Combining this value with the current dividend yield of 2.0 % results in a forward one - year expected yield of 3.5 %, not dramatically different from the return
forecast by Model 1.
Newcastle would still be
forecast by the model as most likely to win under either of those scenarios, because their shooting frequency is higher.
«Also, if the atmosphere isn't accumulating heat at the rate
forecast by the models, then the theoretical positive climate feedbacks which were expected to amplify the CO2 effect won't be as large,» McNider said.
But in all seriousness, I hope people understand and appreciate the implication of
this forecast by the modeling.
Further are you talking about hindcasting or
forecasting by these models?
Not exact matches
Tesla said it aims to produce 5,000
Model 3 sedans per week
by July, and acknowledged that meeting its
forecasts has historically been difficult.
Tesla reaffirmed its
forecast for
Model 3 production at a rate of 2,500 vehicles
by the end of the first quarter, and 5,000
by the end of Q2.
«We are getting closer to
forecasting eruptions at volcanoes that have been quiet for generations
by using detailed physical
models to understand how the preceding unrest develops.»
For highly sensitive transactions — Bitcoin exchanges or major ecommerce payment systems — it already is the norm, and he
forecasts that mainstream sites will gradually follow suit, first
by adding an optional two - step
model and then, as consumers adopt, making it a mandatory requirement.
Investors had sensed something was awry a month earlier, when Tesla said it had only made 260 of the
Model 3 last quarter, well below the nearly 2,000 it had
forecasted; some reports said the bottleneck was due to the carmaker assembling the vehicle
by hand.
Templates for VisiCalc, SuperCalc, and other popular programs include tax - preparation
models from Professional Software Technology (priced at $ 49, $ 99, and $ 149; P.O. Box 269, Rockport, MA 01966) and agricultural applications created
by AgriSoft ($ 19.95 per disk; Suite 202, 1001 E. Walnut St., Columbia, MO 65201) VisiCalc's publisher, VisiCorp, recently issued its own set of seven interrelated applications worksheets; available on a single disk under the title «VisiCalc Business
Forecasting Model» ($ 100) are such easily filled templates as Income Statement, Statement of Cash Flow, and Cost of Goods Sold.
Our
model - based
forecasts are complemented
by judgment, which is supported
by extensive consultations with companies and other contacts.
Hence, all of the central banks make judgmental adjustments to the
forecasts generated
by the
models.
The new earnings
forecast is largely driven
by revised predictions for the
Model 3 release.
Typical financial processes used in business decisions such as formulary and benefit design, new product launching, budgeting and
forecasting, and predictive
modeling are not provided
by PBMs» rebate tools.
Acknowledging its inability to hit its previous
Model 3 production targets — management was initially
forecasting to achieve a
Model 3 production rate of 5,000 units per week
by the end of 2017 — Tesla explained why it believes it can achieve these revised targets this time around:
But
by October, Musk said that ramping up production was «manufacturing hell» and that the company's current
forecast is for 5,000
Model X vehicles a week
by the end of June.
Our
model indicates that going forward, long - term yields will likely be subject to three upward pressures: (1) Our
forecasted increase in inflation will boost nominal GDP growth; (2) As forward guidance is replaced
by a data - dependent monetary tightening, volatility in short rates will increase; and (3) As the impact of QE on the Treasury market fades, long - term yields will trend back to their historical link with nominal GDP growth.
Fed policymaking
by staff
forecasts is dangerous when the driver is a Phillips curve
model.
So here's what I think about the election: The
forecasts — based on complicated
models — found in the APSA's PS
by real social scientists — with the exception of the one
by the astute James Campbell — are, as usual, too timid in terms of picking up the impending surge....
«
By applying data science into price elasticity
modeling and promotions
forecasting, restaurants are able to uncover more efficiencies and achieve greater savings.»
According to this
model, shown in fig 2, the regulation of exercise work rate during self - paced exercise is achieved
by means of a combination of feedback integration (which generates the conscious RPE) and anticipatory
forecasting (which produces a «template» for the RPE against which the conscious RPE is compared).
Back then, it said that the planet was warming at a rate of 0.2 C every decade — a figure it claimed was in line with the
forecasts made
by computer climate
models.
As a result, the range of possibilities with 95 % probability of happening has widened somewhat
by comparison with my previous
forecasting models.
The following table shows my
model based
forecast, a 95 % probability prediction range, and the Colin Rallings and Michael Thrasher estimates from their analysis of local
by - elections.
The
forecasting model works
by combining the number of seats won
by parties in the previous election with vote intentions data from polls conducted six months prior to the election — in this case the data is from November 2014.
The Prime Minister will say the basic state pension will rise to # 6,999 a year
by 2019/20 according to current
forecasts (picture posed
by model)
Regardless of what climate
models find, investigating these long - distance links in weather could also pay off
by improving risk prediction and
forecasts.
By including the whole world, Stein says, the
model should enable scientists to test
forecasts of big, damaging earthquakes in a practical amount of time.
Forecasts without systematic errors: climate
models, such as the
model MPI - ESM LR of the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, predict a significant increase in temperature
by the end of this century, especially at the Earth's poles.
If so, the increased frequency and intensity of heat waves
forecast by climate change
models could bring about considerable changes to these environments,» Orizaola concludes.
Adapted
by other nations, NOAA, and the Weather Channel, Neilson's
model is now used to
forecast seasonal forest fire risks.
Bolstered
by the success of their retrospective analysis the scientists
forecast caribou habitat to the year 2080 using a «business - as - usual» climate
model — the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's A1B
model.
This
model is widely used
by both UK and international groups for research into ocean circulation, climate and marine ecosystems, and operationally as part of the UK Met Office's weather
forecasting.
But it is possible to slow the pace of urban sprawl
by harnessing the full development potential of central areas, according to
forecasts by Guillaume Marois, a recent Ph.D. from INRS who has developed a spatial microsimulation
model called Local Demographic Simulations (LDS).
Jason - 3 measurements will also be ingested
by Numerical prediction
models coupling the atmosphere and the oceans used for seasonal
forecasting.
A ClimateWire investigation into the origins of the flood disaster uncovered evidence that points to a calamity caused
by man, the cumulative effect of erratic weather
forecast by climate change
models, massive deforestation, and lax attention to infrastructure maintenance and engineering standards.
And when compared with a 1000 - year reconstruction of past droughts based on more than 1800 tree - ring chronologies collected across the continent, droughts
forecast by nearly every one of those
models are «unprecedented,» even if CO2 emissions are dramatically reduced, researchers say.
In February and March of this year, Morton met with ministers in Brazil and Peru to discuss the
model's 2012 performance and preliminary 2013 fire
forecasts, and to examine potential uses of the
forecasting information
by the area's forest managers.
Climate
models and turbulence algorithms
forecast that,
by mid-century, clear - air turbulence will be more violent and transatlantic flights will hit it twice as often.
February computer
model runs
forecast a return to normal sea surface temperatures
by June.
The scientists generated the enormous dataset
by running NCAR's Weather Research and
Forecasting model at an extremely high resolution of about 4 kilometers (about 2.5 miles), across the entire contiguous U.S. Typical climate
models only resolve to about 100 kilometers (about 62 miles)-- not nearly the detail available in the new dataset.
In comparing their computational predictions against the actual historical record provided
by the Metaphor Map of English, researchers found that their
models correctly
forecast about 75 percent of recorded metaphorical language mappings over the past millennium.
The report, led
by PhD student Richard Hall and Professor Edward Hanna from the University of Sheffield's Department of Geography, discovered that up to 35 per cent of this variability may be predictable — a significant advance which may help in the development of seasonal
forecasting models.
By testing their
model against historical data, they found their production
forecasts were more accurate than those of both peak oilers, who are traditionally too pessimistic, and authorities such as the US Energy Information Administration, which is generally far too optimistic.
Computer
models previously
forecast that the Arctic would be free of ice in the summer
by 2050.
Hurricanes are powered
by energy pulled out of warm seawater, so sea surface temperature data collected
by satellites is fed into
forecast models to estimate their intensity.
According to the researchers, to better understand if Matthew's intensification was aided
by the warm - water eddies and the residing barrier layer in the Caribbean Sea's upper ocean, more ambient and in - storm upper ocean observations in this basin are needed to improve
forecast models for the region.
The latest 24 - hour
forecast of the oil's trajectory, created
by feeding currents and wind predictions into computer
models, shows oil hitting dozens of places along Louisiana shorelines, from Caillou Bay in the west to Breton Sound, just east of where the Mississippi meets the gulf.
«Given the promise shown
by the research and the ever increasing computing power, numerical prediction of hailstorms and warnings issued based on the
model forecasts, with a couple of hours of lead time, may indeed be realized operationally in a not - too - distant future, and the
forecasts will also be accompanied
by information on how certain the
forecasts are.»