Their prediction is based on the quantity of incoming solar radiation and uses 16 - day forecasts
from a numerical weather prediction model (WRF).
Not exact matches
Apart
from ground stations,
weather forecasts are heavily dependent on
weather satellites for information to start or «initialize» the
numerical weather prediction models that are the foundation of modern
weather prediction.
Sea surface temperature (SST) measured
from Earth Observation Satellites in considerable spatial detail and at high frequency, is increasingly required for use in the context of operational monitoring and forecasting of the ocean, for assimilation into coupled ocean - atmosphere
model systems and for applications in short - term
numerical weather prediction and longer term climate change detection.
Type 2 dynamic downscaling refers to regional
weather (or climate) simulations in which the regional
model's initial atmospheric conditions are forgotten (i.e., the
predictions do not depend on the specific initial conditions), but results still depend on the lateral boundary conditions
from a global
numerical weather prediction where initial observed atmospheric conditions are not yet forgotten, or are
from a global reanalysis.
We can perhaps learn
from numerical weather prediction where the benefits of developing global
prediction models with high vertical and horizontal resolution are clear cut (confirmed most recently by
predictions of Sandy).
ERA - Interim combines information
from meteorological observations with background information
from a forecast
model, using the data assimilation approach developed for
numerical weather prediction.
Meteorological observations
from radiosondes are also applied to benchmark the
numerical weather prediction models used to forecast day - to - day
weather.
That requires considerable sensitivity research with state - of - the art
numerical weather prediction (and climate)
models... This hand - waving theory may not hold up when a rigorous scientific hypothesis is tested, yet McKibben does not provide a citation or reference aside
from Masters» quotations, which are not peer - reviewed in the slightest.»
I think the only way to approach the Arctic - wide temperature changes is through reanalyses (data assimilation by
numerical weather prediction models)[link]; see this figure
from the ECMWF reanalyses [link]:
They are also produced
from the
numerical weather prediction (NWP)
models.