TIME magazine's article about global weirding (rather than global warming) cites
the forecast model developed at Atmospheric and Environmental Research by Judah Cohen.
A forecast model developed by AER scientist Judah Cohen has consistently achieved on - target forecasts for most major cities in the industrialized countries.
To this end, a new paper authored by a team led by Leon Hermanson has just appeared on - line in the journal Geophysical Research Letters that describes a decadal
forecasting model developed by the U.K. Met Office and called, rather unimaginatively, the Decadal Prediction System (DePreSys).
Not exact matches
«We are getting closer to
forecasting eruptions at volcanoes that have been quiet for generations by using detailed physical
models to understand how the preceding unrest
develops.»
One area of rapid growth — and a good illustration of the current trends — is the increased focus on
developing geographically precise climate
models that can
forecast conditions one to several years out.
One day, oceanographers hope Spray and other gliders will be able to roam the oceans at will, providing an almost limitless supply of data that could be used to build more sophisticated climate
models and
develop better weather
forecasts.
But it is possible to slow the pace of urban sprawl by harnessing the full development potential of central areas, according to
forecasts by Guillaume Marois, a recent Ph.D. from INRS who has
developed a spatial microsimulation
model called Local Demographic Simulations (LDS).
Working with the University of New South Wales, scientists have
developed a computer
model which uses past wave observations and beach assessments to
forecast the erosion and / or accretion of beach sediments over the coming year.
«The space - time
model developed for this study could provide the basis for the next generation of wave
forecast models to predict wave extremes and provide early warnings to shipping companies and others to help them avoid dangerous areas at risk of rogue waves,» Fedele said.
The data provides an invaluable record for understanding radiation - belt variability that is key to
developing effective space - weather
forecasting models.
The
developed drought - fire
models in this study can help to
developing a seasonal
forecast system for these management strategies.
The fire severity
forecast model,
developed by Yang Chen and Jim Randerson at the University of California, Irvine, along with NASA scientists, was first published in 2011 in the journal Science.
Knowing the timing and duration of an eruption, the altitude and amount of the volcanic emissions are critical for an accurate volcanic
forecast model being
developed at the Goddard
Modeling and Assimilation Office.
In the EWeLiNE project, Fraunhofer and the German Weather Service have been working to
develop better
models for
forecasting the generation of renewable electricity.
The authors
developed a mathematical
model accounting for disease progression, mortality, morbidity and the heterosexual transmission of HIV to help
forecast future trends in the disease.
International institutions such as CGIAR have
developed computer
models that use data on climate, crop types, and other factors to estimate current food production and
forecast future trends.
The partners
develop mathematical
models that produce improved
forecasts accurate for each quarter - hour, which show how much electricity Germany's installed photovoltaic and wind - farm facilities will generate over the next few hours and days.
«
Modelling has been used to help
develop forecasting systems to predict flood risk around the shallower southern regions of the North Sea, where the coastal margin is low - lying and population density is high.
«The
model we
developed in this study is a very good start to helping people
forecast the chances they will experience a headache attack, but work is needed to make the prediction
models more accurate before they will be of widespread clinical use,» said Dr. Houle.
A statistical
forecasting model was
developed to estimate the risk of dengue outbreak in this period to provide an early warning that allows sufficient time for response.
The hypoxia
forecast is based on
models developed by NOAA - sponsored researchers at the University of Michigan and the University of Maryland's Center for Environmental Science.
Weisberg, along with study co-authors John Walsh, Distinguished University Professor of Biological Oceanography, and their research associates and colleagues at USF and at neighboring Florida Water Research Institute, have
developed tools for observing, tracking and
forecasting red tides using a combination of moored instrumentation, robotic gliders, satellite imagery and computer
models.
This will be useful for calculating
models for weather
forecasts or
developing new medicine.
The passenger rail component of the
model will allow IADOT to
forecast passenger rail ridership along potential corridors, which is essential in prioritizing rail corridor projects and to Iowa's vision of
developing a passenger rail network.
But, I want to know the
model number and price of the Kindle device, which
model will be the best for
developing the weather
forecasting project.
All expected return
forecasts are forward - looking statements based upon quantitative
models developed by Research Affiliates LLC and is not a guarantee of future performance.
Jeff investigated anomalies in the standard option pricing
models, taught classes for beginning options traders, and
developed new
forecasting techniques.
Develop models and probabilistic
forecasting tools to quantify uncertainties in the atmospheric drivers, surface characteristics, and soil properties that control the timing and extent of permafrost thaw in the next few decades and centuries.
He provides support to clients and
develops models to assess and
forecast solar radiation.
A new assimilation system (CERA) has been
developed to simultaneously ingest atmospheric and ocean observations in the coupled Earth system
model used for ECMWF's ensemble
forecasts.
People seem to like to argue about fairly unimportant minor points, when in fact until someone can demonstrate that they have
developed model (s) that can reasonably accurately
forecast conditions at a regional level, all is being accomplished is cheap talk.
MJO simulation diagnostics (
developed by the working group) are available and hold promise in guiding future
model testing and improvement as well as increased sub-seasonal
forecast skill.
We use the large - eddy simulation code PyCLES to simulate the dynamics of clouds and boundary layers, to elucidate their response to climate changes, and to
develop closure schemes for representing their smaller - scale dynamics in larger - scale climate and weather
forecasting models.
Mikhail Tolstykh is an expert for global numerical weather prediction
models to
develop medium - range and seasonal
forecasts.
Attribution depends on simulation
models, whose reliability can be tested and if necessary recalibrated using well - established procedures
developed for seasonal
forecasting.
For 30 + years Atmospheric and Environmental Research (AER) has
developed state - of - the - art algorithms for measuring,
modeling, simulating and
forecasting the Earth's atmosphere state.
Requires the Secretary of the Interior to establish the National Climate Change Wildlife Science Center within USGS to: (1) assess current physical and biological knowledge and prioritize scientific gaps in such knowledge to
forecast the ecological impacts of climate change on fish and wildlife at the ecosystem, habitat, community, population, and species levels; (2)
develop and improve tools to identify, evaluate, and link scientific approaches and
models for
forecasting impacts of climate change; (3)
develop and evaluate tools to adaptively manage and monitor climate change impacts; and (4)
develop capacities for sharing such data.
«A previously
developed simple statistical tool — the El Niño — Southern Oscillation Climatology and Persistence (ENSO — CLIPER)
model — is utilized as a baseline for determination of skill in
forecasting this event.»
(II)
develop climate
forecast models and tools through the National Centers for Environmental Prediction;
AER scientists have
developed techniques to process an ensemble of over fifty tropical cyclone track
forecasts from all leading US and international hurricane
modeling centers.
The results are a part of the
developing field of «weather attribution» that uses observational weather and climate data, weather
forecasts and climate
models.
If better regional climate
models can be
developed that can accurately
forecast weather conditions at local / regional levels then governments could implement plans for the construction of infrastructure appropriate for future conditions.
I was shocked to find that the pause was real, and this single fact eroded my confidence in the
models that have been
developed, and their
forecasts.
It was analyzed by the EPA using results from two economic
forecasting models: the ADAGE
model developed at Research Triangle Institute (RTI) in North Carolina; and the IGEM
model run by a consulting firm founded by Dale Jorgenson, a professor at Harvard.
We have
developed our own atmospheric
model and data assimilation system which is called the Integrated
Forecasting System (IFS).
Mr. Romm does not use any of the emissions scenarios that are the starting point for IPCC climate projections, but instead has
developed a
forecast for carbon emissions (which are «rising faster than the most pessimistic economic
model considered by the IPCC»).
ERA - Interim combines information from meteorological observations with background information from a
forecast model, using the data assimilation approach
developed for numerical weather prediction.
Report co-author Robert Fildes, a
forecast researcher,
developing a simple statistical
model that delivers better results when compared with previous climate
forecasts, i.e. by adding certain data he has been able to match his figures more accurately with a historic
forecast.
In Section 4.2, Tsagouri et al. (2009)
developed a new ionospheric
forecasting algorithm, called the Solar Wind driven autoregression
model for Ionospheric short - term Forecast (SWIF).
A
model can be
developed that has hundreds of factors with each weighted differently and the
model may perform very well when «hind casting» for the given set of factors, but turn out to not accurately
forecast future weather conditions / results.