Sentences with phrase «full uncertainty ranges»
By 2300, the central estimates of extra warming were more variable, and ranged from 0.13 to 1.69 °C when full uncertainty ranges were taken into account.
https://climatesight.org/
This requirement directly follows from the purpose of the RCPs to facilitate climate model runs that are relevant for policy - making and scientific assessment (and thus cover the full uncertainty range).
Not exact matches
«It's safer to... be looking at the full range of uncertainty in the models rather than picking and choosing,» he said.
The fields used to illustrate the theme are those of health care and civil nuclear power, the former to paint a general picture of the hierarchy of uncertainty, and the latter to show the full range of relationships between governments and their advisers in a series of specific examples.
I'll be refining the goals and guidelines for Dot Earth shortly and would be eager to hear from you on ways to keep this effort useful, while still considering the full range of reasoned views out there on momentous issues laced with inherent complexity and some unavoidable uncertainty.
There are reasons why the AR4 runs did not span the whole possible space of aerosol forcings & sensitivity (e.g., Kiehl, 2007, GRL) and thus do not sample the full range of uncertainty.
we use global - scale atmospheric CO2 measurements, CO2 emission inventories and their full range of uncertainties to calculate changes in global CO2 sources and sinks during the past 50 years.
[The main conclusion of this analysis is that sea level uncertainty is not smaller now than it was at the time of the TAR, and that quoting the 18 - 59 cm range of sea level rise, as many media articles have done, is not telling the full story.
Unwillingness to combine the evidence in this way might be justified by the difficulties of estimating the full range of uncertainties of each analysis, but if the likelihood curves are taken seriously, combining all independent evidence is a natural procedure that should be done.
Applying ad hoc filtering mechanisms to reduce the solution space may «look» scientific, but without some basis for applying the solution space reduction the argument is that the policy makers should be presented with the full range of uncertainty.
In his talk, «Statistical Emulation of Streamflow Projections: Application to CMIP3 and CMIP5 Climate Change Projections,» PCIC Lead of Hydrological Impacts, Markus Schnorbus, explored whether the streamflow projections based on a 23 - member hydrological ensemble are representative of the full range of uncertainty in streamflow projections from all of the models from the third phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project.
Spanning that full range is important in being able to properly sample the uncertainty of the climate as it applies in an impacts context.
Moreover, to cover the full range of uncertainty in the historical volcanic eruption data, we even try the case with 3 times the best estimate of volcanic forcing.
What is important in many climate change impacts contexts is appropriately sampling the full range of known uncertainties, regardless of spatial resolution.
Extending the VIC ensemble to cover the full range of uncertainty represented by CMIP3, and incorporating the latest generation CMIP5 ensembles, poses a considerable computing challenge.
Our result allows the climate community to evaluate the full range of the present uncertainty in solar forcing.
Although the AEO Retrospective focuses on the Reference case projections, readers are encouraged to review the full range of cases in the AEO, which illustrate the uncertainty inherent in long - term projections.
They use a group of climate models — characterized as «an ensemble of opportunity» in AR4 — that don't reflect the full range of uncertainty in our knowledge of climate sensitivity.
When I've heard «doesn't represent the full range...» I've always interpreted it as something along the lines of «the ensemble of opportunity is not the ensemble you'd get if you explicitly asked researchers to characterize their (subjective) uncertainty.»
The papers themselves will always be well caveated and full of error ranges and uncertainty, often so much that seemingly different results are in fact compatible at the edges of their respective error bounds.
It is clear you do not like statements like «the current AOGCMs may not cover the full range of uncertainty for climate sensitivity».
There is uncertainty ahead of us as anti-women's health legislators target us, but we will never stop fighting to protect access to the full range of care our patients depend on: affordable birth control, STI testing and treatment, cancer screening and abortion.
A: There is uncertainty ahead of us but we will never stop fighting to protect access to the full range of care our patients depend on: affordable birth control, STD testing and treatment, cancer screening and abortion.
A: There is uncertainty ahead of us as anti-women's health legislators target us, but we will never stop fighting to protect access to the full range of care our patients depend on: affordable birth control, STI testing and treatment, cancer screening and abortion.