Sentences with phrase «forecast by computer models»

Not exact matches

Back then, it said that the planet was warming at a rate of 0.2 C every decade — a figure it claimed was in line with the forecasts made by computer climate models.

February computer model runs forecast a return to normal sea surface temperatures by June.

Computer models previously forecast that the Arctic would be free of ice in the summer by 2050.

The latest 24 - hour forecast of the oil's trajectory, created by feeding currents and wind predictions into computer models, shows oil hitting dozens of places along Louisiana shorelines, from Caillou Bay in the west to Breton Sound, just east of where the Mississippi meets the gulf.

By pulling together the maximum possible computer resource, and running these weather forecast models thousands of times — and for alternative carbon dioxide levels — a picture can be built of how often severe storms can be expected.

Summer surface meltwater will expand vertical fractures in the ice sheet and lubricate the ice sheet bed, so leading to mechanical breakup by mechanisms that we currently can not model by computer and so can not forecast.

The forecast evolved rather suddenly once the weather system moving southeast from Canada was more fully sampled by observing networks, and computer models came around to a more threatening solution.

I now work at the Met Office in Exeter where I am assessing how the accuracy of weather forecasts for the next season is affected by how well the stratosphere is represented in the computer model of the climate system we use to make forecasts.

The forecast possibility of El Niño nears 50 % by the winter, as many of the computer models are trending to warmer tropical sea surface conditions in the later months of 2018.

The team used the new data to improve a computer model that estimates how much greenhouse gas is produced in permafrost in the long term — and they compiled a first forecast: the permafrost soils of northern Europe, northern Asia and North America, they say, could produce up to one gigaton (one billion tons) of methane, and 37 gigatons of carbon dioxide, by 2100.

I have difficulty believing there would be a model that shows over 20k temperature change by 2041 - 2060 that has a good hindcast goodness of fit unless there was some problem with the experiment design or an unstable computer calculating the forecast.

Sophisticated computer models, known as general circulation models, try to answer these questions by analyzing the climate system and forecasting its future.

The only evidence in support of the CO2 as the primary cause of global warming are the outputs of the computer models used by the U.N's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change which have been wrong in every forecast or scenario they produced since 1990.