Not exact matches
«Today, the wet season is getting wetter and the dry season drier
in Southern and Eastern Amazonia due to
changing sea -
surface temperatures that influence moisture transport across the tropics,» says Anja Rammig
from Technische Universität München (TUM) and PIK.
While natural climate variations like El Niño do affect the frequency and severity of heat waves
from one year to the next, the study suggests the increases are mainly linked to long - term
changes in sea surface temperatures.
But the ice core - derived climate records
from the Andes are also impacted
from the west — specifically by El Niño, a temporary
change in climate, which is driven by
sea surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific.
In recent years, a brand of research called «climate attribution science» has sprouted from this question, examining the impact of extreme events to determine how much — often in fractional terms — is related to human - induced climate change, and how much to natural variability (whether in climate patterns such as the El Niño / La Niña - Southern Oscillation, sea - surface temperatures, changes in incoming solar radiation, or a host of other possible factors
In recent years, a brand of research called «climate attribution science» has sprouted
from this question, examining the impact of extreme events to determine how much — often
in fractional terms — is related to human - induced climate change, and how much to natural variability (whether in climate patterns such as the El Niño / La Niña - Southern Oscillation, sea - surface temperatures, changes in incoming solar radiation, or a host of other possible factors
in fractional terms — is related to human - induced climate
change, and how much to natural variability (whether
in climate patterns such as the El Niño / La Niña - Southern Oscillation, sea - surface temperatures, changes in incoming solar radiation, or a host of other possible factors
in climate patterns such as the El Niño / La Niña - Southern Oscillation,
sea -
surface temperatures,
changes in incoming solar radiation, or a host of other possible factors
in incoming solar radiation, or a host of other possible factors).
The team analyzed an index of
sea surface temperatures from the Bering Sea and found that in years with higher than average Arctic temperatures, changes in atmospheric circulation resulted in the aforementioned anomalous climates throughout North Ameri
sea surface temperatures from the Bering
Sea and found that in years with higher than average Arctic temperatures, changes in atmospheric circulation resulted in the aforementioned anomalous climates throughout North Ameri
Sea and found that
in years with higher than average Arctic
temperatures,
changes in atmospheric circulation resulted
in the aforementioned anomalous climates throughout North America.
The first image, based on data
from January 1997 when El Nio was still strengthening shows a
sea level rise along the Equator
in the eastern Pacific Ocean of up to 34 centimeters with the red colors indicating an associated
change in sea surface temperature of up to 5.4 degrees C.
The most important bias globally was the modification
in measured
sea surface temperatures associated with the
change from ships throwing a bucket over the side, bringing some ocean water on deck, and putting a thermometer
in it, to reading the thermometer
in the engine coolant water intake.
They wrote that their comparisons of
sea - level pressures,
sea -
surface temperatures and land - based air
temperatures provided «consistent evidence for strong» regulation of
temperatures by
changes in ocean cycles «
from monthly to century time scales.»
In this special edition, David Parker, Chief Executive of the UK Space Agency, and Christopher Merchant from the University of Reading and science leader of the Climate Change Initiative's sea - surface temperature project, join the show to discuss climate research in the U
In this special edition, David Parker, Chief Executive of the UK Space Agency, and Christopher Merchant
from the University of Reading and science leader of the Climate
Change Initiative's
sea -
surface temperature project, join the show to discuss climate research
in the U
in the UK.
And of course the new paper by Hausfather et al, that made quite a bit of news recently, documents how meticulously scientists work to eliminate bias
in sea surface temperature data,
in this case arising
from a
changing proportion of ship versus buoy observations.
Past summer, extratropical
temperature changes appear, for example, to have have differed significantly
from annual
temperature changes over the entire (tropical and extratropical) Northern Hemisphere, and tropical Pacific
Sea Surface Temperatures appear to have varied oppositely with temperatures in the extratropical regions o
Temperatures appear to have varied oppositely with
temperatures in the extratropical regions o
temperatures in the extratropical regions of the globe.
It is widely realized that WWii saw
changes in the construction of sampling buckets for
sea surface temperature measurement, and many navies switching to water intake
temperatures in compiling data
from ships at
sea.
Re 9 wili — I know of a paper suggesting, as I recall, that enhanced «backradiation» (downward radiation reaching the
surface emitted by the air / clouds) contributed more to Arctic amplification specifically
in the cold part of the year (just to be clear, backradiation should generally increase with any warming (aside
from greenhouse feedbacks) and more so with a warming due to an increase
in the greenhouse effect (including feedbacks like water vapor and, if positive, clouds, though regional
changes in water vapor and clouds can go against the global trend); otherwise it was always my understanding that the albedo feedback was key (while
sea ice decreases so far have been more a summer phenomenon (when it would be warmer to begin with), the heat capacity of the
sea prevents much
temperature response, but there is a greater build up of heat
from the albedo feedback, and this is released
in the cold part of the year when ice forms later or would have formed or would have been thicker; the seasonal effect of reduced winter snow cover decreasing at those latitudes which still recieve sunlight
in the winter would not be so delayed).
In the Kitoh and Murakami (2002) paper referred to in our mid-Holocene Optimum post, the authors note that that, while there is evidence of cooler tropical sea surface temperatures (SST) in many locations, the temperature changes are far from unifor
In the Kitoh and Murakami (2002) paper referred to
in our mid-Holocene Optimum post, the authors note that that, while there is evidence of cooler tropical sea surface temperatures (SST) in many locations, the temperature changes are far from unifor
in our mid-Holocene Optimum post, the authors note that that, while there is evidence of cooler tropical
sea surface temperatures (SST)
in many locations, the temperature changes are far from unifor
in many locations, the
temperature changes are far
from uniform.
If we looked at only the ONI to determine
changes in El Nino / La Nina frequency it would be misleading because that indicator is based upon a baseline that shifts; that baseline is determined
from the very
sea surface temperatures that would
change if El Nino / La Nina become more dominant.
As a result, directly comparing the
Sea Surface Temperature data
from the early 20th century to the current
Sea Surface Temperature data is like «comparing apples and oranges» — there have been too many
changes in the data sources for such comparisons to have much meaning.
Sea surface temperature (SST) measured
from Earth Observation Satellites
in considerable spatial detail and at high frequency, is increasingly required for use
in the context of operational monitoring and forecasting of the ocean, for assimilation into coupled ocean - atmosphere model systems and for applications
in short - term numerical weather prediction and longer term climate
change detection.
Give the students the graph below
from Johnstone 2014 and ask them to compare
changes in sea surface temperatures (SST
in red) with the raw and recently homogenized
temperature data
from southern California.
Surface warming / ocean warming: «A reassessment of temperature variations and trends from global reanalyses and monthly surface climatological datasets» «Estimating changes in global temperature since the pre-industrial period» «Possible artifacts of data biases in the recent global surface warming hiatus» «Assessing the impact of satellite - based observations in sea surface temperature trends
Surface warming / ocean warming: «A reassessment of
temperature variations and trends
from global reanalyses and monthly
surface climatological datasets» «Estimating changes in global temperature since the pre-industrial period» «Possible artifacts of data biases in the recent global surface warming hiatus» «Assessing the impact of satellite - based observations in sea surface temperature trends
surface climatological datasets» «Estimating
changes in global
temperature since the pre-industrial period» «Possible artifacts of data biases
in the recent global
surface warming hiatus» «Assessing the impact of satellite - based observations in sea surface temperature trends
surface warming hiatus» «Assessing the impact of satellite - based observations
in sea surface temperature trends
surface temperature trends»
The bottom right map shows results
from models
in which things like greenhouse gases,
sea surface temperatures, and
sea ice were allowed to
change as they have
in the real world due to human activities.
Combine the satellite trend with the
surface observations and the umpteen non-
temperature based records that reflect
temperature change (
from glaciers to phenology to lake freeze dates to snow - cover extent
in spring & fall to
sea level rise to stratospheric temps) and the evidence for recent gradual warming is, well, unequivocal.
Lenderink, G., E. van Meijgaard en F. Selten (2009), Intense coastal rainfall
in the Netherlands
in response to high
sea surface temperatures: analysis of the event of August 2006
from the perspective of a
changing climate; Clim.
Sea level pressure changes in the two solstice seasons from a GCM simulation with increased sea surface temperature gradient minus a simulation with a decreased gradient in the Atlantic (top row), in the Pacific (middle row), and increased gradient in the Atlantic along with a decreased gradient in the Pacific minus the reverse (bottom ro
Sea level pressure
changes in the two solstice seasons
from a GCM simulation with increased
sea surface temperature gradient minus a simulation with a decreased gradient in the Atlantic (top row), in the Pacific (middle row), and increased gradient in the Atlantic along with a decreased gradient in the Pacific minus the reverse (bottom ro
sea surface temperature gradient minus a simulation with a decreased gradient
in the Atlantic (top row),
in the Pacific (middle row), and increased gradient
in the Atlantic along with a decreased gradient
in the Pacific minus the reverse (bottom row).
They wrote that their comparisons of
sea - level pressures,
sea -
surface temperatures and land - based air
temperatures provided «consistent evidence for strong» regulation of
temperatures by
changes in ocean cycles «
from monthly to century time scales.»
The climate shift of 1978 manifests as a strong lift
in 200hPa
temperature globally with the most extreme
change at about 30 ° of latitude
in both hemispheres, a pronounced fall
in sea level pressure
in the south East Pacific, a jump
in sea surface temperature in the tropics, the transition between solar cycle 20 and 21 and a hike
in the aa index of geomagnetic activity that has slowly sunk along with 200hpa
temperature from that time forward.
2) If minor
changes in the air attempt to make the air
temperature alone diverge
from that equilibrium then the weather systems
change to modify the energy flow and
in due course restore the
surface air
temperature to match the
sea surface temperature set by the oceans.
In his House of Commons presentation, toward the end, he gives a sketch of an alternative derivation of the «Climate Sensitivity» based on observed rates of evaporation increase per change in sea surface temperature, and this based on data from the 2007 paper by Wentz e
In his House of Commons presentation, toward the end, he gives a sketch of an alternative derivation of the «Climate Sensitivity» based on observed rates of evaporation increase per
change in sea surface temperature, and this based on data from the 2007 paper by Wentz e
in sea surface temperature, and this based on data
from the 2007 paper by Wentz et.
The most important bias globally was the modification
in measured
sea surface temperatures associated with the
change from ships throwing a bucket over the side, bringing some ocean water on deck, and putting a thermometer
in it, to reading the thermometer
in the engine coolant water intake.
Observed
changes in (a) global average
surface temperature; (b) global average
sea level rise
from tide gauge (blue) and satellite (red) data and (c) Northern Hemisphere snow cover for March - April.
In this special edition, David Parker, Chief Executive of the UK Space Agency, and Christopher Merchant from the University of Reading and science leader of the Climate Change Initiative's sea - surface temperature project, join the show to discuss climate research in the U
In this special edition, David Parker, Chief Executive of the UK Space Agency, and Christopher Merchant
from the University of Reading and science leader of the Climate
Change Initiative's
sea -
surface temperature project, join the show to discuss climate research
in the U
in the UK.
The evidence comes
from direct measurements of rising
surface air
temperatures and subsurface ocean
temperatures and, indirectly,
from increases
in average global
sea levels, retreating glaciers, and
changes in many physical and biological systems.
The other source of bias comes
from a
change in the way
sea surface temperatures (SSTs) are measured.
«Much of our confidence stems
from the fact that our model does well at predicting slow
changes in ocean heat transport and
sea surface temperature in the sub-polar North Atlantic, and these appear to impact the rate of
sea ice loss.
There are secular
changes in cloud associated with variable
sea surface temperature — that vary
from weeks to millennia creating warmer or cooler
surface conditions.
The workshop was organized to allow participants to take a global perspective and consider the influence of the Arctic
in the context of forcing
from other components of the climate system, such as
changes in the tropics, ocean circulation, and mid-latitude
sea surface temperature.
See, the first thing to do is do determine what the
temperature trend during the recent thermometer period (1850 — 2011) actually is, and what patterns or trends represent «data»
in those trends (what the earth's
temperature / climate really was during this period), and what represents random «noise» (day - to - day, year - to - random
changes in the «weather» that do NOT represent «climate
change»), and what represents experimental error
in the plots (UHI increases
in the
temperatures, thermometer loss and loss of USSR data, «metadata» «M» (minus) records getting skipped that inflate winter
temperatures, differences
in sea records
from different measuring techniques,
sea records vice land records, extrapolated land records over hundreds of km,
surface temperature errors
from lousy stations and lousy maintenance of
surface records and stations, false and malicious time - of - observation bias
changes in the information.)
However, a confident assessment of human influence on hurricanes will require further studies using models and observations, with emphasis on distinguishing natural
from human - induced
changes in hurricane activity through their influence on factors such as historical
sea surface temperatures, wind shear, and atmospheric vertical stability.
This accounts for a
change in bias that arose
from changing the source of
sea -
surface temperature analysis.»
Doing this on a year - to - year basis shows NO apparent correlation with the absolute «globally and annually averaged land and
sea surface temperature anomaly» (i.e. HadCRUT3), but does show a weak correlation with the
CHANGE in temperature from the previous year, for example:
There is a recognised bias
in the dataset
from the period around WWII associated with
changes in the nationality of the shipping fleets taking
sea surface temperature measurements - the main contributor to the
temperature record - due to the war.
In so far as the air circulation fails for a time to maintain temperature stability then radiation from surface to space will also change but in due course stabilty is always restored between the four said parameters (sea surface / surface air / sun to sea / air to space
In so far as the air circulation fails for a time to maintain
temperature stability then radiation
from surface to space will also
change but
in due course stabilty is always restored between the four said parameters (sea surface / surface air / sun to sea / air to space
in due course stabilty is always restored between the four said parameters (
sea surface /
surface air / sun to
sea / air to space).
These frequency
changes are consistent with other paleoclimate indicators
from the tropical North Atlantic,
in particular,
sea surface temperature variations.
Not only that, but there is increasingly compelling evidence that the recent short - term slowdown
in the
surface temperature record was much less pronounced than previously estimated, if rapid Arctic warming is fully reflected, along with potential biases
from the
changing mix of
sea surface temperature measurement sources
in recent years.
Ho added that the enhanced intensification of tropical cyclones over East Asian coastal
seas caused by
changes in sea surface temperature and wind flows mean that «an individual tropical cyclone could strike East Asia, including the Philippines, with a record - breaking power, for example Haiyan, even though landfall intensity in south - east Asia has not notably changed on average in recent years because of the shifted genesis location; note that Haiyan formed over the eastern Philippine Sea far from land.&raq
sea surface temperature and wind flows mean that «an individual tropical cyclone could strike East Asia, including the Philippines, with a record - breaking power, for example Haiyan, even though landfall intensity
in south - east Asia has not notably
changed on average
in recent years because of the shifted genesis location; note that Haiyan formed over the eastern Philippine
Sea far from land.&raq
Sea far
from land.»
The observed
changes (lower panel; Trenberth and Fasullo 2010) show the 12 - month running means of global mean
surface temperature anomalies relative to 1901 — 2000
from NOAA [red (thin) and decadal (thick)-RSB-
in °C (scale lower left), CO2 concentrations (green)
in ppmv
from NOAA (scale right), and global
sea level adjusted for isostatic rebound
from AVISO (blue, along with linear trend of 3.2 mm / year) relative to 1993, scale at left
in mm).