«An Emissions - Based View of Climate
Forcing by Methane and Tropospheric Ozone.»
However, a concerted effort to reduce non-CO2
forcings by methane, tropospheric ozone, other trace gases, and black soot might counteract the warming from a decline in reflective aerosols [54], [75].
However, a concerted effort to reduce non-CO2
forcings by methane, tropospheric ozone, other trace gases, and black soot might counteract the warming from a decline in reflective aerosols [54], [75].
Not exact matches
While they acknowledged that
methane emissions
by the energy industry have decreased over the last few years, they still expressed a belief that it needed to be regulated, so they put together new rules that would
force energy companies to decrease their
methane emissions
by 40 % to 55 % over the next 10 years.
Fossil Blends The Air
Force, meanwhile, plans to certify its entire fleet of aircraft on Fischer - Tropsch process synthetic fuels derived from
methane or coal
by 2011 and plans to purchase enough such fuel to power at least 50 percent of the fleet in the continental U.S.
by 2016.
We hypothesize that top - down
forcing, exerted
by this metazoan fauna, shifts the dominant domain responsible for
methane oxidation off New Zealand's coast leading to increased emission of a green house gas.
It's correct that an extra
methane molecule is something like 25 times more influential than an extra CO2 molecule, although that ratio is primarily determined
by the background atmospheric concentration of either gas, and GWP typically assumes that
forcing is linear in emission pulse, which is not valid for very large perturbations.
... The Earth's atmospheric
methane concentration has increased
by about 150 % since 1750, and it accounts for 20 % of the total radiative
forcing from all of the long - lived and globally mixed greenhouse gases (these gases don't include water vapor which is
by far the largest component of the greenhouse effect).
Methane leaks increase the climate impact of shale gas, but whether the leaks are sufficient to significantly alter the climate
forcing by total natural gas development is uncertain [164].
A 46 % reduction in
methane by 2050 would have an equivalent climate
forcing benefit of eliminating all CO2 emissions until 2050.
For the PETM in particular, the temperature proxies seem to require more warming than a ~ 1 - 2000 Gt C
methane spike would generate (with the climate
forcing agent being the CO2, as documented
by its longevity).
Another recent video
by Clean Air Task
Force is aimed at policy makers, and highlights the industry's release of 9 million tons of invisible pollutants every year, including footage of
methane and volatile organic compounds shown escaping from a hydrocarbon storage tank.
After I wrote about the need for
methane rules in December, I was contacted
by Jonathan Banks of Clean Air Task
Force, an environmental organization that has been using infrared videos to help make the case for pollution rules.
As an example of the possible extreme change in radiative
forcing in a 50 - year time horizon for Isaken et al (2011)'s 4 x CH4 (i.e. quadrupling the current atmospheric
methane burden) case of additional emission of 0.80 GtCH4 / yr is 2.2 Wm - 2, and as the radiative
forcing for the current
methane emissions of 0.54 GtCH4 / yr is 0.48 Wm - 2, this give an updated GWP for
methane, assuming the occurrence of Isaksen et al's 4 x CH4 case in 2040, would be: 33 (per Shindell et al 2009, note that AR5 gives a value of 34) times (2.2 / [0.8 + 0.48]-RRB- divided
by (0.54 / 0.48) = 50.
and 1998 snippets
Methane now contributes about 20 % to the increased direct radiative
forcing by greenhouse gases compared to preindustrial times [Shine et al., 1995] Oxidation of CH4 in the troposphere produces carbon monoxide (CO), can lead production of ozone (03), and involves atmospheric oxidant, the hydroxyl radical (OH).
Using the more standard approach as proposed
by the I.P.C.C., the increased 2007 - 2011 climate
forcing from
methane is less than 8 percent of the increase in CO2
forcing.
The last time I looked up comparative
methane and CO2
forcings, I found a ratio of 21 (
methane: CO2)
by molecule or a ratio of 60 (
methane: CO2)
by mass.
Of course, this assumes a few things, such as that levels of other GHGs, such as
methane, are returned to their pre-industrial levels, or continue to be counter-balanced
by aerosol
forcings.
The total warming from
methane, nitrous oxide and aerosol emissions were each estimated from climate model simulations driven
by historical
forcing pathways for each gas, and were allocated to individual countries as described in section 2.
The effective LULCC radiative
forcing is enhanced
by LULCC emissions of
methane and nitrous oxide (figure 1 (a)-RRB-.
The reason the post-industrial CH4
forcing is not in the same league as the post-industrial CO2
forcing is that GWP exagerates the impact of
methane realtive to carbon dioxide
by a factor of 2.75.
This has been reinforced with increasing urgency
by scientists around the world, with US climate scientist James Hansen this week publishing a paper highlighting that «conceivable levels of human - made climate
forcing could yield the low - end runaway greenhouse effect» including «out - of - control amplifying feedbacks such as ice sheet disintegration and melting of
methane hydrates».
While concentrations of
methane in the atmosphere are about 200 times lower than carbon dioxide,
methane was responsible for 60 % of the equivalent radiative
forcing caused
by carbon dioxide since the onset of the Industrial Revolution.
Methane leaks increase the climate impact of shale gas, but whether the leaks are sufficient to significantly alter the climate
forcing by total natural gas development is uncertain [164].
And
by multiplying 16.7 percent
by the small percentage of total
methane emissions attributable to the U.S. natural gas industry -LRB-.012), they arrive at the conclusion that «U.S. natural gas industry emissions contributed to about 0.2 % of radiative
forcing in 2016.»
Methane is an important part of the anthropogenic radiative forcing Methane emissions have a direct GHG effect, and they effect atmospheric chemistry and stratospheric water vapour which have additional impacts natural feedbacks involving methane likely to be important in future — via wetland response to temperature / rain change, atmospheric chemistry and, yes, arctic sources There are large stores of carbon in the Arctic, some stored as hydrates, some potentially convertible to CH4 by anaerobic resporation [from wikianswers: Without
Methane is an important part of the anthropogenic radiative
forcing Methane emissions have a direct GHG effect, and they effect atmospheric chemistry and stratospheric water vapour which have additional impacts natural feedbacks involving methane likely to be important in future — via wetland response to temperature / rain change, atmospheric chemistry and, yes, arctic sources There are large stores of carbon in the Arctic, some stored as hydrates, some potentially convertible to CH4 by anaerobic resporation [from wikianswers: Without
Methane emissions have a direct GHG effect, and they effect atmospheric chemistry and stratospheric water vapour which have additional impacts natural feedbacks involving
methane likely to be important in future — via wetland response to temperature / rain change, atmospheric chemistry and, yes, arctic sources There are large stores of carbon in the Arctic, some stored as hydrates, some potentially convertible to CH4 by anaerobic resporation [from wikianswers: Without
methane likely to be important in future — via wetland response to temperature / rain change, atmospheric chemistry and, yes, arctic sources There are large stores of carbon in the Arctic, some stored as hydrates, some potentially convertible to CH4
by anaerobic resporation [from wikianswers: Without oxygen.
6.6.1 Effects of Stratospheric Ozone Changes on Radiatively Active Species 6.6.2 Indirect
Forcings of
Methane, Carbon Monoxide and Non-
Methane Hydrocarbons 6.6.3 Indirect
Forcing by NOx Emissions 6.6.4 Stratospheric Water Vapour
(Right) The temperature as driven
by CH4 radiative
forcing increases strongly during the
methane spike, then subsides following the time scale of planetary (oceanic) cooling.
The magnitude of this
forcing is comparable to that from doubling the atmospheric CO2 concentration, but the impact of the
methane forcing would be strongly attenuated
by its short duration (see Box 2.4).
I can certainly believe that there will be more
methane released in a warmer world, but since the
methane concentration in the atmosphere is dominated
by tropical wetlands and human emissions, I expect the actual climate
forcing from
methane released from the ocean, or the Arctic, to be small.
Methane is a powerful greenhouse gas 25 times more potent than carbon dioxide, and the ongoing global warming driven
by carbon dioxide will inevitably
force it out of its frozen reservoirs and into the atmosphere to amplify the warming.
It's correct that an extra
methane molecule is something like 25 times more influential than an extra CO2 molecule, although that ratio is primarily determined
by the background atmospheric concentration of either gas, and GWP typically assumes that
forcing is linear in emission pulse, which is not valid for very large perturbations.
Whilst these inorganic fluorine compounds and perfluorocarbons have large global warming potentials, which make for dramatic media headlines, their atmospheric abundances and mixing ratios are very small, and hence their contributions to radiative
forcing in the atmosphere and hence to anthropogenic
forcing of climate processes are very small
by comparison to carbon dioxide,
methane and water vapor.
«But,» he continued, «if you look over the longer period, the satellite data show enough warming that you can't possibly explain it without using the
forcing caused
by the increase in CO2 and
methane and so forth.»