Sentences with phrase «forcing on a regional scale»
The traditional global mean radiative forcing provides no information about this regional structure, so many researchers have begun to present estimates of radiative forcing on a regional scale as derived from models or observational campaigns.
https://www.nap.edu/ Not exact matches
The study demonstrates the importance of understanding how climate variability on a regional scale may at least temporarily obscure larger forces acting on the global climate system.
But since we seem to have determined that global mean temperatures do tend to track global mean forcings, the interesting science is now in determining the regional scale at which we can still make useful statements — and whether a forcing is «first order» or not will depend quite crucially on what the scale is.
Pressing the frontiers of climate science and related research is vital, but it's wishful thinking to expect further science to substantially narrow uncertainties on time scales that matter when it comes to regional or short - term climate forecasting, the range of possible warming from a big buildup of carbon dioxide, the impact of greenhouse forcing on rare extremes and the like.
The suggestion that skillful decadal forecasts can be produced on large regional scales by exploiting the response to anthropogenic forcing provides additional evidence that anthropogenic change in the composition of the atmosphere has influenced the climate.
To present regional multi-decadal climate projections to the impact communities as part of their driving forces and boundary conditions (for their models and process studies), when there is NO skill on this time scale at predicting changes in climate statistics, is a serious misleading application of the scientific method.
My bottom line is that while the global climate models, when run with added CO2 and other greenhouse gases, show that this is a warming effect, they are inadequate tools to assess the consequences of these human climate forcings on the regional and local scale.
It is not the pure prediction of the (regional) trends that is aimed for (type 4), but the occurrence of certain (relevant) weather types conditioned on an assumed change in the large scale forcing.
«Therefore, it is concluded that the influence of anthropogenic forcing has had a detectable influence on extreme temperatures that have impacts on human society and natural systems at global and regional scales»
In response to the finding that anthropogenic aerosols create a significant perturbation in the earth's radiative balance on regional scales, ESRL / GMD expanded its aerosol research program (1992) to include aerosol monitoring stations in regions where significant aerosol forcing was expected.
Special emphasis will be on climate forcings and feedbacks from global to regional scales.
However, regional variations are expected because of greater climate «noise» (unforced variability) on small scales, possible regional climate forcings, and known mechanisms that affect the large scale spatial variation of global warming.
Unfortunately, the 2007 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) assessment did not sufficiently acknowledge the importance of these other human climate forcings in altering regional and global climate and their effects on predictability at the regional scale.»
The climate of the coming decades on regional and global scales is going to be influenced by both anthropogenic forcing and internal («natural») processes.