Sentences with phrase «forecasts decades into the future»
Economists have great difficulty generating forecasts decades into the future, much less centuries.
https://www.heritage.org/ Not exact matches
As we mentioned briefly, that leads to a «sweet spot» for forecasting of a couple of decades into the future where the initial condition uncertainty dies away, but the uncertainty in the emission scenario is not yet so large as to be dominating.
Climate change is a lagged result of cumulative emissions, so errors in forecasts of what will happen after 2050 are of much less importance than getting projections right for the next few decades — this is fortunate because of course we can't know what will happen many decades into the future.
Then again, if the models actually give reliable, accurate forecasts of meaningful criteria a couple of decades into the future, they can it what ever they wish.
The White House's key energy policy document cites the EIA's oil demand forecast, and its outlook for steady oil demand decades into the future, as the basis for the latest round of lease sales in the Outer Continental Shelf, which includes areas in the Atlantic Ocean offered for the first time in decades together with new areas made available north of the Arctic Circle in the Chukchi Sea.
Even if experimental observations suggest that the models get the averages roughly right for a short - term forecast, there is no guarantee they will get them right for atmospheric conditions several decades into the future.
«Although long considered implausible, there is growing promise for probabilistic climatic forecasts one or two decades into the future based on quasiperiodic variations in sea surface temperatures (SSTs), salinities, and dynamic ocean topographies.
As we mentioned briefly, that leads to a «sweet spot» for forecasting of a couple of decades into the future where the initial condition uncertainty dies away, but the uncertainty in the emission scenario is not yet so large as to be dominating.
The inference is that climate predictions, decades into the future, can not be possibly right when the weather forecast for the next day has some uncertainty.