(several big publishers use Metacritic as a bonus guide) Reviewers need to make sure that they are applying themselves (as much as possible) to being as free
from confirmation bias as possible.
Group predictions can be completely wrong of course, as closed groups tend to suffer
from confirmation bias.
While online groups are amazing for bringing together like - minded people to support each other on their journey, they are not exactly randomised trials and can suffer
from confirmation bias, groupthink and survivorship bias (i.e. only the people that benefit continue to remain in the group and contribute).
16:40 — While there are benefits to social media, there are dangers of living in an echo chamber and suffering
from confirmation bias.
Unless you can present evidence (you know, actual data) that this consensus does not exist, I'm going to have to conclude that (a) you're wrong about the consensus, and (b) you're suffering
from confirmation bias and are just not interested in the facts.
I believe you're suffering
from confirmation bias, in that you want to believe the criminal was a UEA / CRU insider, because then you can soothe your conscience about profiting from the theft via your book with Fuller.
Jones warns that to consider oneself immune
from confirmation bias is dangerous, because the research suggests that the most intelligent and the most educated among us — and lawyers often see themselves as falling into that category − are also the most successful at rationalizing their decisions.