The researchers also looked at deviations of daily temperatures
from seasonal averages in trying to determine the effect of anomalies on crime rates.
The White House notes that «even small differences
from seasonal average temperatures result in illness and death.
Provisional figures for Yorkshire show it was much wetter than normal, but with a marked contrast temperature-wise from west to east, with mean temperatures in the east not actually far
from the seasonal average.
Not exact matches
Adding to the population mix are
seasonal residents
from midwestern states and Canada, with an
average age of 71.
Natural Gas Natural gas futures were among the quarter's key decliners -LRB--7.5 %, to US$ 2.73 per million British thermal units) as production growth outweighed
seasonal consumption and higher exports of the fuel.1 Spot prices saw an even larger drop of 20.6 % (to US$ 2.81) as the support of December's weather - related demand spikes faded and a more normal winter pattern developed.1 Natural gas generally took its downward price cues
from elevated US production and growth in the natural gas - focused rig count, which increased
from 179 to 194 in March alone.2 Despite the price drop, traders remained optimistic given surging US shale - gas exports and a supply deficit that was 20 % larger than the five - year
average at March - end, the biggest in four years.3 Moreover, total natural gas inventories of 1.38 trillion cubic feet were nearly 33 % below their year - ago level.3 Meanwhile, the market appeared focused on an anticipated production surge (2018 is projected to be a record growth year for gas supplies) and may have overlooked intensifying demand as US exports increasingly helped drain supplies.
«We want to support our local beef industry while adhering to our culinary direction of regional,
seasonal and artisanal,» Babian said on the event's website, adding that the resort purchases 21 - to 40 - day - aged whole beef carcasses
from Kulana Foods,
averaging about two or three a month.
In its Australian 2018 Beef Cattle
Seasonal Outlook, agribusiness banking specialist Rabobank said a combination of increased supply, reduced producer demand and weaker global prices will see domestic cattle prices ease
from the highs of 2017 to stabilise at just above five - year
averages.
Serving decidedly fresh prime seafood
from both the Atlantic and Pacific procured
from pristine waters around the world that are delivered daily, including highly prized
seasonal items, Eddie V's San Diego can turn an
average dining out experience into an unforgettable occasion.
One of the fun things about shopping at Trader Joe's is that their freezer case is stocked with pastries and other desserts that you won't see at your
average supermarket,
from seasonal breakfast pastries to canneles.
SIDS deaths have historically been observed more frequently in the colder months, and the fewest SIDS deaths occurred in the warmest months.23 In 1992, SIDS rates had an
average seasonal change of 16.3 %, compared with only 7.6 % in 1999,24 which is consistent with reports
from other countries.25
It shows that the greatest threats to the UK come
from periods of too much or too little water, increasing
average and extreme
seasonal temperatures, and rising sea levels.
Now, researchers
from Imperial College London and the World Health Organization (WHO) have developed a new model to quantify yellow fever dynamics across Africa using not only annual
averages of these climatic measures, but
seasonal dynamics.
TOA radiation anomalies are determined
from monthly
averages by removing the
seasonal cycle then smoothing with a twelve - month running mean.
The wood - fire pizza oven churns out pizzas that are far
from average; the use of local cheeses, cured meats and
seasonal toppings elevates this fast food staple to fine cuisine, and the generous portion sizes mean they're designed for sharing (great for getting up close and personal with your date).
The basic idea is to estimate the trend component, by smoothing the data or by fitting a regression model, and then estimate the
seasonal component, by
averaging the de-trended
seasonal data points (e.g., the December
seasonal effect comes
from the data points for all Decembers in the series).
Seasonal differences in predation rates were quantified using data
from those cats
from single - cat households studied for ≥ 4 seasons; where an individual had been studied in the same season for two years, predation rates for that season were
averaged.
For example since the temperature anomalies used in the analyses are local
seasonal averages, then an increase in the value of a temperature anomaly might arise simply
from a shift in the local temperature distribution.
Tuning to the
seasonal cycle, or to the climatological
average, or to the variance of some field — which can be well characterised
from observations, is different to tuning to a transient change of over time — which is often less well known.
BTW, aside
from averages, I notice that the
seasonal temperature curve seems to have been pushed forward in time a few weeks, with it statying warmer or colder longer in the year.
But more generally, something I've wondered is: while in the global annual
average, aerosols could be said to partly cancel (net effect) the warming
from anthropogenic greenhouse forcing, the circulatory, latitudinal, regional,
seasonal, diurnal, and internal variability changes would be some combination of reduced changes
from reduced AGW + some other changes related to aerosol forcing.
Monthly
averages to me make the most sense
from a time point of view because they are too short for
seasonal effects and long enough to reduce noise.
Smaller obliquity transfers annual
average insolation
from higher latitudes (would make polar regions darker) to lower latitudes and reduces the
seasonal ranges (would make winters less dark for less long).
Alignment of perihelion near winter solstice would reduce the annual
average insolation (because that hemisphere'til ts away»
from the sun during the time of year when global TOA insolation is largest) while reducing the
seasonal range (tendency for cooler summers, warmer winters - but also, longer spring - summer and shorter fall - winter because the Earth's angular speed around the Sun is faster when Earth is closer to the Sun.
There can / will be local and regional, latitudinal, diurnal and
seasonal, and internal variability - related deviations to the pattern (in temperature and in optical properties (LW and SW)
from components (water vapor, clouds, snow, etc.) that vary with weather and climate), but the global
average effect is at least somewhat constrained by the global
average vertical distribution of solar heating, which requires the equilibrium net convective + LW fluxes, in the global
average, to be sizable and upward at all levels
from the surface to TOA, thus tending to limit the extent and magnitude of inversions.)
Figure 4:
Seasonal and annual (with a 12 - month running
average) northern hemisphere snow cover extent (data
from Rutgers University Global Snow Lab)
On a
seasonal basis the ranges between the daily maximum, minimum and
average are all listed and the lowest ratio is that the daily minimum temperature range over the year is 77,000 times greater than the temperature difference that would result
from the proposed 30 % reduction in emissions.
Such targeted «forecasts of opportunity» would represent a departure
from the usual practice in
seasonal forecasting where skill levels are
averaged across all reforecasts for a particular season and start date, and might spawn a substantial research effort needed to properly represent and convey the conditional skill of such forecasts, perhaps in terms of spread - skill relationships.
Indicative results are remarkably positive for retrofits: the
average seasonal COPs for the 20 heat pumps are working out at roughly 3.2 — as an
average for both space heating and hot water, including a heating season that took in the «Beast
from the East».
The 31 years of satellite measurement of OLR show an
average OLR of around 232Watts / m ^ 2 with a range
from 227Watts / m ^ 2 to 237Watts / m ^ 2 in response to the annual
seasonal variation in absolute global temperature between 12 °C and 16 °C due to the significantly larger temperate landmass in the Northern hemisphere.
Any change in CO2 levels should be calculated
from calendar year
averages or 12 month moving
averages to remove the
seasonal cycle.
The Hadley Centre have reprocessed this data into a 5 x 5 degree grid, calculated a similar grid of local
seasonal variations and produced a gridded database of monthly
average temperature deviations
from this
seasonal climatology.
Temperatures are given as deviations
from local
seasonal averages, calculated for the period 1950 - 79.
Positive forcing at
seasonal to inter-annual scales leads to an
average global surface temperature drop
from La Nina influence but recharging of OHC (longer term gain), while reduced forcing allows El Nino conditions and temporary peaks in global
average temperature, and OHC reduction (longer term loss).
To compute the effect of the interaction of changing
seasonal insolation and albedo, he uses albedo data
from NASA's Terra satelite, finding a total of 3.674 x 10 ^ 24 Joules of solar energy absorbed over the Gaussian year (equivalent to 228.25 W / m ^ 2
averaged over the globe.
This is likely because we maximized the covariance between the sea ice field and the atmospheric circulation by restricting our time
averaging to the
seasonal mean and restricting our spatial domain to 0 ° — 180 ° W and 30 ° — 75 ° S. Inevitably, indices calculated
from local data will explain more local variance than those based on remote data.
The interesting statistical features disappear when the underlying
seasonal pattern is removed by subtracting
from each month the
average value for that month.
To investigate these conditions, temperature and precipitation data gathered
from BC provincial ministries, BC Hydro and Environment Canada were analyzed to compare monthly and
seasonal averages for the 1900 through 2016 period against the long - term
averages from the period 1971 - 2000.
Using government statistics and geospatial data on natural gas use, we find the
average fractional loss rate to the atmosphere
from all downstream components of the natural gas system, including transmission, distribution, and end use, was 2.7 ± 0.6 % in the Boston urban region, with little
seasonal variability.
For example, the melting of the Greenland ice sheet broke previous records in 2002, 2005, and 2007, and
seasonal melting
from 1996 to 2007 was above average compared with the 1973 - 2007 period.10, 11 The melting of the Greenland ice sheet contributed around 0.02 inch (0.6 millimeter) to global sea - level rise in 2005 — more than double the 1996 contribution.4 From 1993 to 2003 the average rate of sea - level rise increased to about 0.12 inches (3.1 millimeters) per year.12 That means that in 2005 Greenland could have contributed 19 percent of the average annual global sea level rise r
from 1996 to 2007 was above
average compared with the 1973 - 2007 period.10, 11 The melting of the Greenland ice sheet contributed around 0.02 inch (0.6 millimeter) to global sea - level rise in 2005 — more than double the 1996 contribution.4
From 1993 to 2003 the average rate of sea - level rise increased to about 0.12 inches (3.1 millimeters) per year.12 That means that in 2005 Greenland could have contributed 19 percent of the average annual global sea level rise r
From 1993 to 2003 the
average rate of sea - level rise increased to about 0.12 inches (3.1 millimeters) per year.12 That means that in 2005 Greenland could have contributed 19 percent of the
average annual global sea level rise rate.
PCIC has made
seasonal maps of
average temperature and total precipitation departures
from the 30 - year climatology at observational weather stations in BC, for all months
from 1972 onward.
Seasonal, global surface air temperature anomalies from boreal spring 1979 to autumn 2017 relative to the respective seasonal average for the period 1981
Seasonal, global surface air temperature anomalies
from boreal spring 1979 to autumn 2017 relative to the respective
seasonal average for the period 1981
seasonal average for the period 1981 - 2010.
However, time series trends are more appropriately modelled dynamically using decomposition methods [32]--[34], and an alternative temperature anomaly series can be constructed using departures
from a dynamic
seasonal pattern, following estimation using a centred 12 - point moving
average (e.g., [34]-RRB-.
Which is a bit strange considering a report
from the European Environment Agency showing that temperatures in the Alps are increasing a twice rate of the global
average with more droughts and greater
seasonal variability in precipitation forecast.
The September — November 2017
seasonal global land and ocean temperature was 0.75 °C (1.35 °F) above the 20th century
average of 14.0 °C (57.1 °F)-- the fourth highest temperature departure
from average for September — November in the 1880 — 2017 period.
Creative Concepts (Ft. Lauderdale, FL) 06/1994 — 11/1999 Assistant Manager • Partnered with promotions staff to implement marketing strategies targeting
seasonal audience • Grew revenue 25 + %
from previous season through effective strategies and operations • Produced new concept for «The Bridge» which elevated per person check
averages $ 0.50 • Implemented new themed evenings and events to create top of mind placement of clubs within targeted markets
There does tend to be a
seasonal slowdown in the first quarter, but this first quarter's deceleration in rent was considerably lower than the 0.8 percent increase in the first quarter 2015 and the
average first quarter rent growth rate of 0.6 percent
from 2011 to 2015.
«The
average days on market for residential properties (27) has increased a bit
from the 22 to 25 days seen April through July, and that's a
seasonal trend,» noted RAHB President Kim Alvarez.