Sentences with phrase «from hurricane forecasting»

Further, owing to the emphasis on forecasting, this community does not operate in the same way that atmospheric science researchers (outside the forecasting community) operate in terms of hypothesis testing etc., which is why I focused the article in terms of laying out the scientific method, fallacies, etc. (note all of the fallacies came from the hurricane forecasting community via the media; I included specific citations in the 2nd version of the paper, but this was also nixed).

My second observation stems from hurricane forecasting.

Not exact matches

More from USA Today: Hurricane Matthew shifts closer to Florida, forecast says Hurricane Matthew: Here are scenarios for the USA Sprites dance above Hurricane Matthew

The so - called «Spaghetti model» from the European Centre for Medium - Range Weather Forecasts shows a northerly path moving up East Coast for Hurricane Irma.

The 2017 hurricane season has highlighted the critical need to communicate a storm's impact path and intensity accurately, but new research from the University of Utah shows significant misunderstandings of the two most commonly used storm forecast visualization methods.

Much of our understanding of evacuation decisions comes from hurricanes, which usually have a long warning time, can be reasonably forecasted, and for which evacuation is the best choice.

And that means more numerous and stronger hurricanes in the foreseeable future, whether the forecast is from a computer model or a meteorologist's instincts.

Powerful hurricanes such as Harvey, Irma and Maria are also providing a testing ground for new tools that scientists hope will save lives by improving forecasts in various ways, from narrowing a storm's future path to capturing swift changes in the intensity of storm winds.

That program was established by NOAA in 2009, in part as a response to the pummeling the U.S. received from a number of hurricanes during the early years of that decade and the relative lack of progress made in improving forecasts up to that point.

During the press conference, Mary Erickson, deputy director of National Weather Service, touted the increased accuracy of hurricane forecasts resulting from investments into improving models.

NOAA's latest forecasts warn of the potential for hurricane - force winds from the northern Delmarva Peninsula to Cape Cod, Mass., and well inland, with rainfall totals topping 12 inches in some areas.

Recent advances have improved NOAA's intensity forecasts by 20 percent, but there are so many variables influencing the developing of a hurricane — from the energy they draw from the oceans to their interactions with the surrounding environment and their dynamic inner cores — that storms like Matthew befuddle many experts.

On Friday morning, the National Hurricane Center forecast indicated 50 percent or greater odds for tropical storm - force winds — surface winds greater than 39 mph — from Georgia to the eastern edge of Long Island.

When severe weather and hurricanes approach Houston, TX, get live weather radars, maps and forecasts on from the Houston Chronicle.

According to the latest update from the National Hurricane Center, Hurricane Maria currently has maximum sustained winds of 160 mph, making it a category 5, and the storm is forecast to remain an extremely dangerous category 4 or 5 storm as it approaches the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico tonight and Wednesday.

Hurricane season lasts from June to September, so if you're planning to travel during this period be sure to check the forecast.

Diving at Ambergris Caye is possible year - round but do keep an eye on hurricane forecasts from July to September.

The official National Hurricane Center forecast from 5 pm EDT Tuesday (unchanged at 8 pm) calls for:

That's an excerpt from the latest extended forecast from the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration for the superstorm that nearly all computer simulations see developing in a few days as the remains of Hurricane Sandy — which has already killed at least 21 people in the Caribbean — collide over the East Coast with a cold front sweeping in from the west.

In following the course of projections for this storm, and then the burst of criticism about failed intensity forecasts, I was brought back to the hours I spent with meteorologists at the National Hurricane Center in September, 2004, as they tracked the course of Hurricane Ivan (shortly before I headed to Alabama to cover its landfall as a major hurricane; here's a narrated report I filed fromHurricane Center in September, 2004, as they tracked the course of Hurricane Ivan (shortly before I headed to Alabama to cover its landfall as a major hurricane; here's a narrated report I filed fromHurricane Ivan (shortly before I headed to Alabama to cover its landfall as a major hurricane; here's a narrated report I filed fromhurricane; here's a narrated report I filed from Mobile).

It's important to note that most of the failures in protecting New Orleans and nearby communities from the ravages attending Hurricane Katrina had little to do with forecasting questions.

Less well understood by the scientific communities interested in hurricanes — from their basic physics to improved forecasts — and the processes controlling key physical and biological variables in the upper ocean, are the details of coupled interactions between tropical cyclones and the ocean.

In much the same way that the seasonal forecasts for the number of hurricanes is determined from a suite of indicators, this seems to be the most reasonable approach for glacier mass balance forecasting.

The nine chapters deal with issues ranging from the global atmosphere and climate to observing, mapping and forecasting weather, as well as chapters on «Explaining the weather», majoring on moist processes and «Hazardous weather», focusing primarily on hurricanes.

AER scientists have developed techniques to process an ensemble of over fifty tropical cyclone track forecasts from all leading US and international hurricane modeling centers.

The National Hurricane Center forecasts storm surge using the SLOSH model, which is an abbreviation for Sea, Lake and Overland Surges from Hurricanes.

«A hurricane of this magnitude will have impacts extending far from its center, so it's important for residents not to focus on the exact forecast track but to consider the system as a whole,» he said.

And yet, the actual forecasts in the IPCC (even if you believe them) are far from apocalyptic — 8.5 inches sea level rise, some increased droughts and hurricanes (unless you take the most extreme scenario).

For example, as part of HFIP, a group of researchers set up shop in Boulder, Colo., far from tropical weather systems, where they took advantage of high speed computer resources to duplicate a computer model that the Hurricane Center relies on to make its forecasts.

Data from an ocean glider equipped with a host of scientific instrumentation and deployed ahead of the storm allowed researchers not only to see how sediment was being redistributed by the hurricane as the storm unfolded but also to compare their real - life observations with forecasts from mathematical models.

Results from real - data simulations and forecasts strongly suggested the potential of improving hurricane prediction with a comprehensive three - dimensional model.

Forecasting Katrina: The above plot shows a snapshot from a GFDL forecast of Hurricane Katrina.

But a hurricane forecast for a month from now?

Residents of Caribbean islands and the coastal United States — including those still recovering from last year's storms — may need to brace themselves for another intense hurricane season, as forecasts predict «above average» Atlantic storm activity in 2018.

The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, that may depend on the thermohaline circulation and thus ocean currents in the Atlantic, is not set up to match today's state, but it is a critical component of the Atlantic hurricanes and it undoubtedly affects forecasts for the next decade from Brazil to Europe.

* hope that the scientists forecasting low temperature rise are correct, * start mitigation programs (much of which are necessary anyway, such as preparation of the US East coast for rising sea levels (necessary anyway to prepare for normal hurricane impacts) * crash fund climate research — rather than the underfunded, uncoordinated work done today — to better predict and prepare, * crash fund energy research, * push use of alternatives (I don't expect much from this), * take steps to crash the global economy — the alarmists recommendation, which I reject.

The models heavily relied upon by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) had not projected this multidecadal stasis in «global warming»; nor (until trained ex post facto) the fall in TS from 1940 - 1975; nor 50 years» cooling in Antarctica (Doran et al., 2002) and the Arctic (Soon, 2005); nor the absence of ocean warming since 2003 (Lyman et al., 2006; Gouretski & Koltermann, 2007); nor the onset, duration, or intensity of the Madden - Julian intraseasonal oscillation, the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation in the tropical stratosphere, El Nino / La Nina oscillations, the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, or the Pacific Decadal Oscillation that has recently transited from its warming to its cooling phase (oceanic oscillations which, on their own, may account for all of the observed warmings and coolings over the past half - century: Tsoniset al., 2007); nor the magnitude nor duration of multi-century events such as the Mediaeval Warm Period or the Little Ice Age; nor the cessation since 2000 of the previously - observed growth in atmospheric methane concentration (IPCC, 2007); nor the active 2004 hurricane season; nor the inactive subsequent seasons; nor the UK flooding of 2007 (the Met Office had forecast a summer of prolonged droughts only six weeks previously); nor the solar Grand Maximum of the past 70 years, during which the Sun was more active, for longer, than at almost any similar period in the past 11,400 years (Hathaway, 2004; Solankiet al., 2005); nor the consequent surface «global warming» on Mars, Jupiter, Neptune's largest moon, and even distant Pluto; nor the eerily - continuing 2006 solar minimum; nor the consequent, precipitate decline of ~ 0.8 °C in TS from January 2007 to May 2008 that has canceled out almost all of the observed warming of the 20th century.

By deriving detailed meaning and clarity from new instrument technologies, we have improved weather forecasting, severe storm tracking for hurricanes and understanding of the Earth's climate and advanced meteorological research.