We opened the game at +6.5 and immediately took limit bets on LSU
from sharp money.
«Almost all of the movement in this matchup has been
from sharp money.»
Not exact matches
However, Ohio State has moved
from -13.5 to -17 around the market despite just 33 % of tickets, a clear indication that
sharper money is taking the Buckeyes.
Now that we're receiving real
money percentages
from a
sharp offshore sportsbook, we can see that betting against the public has been profitable for both favorites and underdogs.
Money percentages that contradict our ticket percentages are often an indicator of sharp money and, although Iowa is receiving the majority of spread tickets, larger bets (presumably from betting syndicates) have been placed on Illi
Money percentages that contradict our ticket percentages are often an indicator of
sharp money and, although Iowa is receiving the majority of spread tickets, larger bets (presumably from betting syndicates) have been placed on Illi
money and, although Iowa is receiving the majority of spread tickets, larger bets (presumably
from betting syndicates) have been placed on Illinois.
Every sport book today is computerized, Back in my day
money always moved the line if a player was respected, and if the squares tossed enough
money on a game most books would move the line a little, However the big books would just sit and even take layoffs
from the small stores, They knew even if the squares got hot in the end the juice would eat em up.Gone are the days when Billy Walters and his crew would move the line 3 and 4 points, I'm talking sides not totals, Forget about what they did to the horseshoe with totals in the NBA, Back then you could catch small non computerized stores with bad lines to begin with, imagine a three point move and the small store or corner bookie is off on the line a few points to begin with, I could catch some game with 6 and seven point advantages, with computers today if you can catch a half or one point advantage your lucky.Even if you know the group moving the line most of these store move the lines on air, when I say air they just watch the screen
from D.B. And move the line before they even get hit, Hell even the big stores have the
sharps on small limits per call.
We've also seen
sharp money on the Under, moving
from 203.5 to 202.5.
Those triggers indicate smart /
sharp money driving the line down
from Giants -2.5 to +1.5.
«
Money on [Golden State]
from sharps and public,» said Kaminsky.
While our Bet Signals data have not triggered any
sharp money indicators, the line ticking down
from Michigan State +2 to +1.5 indicates that the larger wagers have taken the points so far in this matchup.
Additionally, a number of betting systems have been triggered on Kansas City, including a Smart
Money Play
from Sportsbook.com (7 - 3, +3.55 units), providing further evidence that
sharp bettors like the home dog in this contest.
In David Purdum's recent article at ESPN Chalk, he reports that large bets by square bettors taking the short trip
from California have been on the Dodgers, but sportsbooks expect
sharp money to come in on the Astros for both game 1 and the series.
This
sharp money caused the total to drop
from 8 to 7.5 across the sports betting marketplace, but there are still a few offshore books that haven't moved off 8.
If we look at the line graph, we can see a
sharp uptick in
money right (represented by the green line) right before Atlanta flipped
from +1 to -1.
If the Tampa Bay Rays are only receiving 20 % of moneyline tickets against the Boston Red Sox, but the Rays unexpectedly drop
from +140 to +130, it's a strong indicator that
sharp money is fading the public and backing the underdog.
It's also worth noting that our best
sharp money indicator on this game (a smart
money alert at CRIS) was triggered when Bookmaker momentarily adjusted the line
from Cleveland -7.5 to -8.
The Lightning are currently getting only 36 % of moneyline bets for the opener but have moved
from -116 to -130 at Pinnacle, indicating some
sharp money on Tampa Bay to grab a series lead.
Still, even after receiving 60 % of spread bets the Packers saw the line drop
from 7 to 6 indicating that
sharp money was taking the Niners.
The
sharp money is looking the other way however, forcing the line on Oakland
from -3.5 to -4.
Apparently that
sharp money was dead on as San Francisco dominated Green Bay — though the final 30 - 22 score was far
from indicative of this one - sided play.
«Both
sharps and squares on the Cavs» side here, and we have massive liability with 91 percent of the
money handle on Cleveland at this point,» according to Scott Cooley, a spokesman
from Bookmaker.
We did track
sharp money on Golden State in the opener, where they got less than 50 % of spread bets but moved
from -7 to -7.5.
It does look like
sharp money likes the Under though — the total has dropped
from 7.5 to 7 since opening, and 75 % of the
money wagered has come in on the Under.
I should start by noting that the line can move for a variety of reasons including injuries, weather and officials, but most of the time oddsmakers shade their opening lines to account for public
money on the favorite and then allow
sharp money from their most respected clients to shape the line.
And finally, here's a glimpse
from our
Sharp Action Report showing the sharp money bets, available with the Advantage member
Sharp Action Report showing the
sharp money bets, available with the Advantage member
sharp money bets, available with the Advantage membership:
The Beavers have gone just 1 - 5 ATS this season but
sharp money appears to be on them this weekend — they've moved
from +12.5 to +10 despite getting just 25 % of spread tickets.
There has also been some slight
sharp money indicators on the Raiders with the Titans line dropping
from -7 to -6.
Not only has the spread taken a beating
from professional bettors, but
sharp money has pounded the opening total of 54 as well.
Public
money was responsible for the initial three - point line move, and
sharp money on Washington caused the line to drop
from 16.5 to 14.
Following that initial move,
sharp money continued to hammer Penn State which caused the Nittany Lions to move
from +3 to +1.5.
Early
sharp money pushed Ohio State
from -3 to -3.5, but public
money on Clemson has caused that line to drop.
Despite heavy public action on the Gators,
sharper money moved LSU all the way
from +6.5 to -2 by game time.
However, several months ago we started to receive the percentage of
money wagered on each side
from one of the
sharpest offshore sportsbooks.
For example, if several sportsbooks adjust the spread
from Notre Dame +14 to +13 within a short window, you would know that
sharp money took the Fighting Irish getting two touchdowns.
Former Baylor head coach Art Briles, who was fired in May following revelations of misconduct by Baylor football players, saw his odds improve
from 50/1 to 15/1 based on early
sharp money.
Despite early
sharp money on Briles, his odds of being the Tigers» head coach for Week 1 of the 2017 season have dropped
from +1500 to +5400.
Our best
sharp money indicator came
from the betting trends at the Las Vegas based William Hill sportsbook, where a majority of bettors were taking the Saints but more
money had been bet on the «Skins.
Betting market: This game is very interesting, not only because it's one of the few Week 17 contests that involves two teams with something to play for, but because the line has moved
from Falcons -3 up to -4, despite no
sharp money to speak of.
Despite receiving just 41 % of spread bets, Dallas has actually moved
from +6.5 to +6 indicating that there may be some
sharp money on the road dog.
I like the value and the fact early
Sharp money has pushed this line
from 9.5 to 8.5.
Those triggers indicate smart /
sharp money driving the line down
from Oklahoma -5 to -3.
You can see that early public
money on the White Sox caused the Tigers to move
from +120 to +127 before
sharp money hammered Detroit.
Unfortunately our sample size is too small to extract much
from the top trends during the Final Four; however, we do have a number of
sharp money indicators for Saturday's games.
Last year we also added
money percentages
from one of the
sharper offshore sportsbooks, which allows us to fully analyze all of the factors responsible for line movement.
It includes real - time odds
from over 50 different sportsbooks, public betting trends, betting and dollar percentages, the number of bets on every game,
sharp money Bet Signals, including steam and reverse line movement alerts, our in - house contrarian plays, plus our exclusive Best Bet picks for all sports — NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NBA, NCAAB.
That
sharp money caused the line to drop
from Cleveland +8 to +7.5 across the sports betting marketplace.
Tennessee has only covered in 2 of the last 8 games vs. Alabama and an early move
from -14 to -16.5 is almost entirely due to
sharp money, but there may be value on the Volunteers if they reach +17.
Sharp money immediately hammered Cincinnati, and the line quickly moved 2.5 - points
from CIN -4.5 to CIN -7.
In the past we have discussed how bettors can identify
sharp money while betting on the WNBA, but many readers do not realize that we also trigger a number of profitable WNBA bet signals — particularly
from the market - setting sportsbooks.
Although the majority of bettors were taking Wake Forest, this
sharp money caused Kansas State to move
from +1 to -2 within minutes.