Not exact matches
Further ahead, and assuming average
seasonal conditions, ABARE is
forecasting the winter crop to increase by 12 per cent in 2005/06.
However, these
forecasts are based on average
seasonal conditions.
It includes
forecasts of area, yield and production and a summary of
seasonal conditions on a state by state basis.
Also, according to the researchers,
seasonal climate
forecasts enable a more effective and dynamic adaptation to climate variability and change, offering an underexploited opportunity to reduce the fire impact of adverse climate
conditions.
Alves, O., M.A. Balmaseda, D. Anderson, and T. Stockdale, 2004: Sensitivity of dynamical
seasonal forecast to ocean initial
conditions.
However, a new study by Doblas - Reyes and co-authors at the European Centre for Medium - Range Weather
Forecasts (ECMWF)-- the «European weather centre» — suggests that by updating the greenhouse conditions with the observed annual mean values, the skill of the seasonal forecasts improve no
Forecasts (ECMWF)-- the «European weather centre» — suggests that by updating the greenhouse
conditions with the observed annual mean values, the skill of the
seasonal forecasts improve no
forecasts improve noticeably.
But a paid
seasonal forecast for
conditions which have not emerged?
Model
forecast skill and sensitivity to initial
conditions in the
seasonal Sea Ice Outlook.
Further review of
conditions in 2012 will be an important contribution toward
seasonal forecasting.
A smaller multiyear ice area in the Arctic Ocean means that the sea ice summer extent is more sensitive to weather
conditions during summer and thus more difficult to predict using statistical regression analysis since
seasonal weather
forecasts are not reliable.
This project will advance our understanding of
seasonal ice zone (SIZ) cloud - ice feedbacks and our ability to
forecast SIZ weather and ice
conditions through the combination of carefully designed model experiments, observations, and technology developments which are targeted to validate and improve the models.
Thus NSIDC's report was a balanced assessment of the possibility of setting a new record, taking account of different methods and recognizing the uncertainty inherent any
seasonal forecast, especially under
conditions that had not been seen before.
This new prediction system shows the multi-year predictive skills of drought and wildfire
conditions beyond the typical timescale of
seasonal climate
forecast models.
Blanchard - Wrigglesworth, E., R. I. Cullather, W. Wang, J. Zhang, and C. M. Bitz, Model
forecast skill and sensitivity to initial
conditions in the
seasonal Sea Ice Outlook, Geophys.
The verification results show that the
seasonal forecasts do not necessarily perform better than a
forecast based on average climatological
conditions.