While this area of research is still far
from predicting eruptions, Liu said, improving the fundamental understanding of the underlying dynamics of supervolcano formation is key to many future applications of relevant geophysical knowledge.
Not exact matches
Scientists at the program's five volcano observatories monitor and interpret seismic signals, ground deformation via satellite images, and gases emitted
from volcanoes,
predicting eruptions and impacts.
So the team used data
from volcanic
eruptions on Earth to
predict what an Earth - like exoplanet might look like during such
eruptions.
Geologists will combine the data
from TIMS with maps of the volcano to calculate heat loss in and around the mountain to help
predict future
eruptions.
These results help scientists
predict where pollution
from future
eruptions will spread.»
However, scientists
from Trinity College Dublin have just discovered how to prise volcanic secrets
from magma crystals, which means they are better able to piece together the history of global geography and to
predict future
eruptions of active volcanoes.
Global climate models have successfully
predicted the rise in temperature as greenhouse gases increased, the cooling of the stratosphere as the troposphere warmed, polar amplification due the ice - albedo effect and other effects, greater increase in nighttime than in daytime temperatures, and the magnitude and duration of the cooling
from the
eruption of Mount Pinatubo.
The injection of stratospheric aerosols
from the
eruption of Mt. Pinatubo was noted as the first modern test of a known radiative forcing, and indeed one climate model accurately
predicted the temperature response (Hansen et al., 1992).
Even though average global temperatures can certainly be lowered by feeding reflective particles into the stratosphere — we know this
from observations of big volcanic
eruptions — regional consequences can't yet be adequately
predicted by climate models.
Hansen et al. (1981), «emerge» p. 957; another scientist who compared temperature trends with a combination of CO2, emissions
from volcanic
eruptions, and supposed solar cycles, likewise got a good match, and used the cycles to
predict that greenhouse warming would swamp other influences after about 2000.
The DePreSys hindcast starting
from June 1985 correctly
predicted a rapid warming during the transition
from the weak La Niña of 1985 to the El Niño of 1986 1987 and correctly
predicted the warming trend throughout the period until the
eruption of Mount Pinatubo.