As usual, yen pairs were taking directional cues
from bond yields, so the yen got swamped by sellers on Monday when bond yields rose, due to the prevalence of risk - appetite and expectations that the FOMC minutes will show that a December rate hike is still in the cards,
As usual, yen pairs were taking directional cues
from bond yields, so the yen got swamped by sellers on Monday when bond yields rose, due to the prevalence of risk - appetite and expectations that the FOMC minutes will show that a December rate hike is still in the cards, market analysts say.
And while the BOJ announced its latest monetary policy decision this week, that event turned out to be a dud (as usual) and yen pairs were still taking directional cues
from bond yields at the time.
But eventually stock prices stopped going down even with competition
from bond yields, because the earnings yields were so large that book values roared ahead, supporting prices.
Not exact matches
The
yield on Canadian 10 - year federal government
bonds have climbed to about 1.6 %
from about 1.3 % on Election Day.
For one thing, those 10 - year Canada
bonds are
yielding just 1.14 % and could lose value should interest rates rebound
from their recent lows, as many market - watchers expect.
On Wednesday afternoon, the benchmark U.S. 10 - year
bond was
yielding 2.35 per cent, up 15 basis points
from before the Fed statement and up sharply
from about 1.6 per cent at the beginning of May.
Much of the shift lower in our
yield forecasts derives
from the view that the ECB [European Central Bank] will continue to buy
bonds in its QE [Quantitative Easing] program.
In addition to the aforementioned concerns, Golub noted fears about whether economic growth won't meet lofty expectations and signals being sent
from the
bond market, where a narrower gap between government
bond yields is kindling fears that a recession is looming.
Also, as
bond rates rise, some of the money that migrated over
from the
bond market in search of higher
yields will return to the safety of fixed income.
In other words, because investors can not generate a sufficient return
from low -
yielding bonds, they turn to stocks as their only alternative.
The
yield on the U.S. 10 - year Treasury jumped to its highest level since 2014 on Friday morning, underlining a wider move in
bond markets caused by central banks moving away
from financial crisis policies.
A spike in
bond yields and a clear change of direction
from central banks means there isn't a lot of value in global
bond markets, a fund manager told CNBC on Tuesday.
Portugal has been profiting
from lower
bond yields, but as the ECB is expected to gradually lower its government
bonds purchases,
yields and spreads are expected to rise, which could hamper the improvement in government finances.
April 26 - U.S. stock index futures pointed to a strong open for the tech - heavy Nasdaq on Thursday as a slew of upbeat earnings
from Facebook and Qualcomm helped set aside worries over rising U.S.
bond yields and corporate costs.
NEW YORK, Jan 18 - U.S. fund investors pulled $ 3.1 billion
from high -
yield «junk»
bonds during the latest week, Lipper data showed on Thursday, offering new warning signs about risk appetite despite global markets» continuing triumph.
The
yield on the BofA Merrill Lynch High Yield Bond index rose from just over 6 percent at the end of May to 7.9 percent as of Nov
yield on the BofA Merrill Lynch High
Yield Bond index rose from just over 6 percent at the end of May to 7.9 percent as of Nov
Yield Bond index rose
from just over 6 percent at the end of May to 7.9 percent as of Nov. 17.
However, rates have retreated
from over 8 percent in the last several weeks, and the credit risk of high -
yield bonds can offer some diversification
from the interest - rate risk of a portfolio of Treasury
bonds.
It is very clear
from this graph that inflation EXPECTATIONS were rising rapidly during most of the Watergate period, with
bond yields substantially above core inflation.
That's also making Austrian
bond yields spike, ushering in a new phase of the sovereign debt crisis
from the East.
The
yield on Greece's three - year
bond, which has surged
from 4 % to 13.5 % since October, is now reflecting serious expectations that the country may end up outside of the Eurozone and unable to repay its euro - denominated debts.
Also, Ablin added a large portion of the recent rally involved a rotation
from bonds into stocks as low interest rates forced investors to seek
yield in the stock market.
Part of the problem is the BOJ maintaining its easy monetary policy, which erodes lending margins and
yields from investments in government
bonds.
Some investors might react by moving capital
from the U.S. to safe, stable Canada, putting some downward pressure on Canadian
bond yields and pushing up the loonie, said Burleton.
Breakevens are indications of future inflation expectations, calculated by subtracting the
yield on Treasury Inflation - Protected Securities notes
from Treasury
bonds of the same duration.
Four of the top 10 funds in terms of inflows
from Oct. 7 - 13 came
from the
bond sector, and two of them were focused on high -
yield, or junk.
More
from The New York Times: For
Bond Investors, Low Expectations in a Low -
Yield World Emerging Market
Bonds Are on a Roll.
LONDON, April 30 - Government
bond yields in the euro area nudged higher on Monday as focus turned to preliminary inflation data
from Germany and Italy, two of the bloc's biggest economies.
The
yield on the Merrill Lynch junk
bond composite is up 205bps
from last year's low of 5.16 % on June 24 to 7.21 % currently.
One «canary in the coal mine» could be a move further away
from high -
yield bonds and into investment - grade fixed income.
The expectations for a «bazooka» new stimulus
from the ECB are also manifested in the record low Eurozone
bond yields.
In addition, housing and the economy should get a lift
from the plunge in 10 - year U.S. government
bond yields to 3 %, and, if the economy needs it, a new round of quantitative easing
from the Federal Reserve.
History shows when the benchmark rate for everything in the economy
from corporate
bond yields to mortgage rates moves by this much, this fast, the stock market struggles in the following months.
Investors were relieved to see
bond yields pull back
from the four - year highs they reached Wednesday.
Bond prices fell, sending the
yield on the U.S. 10 - year Treasury note to its highest level in four years, following newly released minutes
from the U.S. Federal suggesting bullish sentiment among policy - makers and signalling more interest rate hikes ahead.
«Powell obviously needs to raise the federal funds rate but he has one very important asset that could keep the 10 - year
bond yield from blasting off.
Most investors shy away
from bonds because they
yield (or return) less than equities and tend to be more complex in nature.
Bonds due in 2018 and won by BofA were «aggressively» priced with a 1.64 percent
yield that narrowed Illinois» spread over Municipal Market Data's benchmark triple - A
yield curve to 70 basis points
from 100 basis points ahead of the sale, Greg Saulnier, a MMD analyst, said.
BofA won
bonds due in 2029 with a
yield of 3.78 percent, which slightly increased the spread over the scale to 165 basis points
from 163 basis points, according to MMD, a unit of Thomson Reuters.
LONDON, April 25 (Reuters)- Worries over rising
bond yields and falling metals prices trumped well - received earnings updates
from Kering and Credit Suisse on Wednesday, sending European shares to a one - week low.
U.S. government
bonds saw buying on Tuesday, pulling
yields lower, after Secretary of State Rex Tillerson was ousted
from the White House.
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bonds,
yield - cos and other vehicles.
debt obligations of the U.S. government that are issued at various intervals and with various maturities; revenue
from these
bonds is used to raise capital and / or refund outstanding debt; since Treasury securities are backed by the full faith and credit of the U.S. government, they are generally considered to be free
from credit risk and thus typically carry lower
yields than other securities; the interest paid by Treasuries is exempt
from state and local tax, but is subject to federal taxes and may be subject to the federal Alternative Minimum Tax (AMT); U.S. Treasury securities include Treasury bills, Treasury notes, Treasury
bonds, zero - coupon
bonds, Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS), and Treasury Auctions
However, the only thing keeping
bond yields from rising (and prices
from falling) is the fear that the Euro currency will disintegrate and plunge Europe into a recession.
Looking ahead, we may see rising
yields along with a continued focus
from the government on tax reform, and such a move could hurt the relative attractiveness of muni
bonds.
Most of the capital provided to these companies comes
from high -
yield («junk») corporate
bond sales, preferred share offerings, and debt.
The article makes the point that unlike most ETFs, high
yield bond ETFs often trade at prices far
from their fair value.
In the meantime, many investors, queasy
from the market volatility, have moved en masse to
bond markets and compressed
yields.
Bond yields spiked, and prices for a number of other financial assets that had benefited
from expectations of ongoing asset purchases by the Fed dropped precipitously, not just in the United States but in almost every other country.
We trade all fixed income assets, with a focus on more illiquid situations,
from high
yield, distressed and investment grade
bonds and convertible
bonds to public and private corporate securities and leveraged loans.