In the grander scheme of things, and as a red flag, this is another asset class that has enormously benefited
from asset price inflation, stirred up by the Fed's well - targeted monetary policies since the Financial Crisis.
Not exact matches
Korean leaders to meet at North - South border on Friday: BBC Chinese geologists say N. Korea's main nuclear test site has likely collapsed: WaPo China air force intimidates Taiwan with military flights around island: Reuters Conservative Supreme Court justices appear to back Trump's travel ban: The Hill French president expects Trump will withdraw
from Iranian nuclear deal: BBC Rising interest rates keep Wall Street on edge: CBS Investors will focus on various
inflation numbers in days ahead: Bloomberg A closer look at the 10 - year Treasury yield's rise to 3 %: Calafia Beach Pundit T. Rowe
Price's
assets under mgt top $ 1 trillion — a sign of active mgt growth: P&I World trade volume slumped 0.4 % in Feb, first monthly loss since Oct: CPB
For
inflation targeting countries, it would certainly be a retrograde step in my view to be perceived as walking away
from a framework which has for a decade delivered good results, in favour of some explicit pursuit of
asset prices per se.
Mark Whitmore: Well, batting clean - up here is a little tough, because as Bill mentioned, I think that people have really nicely covered a lot of the main, sort of theoretical tenants of Austrian Economics, I guess I would add that specifically the role of central banking is something that I think is really distinct
from an Austrian perspective vs Keynesianism, specifically the
asset price inflation that you've seen has largely been ignored specifically in the last two bubbles, and now we're into a third bubble I would argue as well.
Or, does the Fed's easy - money policy deregulation of oversight open the way for
asset -
price inflation that puts home ownership even further out of reach — except at the
price of running up a lifetime of debt to the banks that write the loans on their keyboard at steep markups over their cost of funding
from the compliant Fed?
The Fed is trying to rescue the economy
from asset deflation, much like 1990 - 1992, but will run into the buzzsaw of
price inflation, and tighten a la 1994.
The question that I have at this point in the cycle is how low the Fed will get before they get scared about
inflation, and flatten out policy to see which effect is larger — deflation
from overvalued housing
assets purchased with debt, or
inflation of goods and services
prices.
The change is
from price stability, to returning
inflation to levels consistent with its mandate, which means they will try to inflate, and let it into the goods and services markets, rather than merely using it to prop up the
prices of
assets backed by debt.
Based on current positioning, we expect the All
Asset strategies to benefit
from the following return tailwinds: a stable to rising breakeven
inflation rate, appreciating EM currencies, convergence of EM - to - U.S. cyclically adjusted
price / earnings (CAPE) ratios toward longer - term averages, and appreciation of global value stocks
from today's elevated discounts toward longer - term norms.
For the same $ 1,000, 3 % yield bond, if the raising of interest rates — either via a central bank decision,
from inflation, a greater supply of the same security or associated / competing securities entering the market, or
from a flight to other
assets — brought the interest rate up to 4 %, the new
price of the bond would be $ 750 ($ 30 /.04).