As you can see from the table below, this increased volume
from square bettors has created excellent contrarian value.
During the playoffs, the number of bets placed on every game nearly doubles, with much of the action
from square bettors.
Not exact matches
On the other hand,
square books like Bovada and Sportsbook have low limits and aren't going to be taking any large bets
from the world's sharpest
bettors.
In David Purdum's recent article at ESPN Chalk, he reports that large bets by
square bettors taking the short trip
from California have been on the Dodgers, but sportsbooks expect sharp money to come in on the Astros for both game 1 and the series.
When you say «Oddsmakers are more willing to move the line on a $ 5000 bet
from a sharp
bettor than they would for a $ 25000 bet
from a
square.»
Oddsmakers are more willing to move the line on a $ 5000 bet
from a sharp
bettor than they would for a $ 25000 bet
from a
square.
During the regular season we'll typically see the majority of
square bettors hammering the favorite, but sportsbooks take enough action
from sharp
bettors to mitigate their risk.
This indicates that most sportsbooks have likely been taking big money
from sharp
bettors on Pittsburgh to counter the influx of public /
square money on Indianapolis.
Oddsmakers can accurately anticipate one - sided action
from public
bettors, and they react by shading lines to force «
square»
bettors to take bad numbers when playing the popular side of a game.