Major broker / dealers can not individually move entire currency pair markets
away from fair value far enough to consistently or repeatedly target individual traders and their stops.
The calculations of how much the 10 stocks presented in part 1 dropped during the Great Recession were not
made from fair value.
«Across the G10 currencies, the largest
deviation from fair value is in the Nordic currencies — SEK / USD and NOK / USD — and in USD / JPY, all of which are significantly undervalued,» says Been and Specchia.
Detractors of the EMH also point to events such as the 1987 stock market crash, when the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) fell by over 20 % in a single day, as evidence that stock prices can seriously
deviate from their fair values.
Using nominal interest rate and inflation differentials, along with relative terms of trade and investment - to - GDP ratios for individual currencies, something ANZ says are thought to affect the exchange rate movements in the medium - to - long term, the BEER model aims to assess how misaligned each is
currently from fair value.
But as risk aversion abates, the tension becomes much more like a stiff spring, and the potential to return forcefully toward normal valuations becomes enormous, particularly when the
distance from fair value is large.
Move the entire GBP / USD pair 30 pips away
from fair value just to take out his well - placed stop?
If you hold 20 % of your portfolio in cash and seek to maintain a 5 % cash minimum at all times, it might make sense to deploy five percentage points of your cash position in response to each 10 % decline in the price of stocks
transitioning from fair value to undervalue.
Fair market value — to be
differentiated from fair value — refers to what the sales price would be «in a market of intelligent, thinking people,» says Pellarin.
The numerator in the pro forma basic and diluted net loss per share calculation has been adjusted to eliminate the losses resulting
from the fair value movements on Convertible Notes (see Note 9) as they were assumed to have converted upon a direct listing at the beginning of the period.
When those discrepancies happen, and they can be due to many insignificant things e.g. the normal progression or «rolling over» of futures contract expiration dates, the spread can
deviate from fair value.
When investors are very skittish, the market may behave like a very loose rubber band, generating little tension even as it moves significantly
away from fair value.