Not exact matches
We have much better — and more conclusive — evidence for climate
change from more boring sources like
global temperature averages, or the extent of
global sea ice, or thousands of years» worth of C02
levels stored frozen in ice cores.
Anthropogenic climate
change and resulting
sea level rise are now happening much more rapidly than at the transition
from the last ice age to the modern
global climate.
In this dark place, so far
from human eyes, significant environmental
change may already be underway, which could impact how quickly the ice sheet slips into the
sea and, subsequently, how quickly
global sea levels may rise.
A report
from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change last year found that between 1993 and 2010, the Greenland ice sheet contributed less than 10 percent to
global sea -
level rise.
Dr Jochen Hinkel
from Global Climate Forum in Germany, who is a co-author of this paper and a Lead Author of the coastal chapter for the 2014 IPCC Assessment Report added: «The IPCC has done a great job in bringing together knowledge on climate
change,
sea -
level rise and is potential impacts but now needs to complement this work with a solution - oriented perspective focusing on overcoming barriers to adaptation, mobilising resources, empowering people and discovering opportunities for strengthening coastal resilience in the context of both climate
change as well as existing coastal challenges and other issues.»
Aside
from its impact on
sea levels, weather and the economy, researchers say climate
change is also an urgent public health concern, a matter that has been largely left out of the
global climate conversation until recently.
Nonetheless, with rising
sea level and environmental refugeeism compounding the increased demand on water, food, and land of a growing population (albeit one likely to
level out mid 21st century), the combined impacts of climate
change and
global population increase could potentially yield a world that doesn't look that different
from the one portrayed in the movie — indeed, as Jim Hansen puts it, «a different planet» — by century's end.
According to the latest report
from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change (IPCC), the Greenland ice sheet has been contributing between 0.25 mm and 0.41 mm per year to
global sea levels since 1993.
Mitrovica, J. X., Tamisiea, M. E., Davis, J. L. & Milne, G. A. Recent mass balance of polar ice sheets inferred
from patterns of
global sea -
level change.
Our new study, published today in the journal Earth's Future, finds that — at least
from measurements of
global sea level and continental - scale Antarctic ice - sheet
changes — scientists won't be able to tell which road the planet is on until the 2060s.
A large ensemble of Earth system model simulations, constrained by geological and historical observations of past climate
change, demonstrates our self ‐ adjusting mitigation approach for a range of climate stabilization targets ranging
from 1.5 to 4.5 °C, and generates AMP scenarios up to year 2300 for surface warming, carbon emissions, atmospheric CO2,
global mean
sea level, and surface ocean acidification.
The rate of
change of the theoretical mean
sea level from year to year is not constant either, due to changing rate of the global sea level rise and changes in the Baltic Sea water balan
sea level from year to year is not constant either, due to
changing rate of the
global sea level rise and changes in the Baltic Sea water balan
sea level rise and
changes in the Baltic
Sea water balan
Sea water balance.
The symptoms
from those events (huge and rapid carbon emissions, a big rapid jump in
global temperatures, rising
sea levels, ocean acidification, widespread oxygen - starved zones in the oceans) are all happening today with human - caused climate
change.
Note that this sampling noise in the tide gauge data most likely comes
from the water sloshing around in the ocean under the influence of winds etc., which looks like
sea -
level change if you only have a very limited number of measurement points, although this process can not actually
change the true
global - mean
sea level.
From Relative outcomes of climate
change mitigation related to
global temperature versus
sea -
level rise Gerald A. Meehl et al..
Mike's work, like that of previous award winners, is diverse, and includes pioneering and highly cited work in time series analysis (an elegant use of Thomson's multitaper spectral analysis approach to detect spatiotemporal oscillations in the climate record and methods for smoothing temporal data), decadal climate variability (the term «Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation» or «AMO» was coined by Mike in an interview with Science's Richard Kerr about a paper he had published with Tom Delworth of GFDL showing evidence in both climate model simulations and observational data for a 50 - 70 year oscillation in the climate system; significantly Mike also published work with Kerry Emanuel in 2006 showing that the AMO concept has been overstated as regards its role in 20th century tropical Atlantic SST
changes, a finding recently reaffirmed by a study published in Nature), in showing how
changes in radiative forcing
from volcanoes can affect ENSO, in examining the role of solar variations in explaining the pattern of the Medieval Climate Anomaly and Little Ice Age, the relationship between the climate
changes of past centuries and phenomena such as Atlantic tropical cyclones and
global sea level, and even a bit of work in atmospheric chemistry (an analysis of beryllium - 7 measurements).
Summary for Policymakers Chapter 1: Introduction Chapter 2: Observations: Atmosphere and Surface Chapter 3: Observations: Ocean Chapter 4: Observations: Cryosphere Chapter 5: Information
from Paleoclimate Archives Chapter 6: Carbon and Other Biogeochemical Cycles Chapter 7: Clouds and Aerosols Chapter 8: Anthropogenic and Natural Radiative Forcing Chapter 8 Supplement Chapter 9: Evaluation of Climate Models Chapter 10: Detection and Attribution of Climate
Change:
from Global to Regional Chapter 11: Near - term Climate
Change: Projections and Predictability Chapter 12: Long - term Climate
Change: Projections, Commitments and Irreversibility Chapter 13:
Sea Level Change Chapter 14: Climate Phenomena and their Relevance for Future Regional Climate
Change Chapter 14 Supplement Technical Summary
Sea level budget over 2003 — 2008: A reevaluation
from GRACE space gravimetry, satellite altimetry and Argo A. Cazenave, K. Dominh, S. Guinehut b, E. Berthier, W. Llovel, G. Ramillien, M. Ablain, G. Larnicol
Global and Planetary
Change 65 (2009) 83 — 88
This section focuses on
global and regional
sea level variations, over time spans ranging
from the last decade to the past century; a brief discussion of
sea level change in previous centuries is given in Section 5.5.2.4.
On decadal and longer time scales,
global mean
sea level change results
from two major processes, mostly related to recent climate
change, that alter the volume of water in the
global ocean: i) thermal expansion (Section 5.5.3), and ii) the exchange of water between oceans and other reservoirs (glaciers and ice caps, ice sheets, other land water reservoirs - including through anthropogenic
change in land hydrology, and the atmosphere; Section 5.5.5).
For example, the latest (fifth) assessment report
from the U.N.'s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change (IPCC) projects that the
global average
sea level rise over the course of the 21st century would be in the range of 10 to 32 inches, with a mean value of about 19 inches.
Why use individual tide gauge records when we have perfectly good combinations,
from much larger samples, which give a
global picture of
sea level change and show vastly less noise?
Sea level indicators suggest that global sea level did not change significantly from then until the late 19th centu
Sea level indicators suggest that
global sea level did not change significantly from then until the late 19th centu
sea level did not
change significantly
from then until the late 19th century.
Exploitation of fear about environmental problems kept shifting
from ozone depletion, acid rain, desertification, rainforest destruction,
global warming,
sea level rise, climate
change, and climate crisis, among others.
The biggest difficulty in using tidal gauges to study
global sea level trends is separating local
changes from global changes.
This is because,
from the discussion above, we would expect to see
sea level changes, since
global temperatures do seem to have
changed over the last century (whether the temperature trends are man - made or natural in origin).
The symptoms
from those events (a big, rapid jump in
global temperatures, rising
sea levels, and ocean acidification) are all happening today with human - caused climate
change.
So, they didn't actually simulate
sea level changes, but instead estimated how much
sea level rise they would expect
from man - made
global warming, and then used computer model predictions of temperature
changes, to predict that
sea levels will have risen by 0.8 - 2 metres by 2100.
The
global average
sea level has already risen by about eight inches since 1901, with up to another two and a half feet of
sea level rise possible by 2100, according to the most recent projections
from the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change.
In order to use tidal gauges to reliably estimate
global sea level changes, researchers have to successfully separate the components of shifting land heights and local
sea level variability
from any
global trends.
The rate of
change of the theoretical mean
sea level from year to year is not constant either, due to changing rate of the global sea level rise and changes in the Baltic Sea water balan
sea level from year to year is not constant either, due to
changing rate of the
global sea level rise and changes in the Baltic Sea water balan
sea level rise and
changes in the Baltic
Sea water balan
Sea water balance.
«A high - resolution record of Greenland mass balance» «Antarctica, Greenland and Gulf of Alaska land - ice evolution
from an iterated GRACE
global mascon solution» «Greenland and Antarctica ice sheet mass
changes and effects on
global sea level»
The initial title of «Ice melt,
sea level rise and superstorms: evidence
from paleoclimate data, climate modeling, and modern observations that 2 °C
global warming is highly dangerous» had the final phrase
changed to «could be dangerous.»
J. T. Fasullo, R. S. Nerem & B. Hamlington Scientific Reports 6, Article number: 31245 (2016) doi: 10.1038 / srep31245 Download Citation Climate and Earth system modellingProjection and prediction Received: 13 April 2016 Accepted: 15 July 2016 Published online: 10 August 2016 Erratum: 10 November 2016 Updated online 10 November 2016 Abstract
Global mean
sea level rise estimated
from satellite altimetry provides a strong constraint on climate variability and
change and is expected to accelerate as the rates of both ocean warming and cryospheric mass loss increase over time.
Even the IEA's major climate
change study
from June, which was in - part based on their World Energy Outlook
from last November, also predicted a much greater
global temperature rise of between 3.6 and 5.3 degrees Celsius before the end of the century if we can't move quickly enough away
from fossil fuels, along with a
sea -
level rise of between 4 and 6 meters.
Sea level equivalent (SLE)- The change in global average sea level that would occur if a given amount of water or ice were added to or removed from the ocea
Sea level equivalent (SLE)- The
change in
global average
sea level that would occur if a given amount of water or ice were added to or removed from the ocea
sea level that would occur if a given amount of water or ice were added to or removed
from the oceans.
Abstract: «
Global mean
sea level rise estimated
from satellite altimetry provides a strong constraint on climate variability and
change and is expected to accelerate as the rates of both ocean warming and cryospheric mass loss increase over time.
C: increase in atmospheric CO2
from pre-industrial to present is anthropogenic (D / A) S: best guess for likely climate sensitivity (NUM) s: 2 - sigma range of S (NUM) a: ocean acidification will be a problem (D / A) L: expected
sea level rise by 2100 in cm (all contributions)(NUM) B: climate
change will be beneficial (D / A) R: CO2 emissions need to be reduced drastically by 2050 (D / A) T: technical advances will take care of any problems (D / A) r: the 20th century
global temperature record is reliable (D / A) H: over the last 1000 years
global temperature was hockey stick shaped (D / A) D: data has been intentionally distorted by scientist to support the idea of anthropogenic climate
change (D / A) g: the CRU - mails are important for the science (D / A) G: the CRU - mails are important otherwise (D / A)
NBC news reported the Pacifica event as «a brief window into what the future holds as
sea levels rise
from global warming, a sort of a crystal ball for climate
change.»
Here we present an analysis based on
sea -
level data
from the altimetry record of the past ~ 20 years that separates interannual natural variability in
sea level from the longer - term
change probably related to anthropogenic
global warming.
«Here we present an analysis based on
sea -
level data
from the altimetry record of the past ~ 20 years that separates interannual natural variability in
sea level from the longer - term
change probably related to anthropogenic
global warming... Our results confirm the need for quantifying and further removing
from the climate records the short - term natural climate variability if one wants to extract the
global warming signal.»
The most recent report
from the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change projected a
global average
sea level rise of between about one to three feet, although that report did not take the new findings on Antarctic ice melt into account.
Sea level can rise or fall on time scales ranging
from hours to centuries, spatial scales
from < 1 km to
global, and with height
changes from a few millimeters to a meter or more.
«While the melting of Antarctic ice shelves is contributing to rising
sea levels and other climate
change dynamics in complex ways, this additional role of removing carbon
from the atmosphere may have implications for
global climate models that need to be further studied,»
From shifting weather patterns that threaten food production, to rising
sea levels that increase the risk of catastrophic flooding, the impacts of climate
change are
global in scope and unprecedented in scale.
Observed
changes in (a)
global average surface temperature; (b)
global average
sea level rise
from tide gauge (blue) and satellite (red) data and (c) Northern Hemisphere snow cover for March - April.
Global Green USA's signature programs include greening affordable housing, schools, neighborhoods, and cities as well as rebuilding communities — such as New Orleans and areas of New York and New Jersey — that have suffered
from the impacts of climate
change,
sea level rise, and environmental degradation.
The evidence comes
from direct measurements of rising surface air temperatures and subsurface ocean temperatures and, indirectly,
from increases in average
global sea levels, retreating glaciers, and
changes in many physical and biological systems.
Now you can explore how
changes in fossil fuel emissions
from three parts of the world, plus deforestation and afforestation, will affect CO2 concentrations,
global temperature, and
sea level rise.
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