and black carbon - type (warming), (2)
feedbacks associated with aerosol effects on the properties of clouds (e.g. will cloud droplets become more reflective?)
by James Hansen which explains some of the physics details (see Box 1 in that paper, called Climate
Forcings, Sensitivity, Response Time and Feedbacks and Figure 4, which gives the numbers in W / m2 for the various fo
Forcings,
Sensitivity, Response Time and
Feedbacks and Figure 4, which gives the numbers in W / m2 for the various
forcingsforcings).
Abstract:» The
sensitivity of global climate with respect to
forcing is generally described in terms of the global climate
feedback — the global radiative response per degree of global annual mean surface temperature change.
(Orbital
forcing doesn't have much of a global annual average
forcing, and it's even concievable that the
sensitivity to orbital
forcing as measured in terms of global averages and the long - term response (temporal scale of ice sheet response) might be approaching infinity or even be negative (if more sunlight is directed onto an ice sheet, the global average albedo might increase, but the ice sheet would be more likely to decay, with a global average albedo
feedback that causes warming).
Feedbacks as discussed by Rind are applicable to all
forcings, not just solar, and the idea that climate
sensitivity is greater than S - B would suggest is well known.
This means the rate of energy accumulation is dependent on
feedbacks as well as
forcing, even though higher
sensitivity models trigger larger Planck responses.
The point of Part III was that there are complexities to very large climate changes, wherein the same change in
forcing agent will tend to cause the same magnitude of change in forward and reverse if everything is is held constant, but the change will be a different combination of
forcing and
feedback, with different climate
sensitivity.
One can consider net PR+CR as a response to externally - imposed RF (external
forcing) plus
feedback «RF», or one can consider PR + CR —
feedback «RF» as the response to the externally imposed RF; the later is perhaps more helpful in picturing the time evolution toward equilibrium (and illustrates why the time it takes for an imbalance, equal to: externally imposed RF — climate dependent terms (PR + CR —
feedback «RF»), to decay is proportional to both heat capacity and climate
sensitivity (defined per unit externally imposed RF).
Obviously,
sensitivity to radiative
forcing of greenhouse gases (not water vapor, but CO2 and CH4) can't include
feedbacks of those same gases — those are defined as
forcings in such a
sensitivity.
First, for changing just CO2
forcing (or CH4, etc, or for a non-GHE
forcing, such as a change in incident solar radiation, volcanic aerosols, etc.), there will be other GHE radiative «
forcings» (
feedbacks, though in the context of measuring their radiative effect, they can be described as having radiative
forcings of x W / m2 per change in surface T), such as water vapor
feedback, LW cloud
feedback, and also, because GHE depends on the vertical temperature distribution, the lapse rate
feedback (this generally refers to the tropospheric lapse rate, though changes in the position of the tropopause and changes in the stratospheric temperature could also be considered lapse - rate
feedbacks for
forcing at TOA;
forcing at the tropopause with stratospheric adjustment takes some of that into account;
sensitivity to
forcing at the tropopause with stratospheric adjustment will generally be different from
sensitivity to
forcing without stratospheric adjustment and both will generally be different from
forcing at TOA before stratospheric adjustment;
forcing at TOA after stratospehric adjustment is identical to
forcing at the tropopause after stratospheric adjustment).
part of the utility is that Charney
sensitivity, using only relatively rapid
feedbacks, describes the climate response to an externally imposed
forcing change on a particular timescale related to the heat capacity of the system (if the
feedbacks were sufficiniently rapid and the heat capacity independent of time scale (it's not largely because of oceanic circulation), an imbalance would exponentially decay on the time scale of heat capacity * Charney equilibrium climate
sensitivity.
A «baseline» no -
feedback scenario can be shown, through taking the derivative of the Stefan - Boltzmann law, to have a
sensitivity of about 0.25 degrees Kelvin per W / m2
forcing.
During a period in which surface warming is stifled by internal variability the rate of energy accumulation would be influenced only by the
forcing — there would be no difference between a high -
sensitivity model and a zero -
feedback model (assuming zero - dimensional models; the reality, with regionally varying temperatures and
feedbacks, would be more complex).
Charney
sensitivity can be expressed for such
forcings as CO2 changes; longer term processes involve CO2 as a
feedback (ice ages).
They got 10 pages in Science, which is a lot, but in it they cover radiation balance, 1D and 3D modelling, climate
sensitivity, the main
feedbacks (water vapour, lapse rate, clouds, ice - and vegetation albedo); solar and volcanic
forcing; the uncertainties of aerosol
forcings; and ocean heat uptake.
A highly - touted (and exaggerated in the media) claim in Spencer & Braswell (2011) was that their results suggested that climate
sensitivity is low because climate scientists are misinterpreting climate
feedbacks as climate
forcings.
The aiTCS is an amalgum of everything that happens when more CO2 is added to the atmosphere; increase in
forcing, no -
feedback climate
sensitivity,
feedbacks, including lapse rate, etc., everything.
«The
sensitivity of this model to an increase in lambda of 0.02 (which gives a 4 W / m2
forcing) is 1.19 deg C (assuming no
feedbacks on lambda or a).
However if «unknown
feedbacks» and other
forcings can explain an even greater proportion of past temperature changes, then researchers would be
forced to suggest climate
sensitivity to CO2 is much lower.
It's not about climate
sensitivity or
forcings or
feedbacks; it's not about biophysical systems at all.
Sensitivity is related to climate
feedbacks and has to do with the amount of positive or negative
forcing that occurs in response to a given climate
forcing.
Hansen et al. 2013 (a) CO2 amount required to yield a global temperature, if fast -
feedback climate
sensitivity is 0.75 °C per W m − 2 and non-CO2 GHGs contribute 25 % of the GHG
forcing.
I think what you are objecting to is the idea of one
sensitivity that that can be projected to higher levels of
forcing without considering that the negative
feedbacks may become more vigorous and diminish or effectively cap it.
They are weakly damped decay responses due to the differences in ocean / atmosphere
sensitivities to difference
forces and
feedbacks.
Steven, it is kinda funny that since aerosols and ocean circulation are so poorly understood, the no
feedback CO2
forcing is the best understood tracer we have:) So Vaughan could reset his CO2
sensitivity to 1.0 and produce a pretty accurate range of uncertainty.
Traditionally, only fast
feedbacks have been considered (with the other
feedbacks either ignored or treated as
forcing), which has led to estimates of the climate
sensitivity for doubled CO2 concentrations of about 3 ◦ C.
In a
sensitivity study, a subset of the
forcings and / or
feedback of the system may be perturbed to examine its response.
As it is, the redistribution of surface energy is not a «
forcing» or «
feedback» even though it impacts «
sensitivity».
For a method for that, may I encourage you to look at Roy Spencer's recent model on thermal diffusion in the ocean: More Evidence that Global Warming is a False Alarm: A Model Simulation of the last 40 Years of Deep Ocean Warming June 25th, 2011 See especially his Figure
Forcing Feedback Diffusion Model Explains Weak Warming in 0 - 700 m layer as Consistent with Low Climate
Sensitivity His model appears to be more accurate than the IPCC's.
So you have two hemispheres with different «
sensitivities» because land mass amplifies changes in
forcing /
feedback.