We do not know enough to determine under what circumstance CO2 is a forcing or a feedback relative to temperature sometimes it maybe both sometimes over large areas it may even be a coolant e.g. if you think it is the main driver (which I don't) you would have to say it acted as a coolant for several thousand years
from the Holocene climate optimum to the LIA — see Fig 6 in the last post at http://climatesense-norpag.blogspot.com I quoted the end Permian Siberian traps as a possible example of CO2 as a forcing but even here CO2 was rising rapidly before the volcanic event.
It hasn't naturally risen by that amount and the amount isn't small compared to reconstructed concentration data
from the Holocene.
«One could view it as a minor excursion
from the Holocene.»
(B) Simulated anomaly
from a Holocene mean of GMT (blue line) and residual anomaly after subtracting model results from a GMT anomaly reconstruction (red line).
There could be hundreds of spikes in the actual temperatures
from the Holocene much warmer than at present and they would simply have averaged them out.
In a recent review of Holocene climate variability (Part A, and Part B) it was shown that Milankovitch forcing was likely the primary driving force behind the general climate evolution
from the Holocene Climatic Optimum to the Neoglacial period, for the past 12,000 years.
In the eastern Canadian Arctic, C deposition dates
from the Holocene [1], but microbial utilization is unknown.
If you think that calling the data
from the Holocene era (around 12,000 years ago) data from the Medieval Warm Period (about AD 950 to 1250) is good science, trying to prove anything to you is about as productive as installing a screen door on a submarine.
The LIA represents the coldest phase of the last 10,000 years when mean temperatures deviated strongly negatively
from the Holocene average and which therefore are hard to justify as a representative pre-industrial baseline.
The nightmare would be a flip to some permanently altered state much further
from the Holocene than things are today: a hotter world with much less productive oceans, for example.
In fourth place, published at the very beginning of 2016, is «The Anthropocene is functionally and stratigraphically distinct
from the Holocene» in Science.
Which has been going on for a lot longer than the last 350 years, and the temperatures here have been in the continuing downward slide
from the Holocene Maximum.
A study of stomatal frequency in fossil leaves
from Holocene lake deposits in Denmark, showing that 9400 years ago CO2 atmospheric level was 333 ppmv, and 9600 years ago 348 ppmv, falsify the concept of stabilized and low CO2 air concentration until the advent of industrial revolution [13].
By doing so, temperature for year 2000 got 0,2 K warmer than
from Holocene data.
Fossil corals provide snapshots of past seasonality and year - to - year change during glacial - interglacial cycles and across millions of years stretching
from the Holocene, through the Pliocene, and into the Miocene (Figure 3).
The fact that the LIA was the coldest point in the entire Holocene (which has been systematically cooling
from the Holocene Optimum on) is also worrisome.
e.g. there is 1) a mild global cooling
from the Holocene Climatic Optimum 2) A millenial scale oscillation of ~ 1500 years per Loehle & Singer above (i.e. an approximately linear rise from the Little Ice Age — or better an accelerating natural warming since the LIA) 3) A 50 - 60 year multidecadal oscillation.
The TEX86 will be further analysed in well - dated cores
from the Holocene and Pleistocene and compared with other, previously determined, SST proxies such as the UK37 ′ and the d18O of planktonic foraminifera.
And would the Anthropocene strata be markedly different
from the Holocene that began with the end of the last Ice Age nearly 12,000 years ago?
Colours are used to show samples
from the Holocene and LGM (red), the Holocene (orange) and the LGM (purple).
The precautionary principle suggests that human societies would be unwise to drive the Earth System substantially away
from a Holocene - like condition.
If an increase to, say 4X CO2 were enough to cause an inexorable transition
from a Holocene climate to the Cretaceous type, I think any reasonable person would call that a tipping point.
Internalizing the artist's words from her piece, Search for the Source of the Nile, invokes a heightened sense of responsibility to a world in transition
from the Holocene to Anthropocene, and our role in it from user to steward of natural resources.
The Anthropocene Project is based on the research of an international group of scientists making a case to formally change the name of the present geological epoch
from Holocene to Anthropocene — the «Human Epoch».
Layers determined to be
from the Holocene period, formed during the past 11,700 years, are shown in green.
Not exact matches
A series of damaging earthquakes and changes in land elevation preceded its only eruption, during the most recent part of the
Holocene, which lasted
from September 29 to October 6, 1538, when it was formed.
Holocene thinking rests on the assumption that there is this big, inexhaustible alien space out there that we call the environment,
from where we can get our raw materials and foods and where we can dump our waste.
Their findings reveal that dung beetles were much more frequent in the previous interglacial period (
from 132,000 to 110,000 years ago) compared with the early
Holocene (the present interglacial period, before agriculture,
from 10,000 to 5,000 years ago).
DNA
from early
Holocene American dog.
Holocene thinking rests on the assumption that there is this big, inexhaustible alien space out there that we call the environment,
from where we can get our raw materials and food and where we can dump waste.
But some researchers have argued that the transition
from the frigid climatic period known as the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM)-- about 20,000 to 25,000 years ago — to the current warm
Holocene Epoch brought habitat changes that killed off the mammoths with little or no help
from humans.
Methane
from the swampy rice farming in Asia may have really kicked this off 6,000 years ago or so and, in part, be responsible for maintaining the summery clime of the
Holocene.
Mapping anthropogenic events
from the beginning of the
Holocene to today would create a timeline of human impacts on Earth.
The study «An ecological regime shift resulting
from disrupted predator - prey interactions in
Holocene Australia» also involved Professors Corey Bradshaw and Barry Brook
from the University of Adelaide's Environment Institute and Professor Chris Johnson
from the University of Tasmania.
(The
Holocene epoch extends
from about 12,000 years ago to the present.)
Mud cores pulled
from marshes in the city show that the sea level is already rising faster there than at any time in the past 1,500 years, according to research published in the
Holocene Journal in January.
Woolly mammoths roamed over much of Eurasia and North America
from the mid-to-late Pleistocene about 300,000 years ago until numbers began to decline 15,000 years ago, before the beginning of the
Holocene.
«These specimens should have been compared to early
Holocene skeletons
from China,» because they look much the same, contends paleoanthropologist Peter Brown,
from the University of New England in Australia.
Previous studies have used a variety of computer models and data
from fossils and flood events to argue that ENSO has become more exaggerated over the past 11,000 years, known as the
Holocene period.
Ice cores drilled
from a glacier in a cave in Transylvania offer new evidence of how Europe's winter weather and climate patterns fluctuated during the last 10,000 years, known as the
Holocene period.
The recovery and first analysis of an Early
Holocene human skeleton
from Kennewick, Washington.
Hydrological and Climatological Changes in the Trondheimsfjord / Norway during the late
Holocene inferred
from Benthic Stable Isotopes and Dinocyst Assemblages G. Milzer, J. Giraudeau, S. Schmidt, J. Faust, J. Knies, F. Eynaud, C. Rühlemann > Download
Late -
Holocene climate variability in southern New Zealand: A multi-proxy study of laminated lake sediments
from Lake Ohau to reconstruct regional climate Heidi Roop, Marcus Vandergoes, Richard Levy, Gavin Dunbar, Sean Fitzsimons, Jamie Howarth, Bob Ditchburn, Gary Wilson, Jennifer Purdie
«I analyze lacustrine sediments for charcoal, wood ash, micromorphology using thin sections, stable C and N isotopes, XRF, pollen and non-pollen palynomorphs to reconstruct fire history and vegetational and environmental changes
from LGM to the
Holocene.»
New evidence of
Holocene climate and atmospheric circulation variability, inferred
from lacustrine stable isotope records
from Gotland, southern Sweden Francesco Muschitiello, Dan Hammarlund, Barbara Wohlfarth
Incidence of the most important climatic perturbations of the late Pleistocene and early
Holocene onthe phylogeography and population genetics of the Talas's tuco - tuco (Ctenomys talarum)
from theArgentinean Pampas Matias Mora
Abstract: Mid - to late -
Holocene sea - level records
from low - latitude regions serve as an important baseline of natural variability in sea level and global ice volume prior to the Anthropocene.
Bi-polar ocean linkages: evidence
from late
Holocene Antarctic marine and Greenland ice - core records.
Evidence
from isotopic data on Early
Holocene bison and other large herbivores in northern Europe.
For the
Holocene, the cosmogenic isotope records of 10Be
from WAIS Divide and 14C for IntCal13 demonstrated that WD2014 was consistently accurate to better than 0.5 % of the age.