We have poor direct information on aerosols, but
the fossil fuel consumption rate is low, and there is only one major volcanic episode, so we can assume aerosol cooling is not significant.
Fossil fuel consumption rates will slowly diminish over the coming decades as fossil fuels are gradually depleted, and the resultant atmospheric and oceanic CO2 is predicted by IPCC modelers to END glaciation cycles and thus, to open much of Canada and Siberia to greatly improved agriculture and forestry.
Not exact matches
The main reason the US ranks so poorly on carbon dioxide emissions is because its per - person
consumption rate of electricity is so high; all of that energy comes primarily from
fossil fuels.
If present
rates of
fossil -
fuel consumption continue, the doubling of carbon dioxide from
fossil fuels will occur sometime within the next century or two.
Am I correct in calculating that the present
rate of growth in the anthropenic forcing from CO2 from
fossil fuel consumption is currently somewaht greater than a milliwatt / year, or about 4 microwatts per day?
Keep in mind that the overwhelming majority of greenhouse gases have been, and continue to be, emitted by the massive
fossil fuel consumption of a tiny percentage of the Earth's human population, most of them in countries with low
rates of population growth — and that the overwhelming majority of human beings on the Earth, particularly those in countries with relatively high
rates of population growth, generate only a small amount of greenhouse gases.
The third is total energy
consumption and the use of non-renewable energy sources (
fossil fuels) to drive our total numbers and per capita
consumption rates.
We are killing animals at an alarming
rate and humans will become extinct in the not too distant future if we do not start today to curb
fossil fuels consumption.
Greenhouse gas production
rates,
consumption of
fossil fuels, and the number of road injuries would be greatly reduced;
At our present
rate of
fossil fuel consumption, it is estimated that we will have emitted one trillion tons of industrial era carbon by about 2040.
Claiming that an «exponential» rise in solar and wind energy use will mean that wind and solar will supplant
fossil fuel consumption sometime during the next 10 - 13 years (SebastianH:» «takeover» will happen in 2030 at current growth
rates.
If
fossil fuel consumption is to blame, and if it continues to track the exponential growth
rate of the past century, it stands to reason that the temperature increase over the next century will be considerably more than over the previous one.
The results showed
fossil fuel generators, in the same periods when wind turbines had been operating, fluctuated their output to match demand but did not reduce their
rate of coal
consumption.
If we assume that, despite economic and environmental pressures to reduce
fossil fuel consumption, the world - wide per capita
rate still increases by 50 % by 2100, we end up arriving at a concentration by 2100 of around 600 ppmv.
At present
consumption rates these remaining
fossil fuels should last us over 300 years.
I am imagining a future agreement that is more successful in reducing the
rate of
fossil -
fuel consumption than the present Kyoto Agreement, but that does not change the total remaining production.
While it is true that it is quite impossible to grow sufficient wood to replace our present
rate of
fossil fuel consumption (there just is not enough land available), wood could be at least a part of the solution.
A recent IMF paper put the magnitude of subsidies for
fossil fuel energy sources at $ 5.3 trillion worldwide in 2015, including both direct fiscal costs and implicit subsidies from the failure to charge for environmental damages or tax energy at the same
rate as other
consumption products.
At current
consumption rates, this total
fossil fuel resource would last us > 300 years.
Total
fossil fuel consumption in the period 1910 to 1945 was about 1/4 to 1/5 the
consumption rate from 1970 to 2000, but it was pretty dirty.
The environmental group says that current trends relating to birth
rates,
consumption of
fossil fuels and economic expansion are not sustainable.
The report s author, Kevin Smith, said that The only effective way of dealing with climate change is to dramatically decrease our current
rates of
fossil fuel consumption.
For instance, by 2080, if we assume continuing growth
rates in
consumption of
fossil fuels, the numbers of additional people exposed to frequent flooding in the river delta areas of the world would be counted in hundreds of millions assuming no adaptation measures were implemented.»
We will be all out of
fossil fuel in 100 years at present
rates of
consumption.
Lloyd wrote «
fossil fuel generators, in the same periods when wind turbines had been operating, fluctuated their output to match demand but did not reduce their
rate of coal
consumption.»
Fossil fuel will not last for long at the current
consumption rate.
The U.S. Energy Information Administration includes the following in U.S. primary energy production: coal production, waste coal supplied, and coal refuse recovery; crude oil and lease condensate production; natural gas plant liquids production; dry natural gas excluding supplemental gaseous
fuels production; nuclear electricity net generation (converted to Btu using the nuclear plant heat
rates); conventional hydroelectricity net generation (converted to Btu using the
fossil -
fuels plant heat
rates); geothermal electricity net generation (converted to Btu using the
fossil -
fuels plant heat
rates), and geothermal heat pump energy and geothermal direct use energy; solar thermal and photovoltaic electricity net generation (converted to Btu using the
fossil -
fuels plant heat
rates), and solar thermal direct use energy; wind electricity net generation (converted to Btu using the
fossil -
fuels plant heat
rates); wood and wood - derived
fuels consumption; biomass waste
consumption; and biofuels feedstock.
Gaythia, you stated: Those advantages ought to outweigh the short term advantages of our high
rates of
fossil fuel consumption.
There are good reasons to slow down the
rate of
fossil fuel consumption but those all have to do with conservation of a finite resource and not a damn thing to do with global warming because global warming and more CO2 is a hugely positive thing for the primary producers in food chain — green plants.
The timeframe is too small for meaningful analysis, but it would reasonable to predict a reduction in the
rate of increase of
fossil fuel consumption due to reduced demand.
All activities form the use of
fossil fuels to the lifestyle expectations of everyone worldwide will have to be
rated based on the
consumption of
fossil fuels and then find ways to reduce the same
consumption to a bare minimum.
Unless, of course, you can predict volcanic eruptions, forest fires, termite reproduction
rates, meteorite collisions,
fossil fuel discovery and
consumption, etc..