In other words, the slowed surface warming isn't a result of a smaller global energy imbalance due to factors like increased cooling
from human aerosol emissions.
There is a fairly large degree of uncertainty in these figures, primarily because the magnitude of the cooling effect
from human aerosol emissions is not well known.
The 2007 report focussed on greenhouse gasses, he said, whereas the 2013 report included all «anthropogenic forcings», including «the cooling effect
from human aerosol emissions».
Greenhouse gases can be attributed to about 0.9 °C of this warming, but it has been partially offset by about 0.3 °C cooling
from human aerosol emissions.
Not exact matches
China «could cause some decreases [in stratospheric
aerosols] if that is the source,» Neely says, adding that growing SO2 emissions
from India could also increase cooling if
humans are the dominant cause of injecting
aerosols into the atmosphere.
Another source of uncertainty comes
from the direct effect of
aerosols from human origins: How much do they reflect and absorb sunlight directly as particles?
The results imply that the interaction between organic and sulfuric acids promotes efficient formation of organic and sulfate
aerosols in the polluted atmosphere because of emissions
from burning of fossil fuels, which strongly affect
human health and global climate.
It then combines with pollutants
from combustion — mainly nitrogen oxides and sulfates
from vehicles, power plants and industrial processes — to create tiny solid particles, or
aerosols, no more than 2.5 micrometers across, about 1/30 the width of a
human hair.
Aerosol particles come
from many sources, including
human emissions.
But most is the result of
human actions, in the form of sulphate
aerosols from burning fuels.
Influenza is thought to spread among
humans three ways — touch; coughing and sneezing, which launches droplets containing virus
from the lungs onto surfaces; and
aerosols, smaller droplets suspended in the air that could be inhaled (SN: 6/29/13, p. 9).
And we now have a gloomier picture of the extent to which smogs and other
human - made
aerosols in the atmosphere shade us
from the worst of global warming.
The team evaluated simulated cloud fields
from the multi-scale
aerosol - climate model and examined how specific
human - caused
aerosols, such as sulfate, black carbon (soot), and organic carbon affect those clouds and, in turn, the climate.
However, to make climate models more accurate, we are focused on developing a better understanding of the dynamics of organic
aerosols formed
from plant - based organic vapors and their interaction with
aerosols emitted
from human activities,» said Dr. Chen Song, a PNNL atmospheric scientist.
When
aerosols from human activities such as industrial plant and vehicle emissions are added to the system, the energy budget has to deal with the increase.
The PNNL study measured how, in the atmosphere, these
aerosols interact with and mix with other volatile or semi-volatile organic compounds, the carbon - centric chemicals that evaporate
from both natural and
human - made sources.
The CARES field campaign was designed to increase scientific knowledge about the evolution of black carbon, primary organic
aerosols (POA), and secondary organic
aerosols (SOA)
from both
human - caused and natural (biogenic) sources.
Analyses of the ground and aircraft data performed by Setyan et al. (2012), Shilling et al. (2013), and Kleinman et al. (2016) showed that organic
aerosol production increased when
human - caused emissions
from Sacramento mixed with air rich in isoprene, an organic compound wafting
from many plants that originate in the area's foothills.
Secondary organic
aerosols are formed through complex physical and chemical interactions between pre-existing
aerosols in the atmosphere and trace organic gases emitted
from both
human - caused and natural sources.
Less understood — and more difficult to measure — is the influence of
aerosol particles
from human sources, particularly the use of coal and other fossil fuels.
And without that 76 %
from human - generated
aerosols to cool things, global warming, which had been happening all along, has been shining through.
Human - made tropospheric
aerosols, which arise largely
from fossil fuel use, cause a substantial negative forcing.
The AR5 chart (measuring
human contribution to warming
from 1950 - 2010) shows a much smaller
aerosol offset, ie.
Then in 2000 he saw the temperature dip and said that maybe CO2 and
aerosols are now canceling each other out — lets concentrate on soot (
from human pollution).
Changes in atmospheric composition
from human activities are the main cause of anthropogenic climate change by enhancing the greenhouse effect, although with important regional effects
from aerosol particulates (IPCC 2007).
The hole in the ozone layer over Antarctica was created by
human - produced chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) that came
from things like
aerosol cans and air - conditioners and refrigerators.
Scientists found that emissions of tiny air particles
from human - made sources — known as anthropogenic
aerosols — were the cause.
It then combines with pollutants
from combustion — mainly nitrogen oxides and sulfates
from vehicles, power plants and industrial processes — to create tiny solid particles, or
aerosols, no more than 2.5 micrometers across, about 1/30 the width of a
human hair.
Fertilizer production will almost certainly keep growing to keep pace with
human population, but the amount of
aerosols created as a result depends on many factors, including air temperature, precipitation, season, time of day, wind patterns and of course the other needed ingredients
from industrial or natural sources.
On the question of hurricanes, the theoretical arguments that more energy and water vapor in the atmosphere should lead to stronger storms are really sound (after all, storm intensity increases going
from pole toward equator), but determining precisely how
human influences (so including GHGs [greenhouse gases] and
aerosols, and land cover change) should be changing hurricanes in a system where there are natural external (solar and volcanoes) and internal (e.g., ENSO, NAO [El Nino - Southern Oscillation, North Atlantic Oscillation]-RRB- influences is quite problematic — our climate models are just not good enough yet to carry out the types of sensitivity tests that have been done using limited area hurricane models run for relatively short times.
So the model run in 2001 could not possibly include the very low solar minimum of 2008 - 2009, or the increase in
human aerosols from Asia, natural
aerosols, or the trend of more La Nina's over the past decade, etc..
And, volcanic eruptions are very different
from human produced
aerosols as they put the
aerosol into the stratosphere, rather than the troposphere.
However, many of the
aerosols scientists have suggested using, such as diamond dust or alumina, are harmful to the ozone (a layer that protects the Earth's surface
from some of the sun's ultraviolet rays) and
human health.
Somewhere there should also be a cost in
human health bill for coal and gas — related to other aspects of fossil fuel epidemiology — like poisoning
from mercury
from coal emissions or asthma
from aerosols from gas plants.
This reimagined Anthropocene rests on a seamless transition
from the fact that
humans have always modified their environments to a defense of a postmodern «cyber nature» under
human supervision, as if there is no qualitative difference between fire - stick farming and spraying sulfate
aerosols into the stratosphere to regulate Earth's temperature.
«Today, Hansen's team estimates the
human forcing
from greenhouse gases to be about 3 watts per square meter (warming) and the forcing
from aerosols to be about minus 1.5 watts per square meter (cooling).»
Well it's even more complex than that because the net warming
from humans doesn't just involve CO2, but other greenhouse gases and it factors in the cooling effect of
aerosols being dwarfed by the CO2 forcing.
26 Sun Stepped Art
Aerosols Greenhouse gases Warming
from decrease Cooling
from increase CO 2 removal by plants and soil organisms CO 2 emissions
from land cleaning, fires, and decay Heat and CO 2 removal Heat and CO 2 emissions Ice and snow cover Natural and
human emissions Land and soil biotoa Long - term storage Deep ocean Shallow ocean Troposphere Fig. 20 - 6, p. 469
25 Fig. 20 - 6, p. 469 Troposphere Cooling
from increase
Aerosols Warming
from decrease Green - house gases CO2 removal by plants and soil organisms CO2 emissions
from land clearing, fires, and decay Heat and CO2 emissions Heat and CO2 removal Deep ocean Long - term storage Land and soil biotoa Natural and
human emissions Shallow ocean Sun Ice and snow cover
The climate system is highly non-linear8 and relatively little is known about the effect on temperature changes resulting
from human contributions to the changing three - dimensional distributions of ozone and
aerosols, either or both of which may have been partially responsible for the observed discrepancy between surface and lower to mid-tropospheric temperature changes.
This was offset by a cooling
from other
human influences (mainly
from aerosols) of 0 to 0.5 °C.
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 32, pp. 2060 — 2066; four years before the same Schneider (Science, 1971 vol 173, pp. 138 - 141) was forecasting the imminent glaciation due to the
aerosols from the guilty
human industry
«There is evidence of an emerging pattern of climate response to forcing by greenhouse gases and sulfate
aerosols...
from the geographical, seasonal and vertical patterns of temperature change... These results point toward a
human influence on global climate.»
In attempts to counteract the temperature decrease
from 1940 to 1970 while CO2
from human sources increased proponents of anthropogenic global warming (AGW) claimed it was due to
human addition of sulfate
aerosols.
We have recently discussed several papers which have found substantial global dimming as a result of increased
human aerosol emissions
from 1950 to 1980 and 2000 to 2010.
A recent paper by Dr. Tami Bond and colleagues finds that carbon
aerosols — particulates released into that atmosphere
from a variety of
human activities including diesel engines, open cook stoves, poorly filtered coal burning, and open burning, etc. — have played a much larger role in impacting the climate than has been previously recognized (and included in climate models).
It would involve gradually eliminating pollution
from factories and tailpipes; replacing them with artificial
aerosols in the upper atmosphere where they're much less likely to damage
human health; and then hope nothing (else) goes seriously awry.
The black line, reconstructed
from ISCCP satellite data, «is a purely statistical parameter that has little physical meaning as it does not account for the non-linear relations between cloud and surface properties and planetary albedo and does not include
aerosol related albedo changes such as associated with Mt. Pinatubo, or
human emissions of sulfates for instance» (Real Climate).
Our climate model, driven mainly by increasing
human - made greenhouse gases and
aerosols, among other forcings, calculates that Earth is now absorbing 0.85 T 0.15 watts per square meter more energy
from the Sun than it is emitting to space.
As
aerosol pollution is predicted to decrease over the next few decades, unmasking of the greenhouse effect may lead to accelerated global warming.storms and ocean plankton The
human - generated
aerosols are derived
from industry, motor vehicles and vegetation burning.