Sentences with phrase «forecasts on the assumption»

It would appear that the UK National Grid (a very profitable private company) and the regulator Ofgem (which is supposed to look after the consumer) base their supply / demand forecasts on the assumption of 22 % «Firm» wind capacity.

Not exact matches

Unfortunately, all too often business plans and forecasts are built on the assumption that you will hit every goal and grab every opportunity.

In a research note, AltaCorp Capital analyst John Chu lowered his 2013 - 2014 forecast for Potash Corp. «on the back of our lower potash price assumptions and the associated lower margins,» and downgraded the company to «underperform.»

The economic forecast he uses for this Update should be based on the «realistic» assumption that the two critical assumptions will not be fulfilled.

Instead, operate on the assumption that you'll only bring in 50 % of your forecasted revenue.

I use the term «forecast» somewhat loosely, since these are conditioned on a range of assumptions, such as a fixed nominal exchange rate and a particular path for the cash rate, and hence could better be described as «projections».

However, as tight as sales managers would like their team's pipelines to be, forecasting is based on gut assumptions.

These forward - looking statements are based on our current expectations and assumptions regarding the fund's portfolio and performance, the economy and other future conditions and forecasts of future events, circumstances and results.

Forecasts are based on certain assumptions and on our views of market and economic conditions which are subject to change.

However, PBO's forecast is based on a number of assumptions, which if not realized, would put their forecast at risk.

As a matter of routine, startups should regularly review the data and the fundamental assumptions on which their sales forecasts are based.

There's some sophisticated number - crunching going on under the hood — essentially, BlackRock combines its forecast for market returns with assumptions about retirees» longevity to arrive at its spending estimates.

The IFSD forecast is based on two false assumptions.

As a result, the IFSD deficit forecast appears to be grossly overstated, given its assumptions with respect to PIT revenues and direct program expenses and the resulting impact on public debt charges.

This implies that if the Budget is tabled after or shortly before March 1st, the Main Estimates will not include any of the budget initiatives and would not be based on the economic assumptions underlying the budget forecast.

But it is therefore all the more important to question these forecasts, and the assumption that the UK's relatively poor performance on real wages and on productivity is due to a low level of investment.

It also compares those eight historical episodes with the plans announced by Osborne for further spending cuts before and after the UK general election scheduled for 2015, based on the assumptions (a) that those plans would be fully implemented as announced and (b) that the OBR forecasts of GDP up to 2017 proved to be broadly correct.

February 22, 2017 IEPR Commissioner Workshop on Data Inputs and Assumptions for IEPR Modeling and Forecasting Activities

E-readers, tablets and online distributors are definitely now an established force, and to forecast their demise would be to make the same mistake the former Labor minister for small business did: base an assumption on a short - term trend.

There's some sophisticated number - crunching going on under the hood — essentially, BlackRock combines its forecast for market returns with assumptions about retirees» longevity to arrive at its spending estimates.

All projections, forecasts and estimates of returns and other «forward - looking» information not purely historical in nature are based on assumptions, which are unlikely to be consistent with, and may differ materially from, actual events or conditions.

However, assumptions such as net investment returns and retirement spending can have a large impact on forecasted retirement success, even for small changes in parameters.

I believe this forecast is built on entirely rational assumptions.

I do know however, that natural resource companies, particularly the larger ones, are very slow to change their price assumptions on projects / assumptions (there are still plenty of $ 50 - 70 oil prices being used in the industry for long term forecasts).

Then for my forecast use the median rate for my primary assumption on return, but then also forecast using the 25th and 75th percentile rates to give a sense of what the next 40 years could actually look like.

In retirement planning one of the inputs to a forecast is an assumption about return on investments... and there are a number of rules of thumb thrown around.

If the assumptions on which these forecasts are based prove incorrect, the value of the investment may decrease.

For securities not actively traded, fair values are estimated by using quoted market prices of comparable instruments or, if there are no relevant comparables, on pricing models, formulas or cash flow forecasting models using current assumptions.

It includes important analysis on gamers, companies, game title and genre trends, M&A, how to launch a mobile game in China, regulations and market model & forecast assumptions.

It includes important analysis on gamers, companies, trends and forecast assumptions.

All of the models ca 2007 that the IPCC used to forecast climate change predicted a steady increase in temperature (based, as they were, on the assumption that CO2 is the primary driver of temperature) and yet global temperatures have remained essentially flat since then.

It feeds those into a model to forecast the impact these assumptions might have on future CO2 concentrations (note the concentrations are forecasts based on assumptions about the emissions).

Lead Commissioner Workshop on Economic, Demographic, and Other Assumptions for IEPR Modeling and Forecasting Activities

February 26, 2015 Lead Commissioner Workshop on Economic, Demographic, and Other Assumptions for IEPR Modeling and Forecasting Activities

March 19, 2015 Joint Lead Commissioner Workshop on Inputs and Assumptions for Transportation Energy Demand Forecasts

Even in «low emission» climate scenarios (forecasts that are based on the assumption that future carbon dioxide emissions will increase relatively slowly), models predict precipitation may decline by 20 - 25 percent over most of California, southern Nevada, and Arizona by the end of this century.

In a paper released on December 1 by the Global Warming Policy Foundation, Dr. Goklany says WHO's forecast that climate change would bring about 250,000 extra deaths annually between 2030 and 2050 is based on «absurd assumptions,» «willful exaggerations,» and «flawed methodologies.»

The A2 scenario, however, involves quite unrealistic assumptions about population, which impinges on forecasts about future food demand.

Furthermore, based on a well - known solar activity forecast (Abdussamatov 2015) and specific assumptions on the other natural explanatory variables (i.e., volcanic and oceanic / ENSO activity), this new Research Report also provides a long - term forecast that UAH TLT temperatures are very likely to exhibit a declining trend over the period through 2026 at the least.

«Forecasts are reasonable estimates based upon assumptions and information supplied by (or on behalf of) a client.

Since «even under the assumptions of the IPCC changes to energy policies wouldn't have a discernible impact on future disasters for the better part of a century or more,» the «only strategies that will help us effectively prepare for future disasters are those that have succeeded in the past: strategic land use, structural protection, and effective forecasts, warnings and evacuations.

Low levels of U.S. coking coal consumption in 2009 and 2010 were also partly attributed to the recent economic downturn; the February 2011 STEO forecasts a slight increase in U.S. coking coal consumption and an increase in coking coal exports in 2011, based on the assumption of improved economic performance and continued strength in international demand, respectively.

The current alarm rests on the false assumption not only that we live in a perfect world, temperaturewise, but also that our warming forecasts for the year 2040 are somehow more reliable than the weatherman's forecast for next week.»

I'm now reading this as saying that, on the reasonable assumption that forecasts should take into account recent history, any forecast of future warming must first «adjust down» recent history.

The C scenario, while closer to reality in its temperature forecast, was based on an assumption of a freeze in Co2 production levels, something that obviously did not occur.

I believe that warming forecasts have been substantially exaggerated (in part due to positive feedback assumptions) and that tales of current climate change trends are greatly exaggerated and based more on noting individual outlier events and not through real data on trends (see hurricanes, for example).

I will then discuss the econometric forecasts they are founded on, the assumptions about CO2 sensitivity and feedback processes, and finally model tuning and their ability to match history.

Some of us simply can not accept as remotely credible a claim to 95 % confidence in distant - future forecasts generated by models which are inherently incapable of faithfully reproducing the full complexity of the real world climate, particularly when they rest on elementary assumptions which are neither proven nor provable.

Because the models have been built to test man's possible impact on the climate via greenhouse gas emissions, they begin with an econometric forecast of world economic growth, and, based upon assumptions about fuel sources and efficiencies, they convert this economic growth into emissions forecasts.

Our point about the EIA and BNEF forecasts is simply that forecasts all depend entirely on their assumptions.