Sentences with phrase «fundamental uncertainty in»

I am probably as aware of any reader here of modeling challenges in general, and can appreciate the work your groups have performed, but I can also appreciate the implications of the mismatch that prompted your post: there is fundamental uncertainty in the interaction of the complex mechanisms that drive climate change, including the human effect.
However, as seen in Chart 10, there is some evidence of lower heterogeneity among forecasters in the Blue Chip survey compared with the Survey of Professional Forecasters, especially in recent periods, which, in retrospect, were periods of high fundamental uncertainty in the economy.
The Institute also announced that it has scheduled an ongoing attack on the report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, promising a «Fraser Institute Supplementary Analysis Series» on topics such as «Fundamental Uncertainties in Climate Modelling.»

Not exact matches

Of course, there is no shortage of fundamental issues to worry about: another downgrade to the outlook for global growth, uncertainty about the economic transition in China, the pace of normalization in the United States, worries about Europe, worries about Japan, just to cite a few.
The best way, in my opinion, to handle this uncertainty is to practice solid, fundamental investing principles.
You know that we believe in the fundamental resilience of the U.S. and world economy, and the markets that reflect them, even in the face of policy uncertainty.
Differences in judgment and the fundamental uncertainties surrounding the economic outlook should mean occasional differences in view.
Nonetheless, geopolitical risk does not disappear, nor do global linkages (note the strong pull of Chinese data and market moves of late, or the uncertainty surrounding US elections in November), so fundamentals may have to strengthen much more before the BOJ takes further easing off the table.
This is important news from a bitcoin fundamentals standpoint as it can be viewed as a big step forward in settling the block size debate and eliminating the lingering uncertainty around bitcoin's future.
Leslie Appleton - Young, Chief Economist for C.A.R., said as much in the aforementioned press release: «The underlying fundamentals continue to support overall home sales growth [in California], but headwinds, such as global economic uncertainty and deteriorating housing affordability, will temper stronger sales activity.»
The ethical and emotional crises that we experience today in relation to the thresholds of birth and death, the uncertainty as to where «personal» value may be located and anchored, and the resultant confusion in the realm of public policy and law are symptoms of the fundamental intellectual crisis of modern humanity.
But our questions are nevertheless signals of our fundamental uncertainty and our longing for a clearer vision of the reality in which we dwell, it is important therefore that we first bring our questions and uncertainties out into the open.
But, one need look no further than the current debate in the UK over the EU referendum to find other parallels with Repeal — e.g., an internal split in the Conservative party over British identity (particularly in a world with increasing trade linkages); the difficulty in ascertaining the winners and losers from a fundamental reorientation of trade policy, amidst inherent uncertainty; the existence of tensions between different sectors and regions, stemming from trade exposure; and so on.
Due to this uncertainty, many fundamental questions remain, not only about why the culture disappeared, but also precisely when these events occurred and how this civilization developed in the first place.
The latest finding builds on work published in 2008 by Vinokur and his associates that experimentally established the existence of the superinsulating state, while also proposing that it «mirrors» the behavior that occurs in the superconducting state, deriving it from the most fundamental quantum concept, the uncertainty principle.
The practice of science, which includes the packaging of findings from science for use in the public - policy arena, is governed by an unwritten code of conduct that includes such elements as mastering the relevant fundamental concepts before venturing into print in the professional or public arena, learning and observing proper practices for presenting ranges of respectable opinion and uncertainty, avoiding the selection of data to fit pre-conceived conclusions, reading the references one cites and representing their content accurately and fairly, and acknowledging and correcting the errors that have crept into ones work (some of which are, of course, inevitable) after they are discovered by oneself or by others.
The results include new asteroseismic solutions for four host stars with confirmed planets (Kepler - 4, Kepler - 14, Kepler - 23 and Kepler - 25) and increase the total number of Kepler host stars with asteroseismic solutions... ▽ More We have used asteroseismology to determine fundamental properties for 66 Kepler planet - candidate host stars, with typical uncertainties of 3 % and 7 % in radius and mass, respectively.
Abstract: We have used asteroseismology to determine fundamental properties for 66 Kepler planet - candidate host stars, with typical uncertainties of 3 % and 7 % in radius and mass, respectively.
This body of work plays with the idea of art as an ongoing conversation with posterity in which artifacts of the past are painted over, yet traces of the original art remain — and using the cave - dweller as a metaphor for the fundamental human condition: forever shrouded in darkness and uncertainty, yet determined to leave our own visions upon the walls of the cave.
Look, the GCMs are complicated, and yes there are uncertainties, but the fundamental reality, the 800 pound gorilla in the room is the fact that CO2 traps outgoing infrared radiation.
I think that Joe Public would be quite shocked that there is still so much apparent uncertainty in such a fundamental aspect of climate science, given the huge disruption already being caused by what may turn out to be premature attempts at mitigation.
The notion to act in a way that avoids harm, or at least minimizes risk as much as possible, when faced with risk and uncertainty has been around a long time and is rather fundamental to many of our normal human patterns.
Unfortunately, there are many factors that preclude an effective bound on the risks — ranging from uncertainties in downscaling to more fundamental issues such as the uncertainty of climate sensitivity.
«Thorne et al. ended with the conclusion that «there is no reasonable evidence of a fundamental disagreement between tropospheric temperature trends from models and observations when uncertainties in both are treated comprehensively».»
I note that any reasonable climate change class should highlight appropriate sources of uncertainties (e.g., in future projections of hurricane changes, cloud feedbacks, etc) and I prefer when they open up discussing to students, but I find that Judith carries this further into making up uncertainties based on her gut feeling, interpreting them in ways that make little sense, and most importantly, failing to recognize the errors in flawed sets of reasoning on fundamental topics.
In the face of such fundamental uncertainties, two cardinal rules should govern any sane response to the climate crisis.
There is fundamental uncertainty even in such widely a accepted verity as the theory of evolution.
How Thorne et al could credibly claim that there is no reasonable evidence of a fundamental disagreement between tropospheric temperature trends from models and observations when uncertainties in both are treated comprehensively is mind - boggling.
In spite of these very fundamental uncertainties, the Kyoto Protocol, adopted in 1997, insists on lowering emissions in the hope of reaching stabilization at some level, preferably one that is not too higIn spite of these very fundamental uncertainties, the Kyoto Protocol, adopted in 1997, insists on lowering emissions in the hope of reaching stabilization at some level, preferably one that is not too higin 1997, insists on lowering emissions in the hope of reaching stabilization at some level, preferably one that is not too higin the hope of reaching stabilization at some level, preferably one that is not too high.
These issues are the fundamental basis for uncertainty in science.
This Guide establishes general rules for evaluating and expressing uncertainty in measurement that can be followed at various levels of accuracy and in many fields — from the shop floor to fundamental research.
The fundamental problem is that policymakers don't want to hear about dissent and uncertainty — they must either be in favor of something or against it, and gray areas don't help.
Johnston says he was surprised to discover that «on virtually every major issue in climate change science» IPCC reports «systematically conceal or minimize what appear to be fundamental scientific uncertainties
The fundamental property which determines the uncertainty in a trend is therefore the level of noise in the data.
... In a recently published book titled Why Scientists Disagree About Global Warming, the technically qualified authors (scientists all) point to four reasons: a conflict among scientists in different disciplines; fundamental scientific uncertainties concerning how the global climate responds to the human presence; failure of the UN's IPCC to provide objective guidance to the complex science; and bias among researchers.&raquIn a recently published book titled Why Scientists Disagree About Global Warming, the technically qualified authors (scientists all) point to four reasons: a conflict among scientists in different disciplines; fundamental scientific uncertainties concerning how the global climate responds to the human presence; failure of the UN's IPCC to provide objective guidance to the complex science; and bias among researchers.&raquin different disciplines; fundamental scientific uncertainties concerning how the global climate responds to the human presence; failure of the UN's IPCC to provide objective guidance to the complex science; and bias among researchers.»
«Finally, Lorenz's theory of the atmosphere (and ocean) as a chaotic system raises fundamental, but unanswered questions about how much the uncertainties in climate - change projections can be reduced.
Independent of physics, logic, data uncertainties, and such, it is profoundly disturbing to see how often even simple statistical fundamentals are misused or possibly deliberately abused in «climate science».
These uncertainties make it difficult to determine whether models still have common, fundamental errors in their representation of the vertical structure of atmospheric temperature change.
This means that the inherent uncertainty in weather predictions are fundamental also for climate.
Viewing the statistical analysis from a more fundamental level will help to clarify some of the methodologies used in surface temperature reconstruction and highlight the different types of uncertainties associated with these various methods.
It is, however, a measure of their fundamental lack of seriousness that when there really are important uncertainties (i.e. the likelihood that climate sensitivity is higher than generally thought), they ignore them in favour of making the same repetitive uninteresting and incorrect claims they always make.
A review of the peer - edited literature reveals a systematic tendency of the climate establishment to engage in a variety of stylized rhetorical techniques that seem to oversell what is actually known about climate change while concealing fundamental uncertainties and open questions regarding many of the key process involved in climate change.
If fundamental terminology within a certain subject area is incoherent, legal uncertainty ensues, in particular as regards elementary questions such as digital exhaustion and digital lending.
Brought to you by the Real Law Editorial Team The uncertainty principle is a fundamental concept in quantum physics.
They looked at the way in which people make decisions under conditions of uncertainty and found that their behavior violated expected utility theory — a fundamental assumption of economic theory that holds that decision - makers reason instrumentally about how to maximize their gains.
This uncertainty, coupled with a glut of oil supply in global markets, has kept energy industry - dependent office markets such as Houston on the sidelines during the current surge in nationwide office fundamentals, Rutherford says.
«The negative rating reflects the uncertainty surrounding the impact of the deteriorating fundamentals of the Class - A multifamily property market on the REIT's operating performance and credit profile in 2002.»
Leslie Appleton - Young, Chief Economist for C.A.R., said as much in the aforementioned press release: «The underlying fundamentals continue to support overall home sales growth [in California], but headwinds, such as global economic uncertainty and deteriorating housing affordability, will temper stronger sales activity.»
In South America, Mexico City has become the unlikely leader in growth due to recently adopted business - friendly legislation and improved economic conditions, while Brazil has seen a slowdown in office fundamentals, along with a weakening economy and political uncertaintIn South America, Mexico City has become the unlikely leader in growth due to recently adopted business - friendly legislation and improved economic conditions, while Brazil has seen a slowdown in office fundamentals, along with a weakening economy and political uncertaintin growth due to recently adopted business - friendly legislation and improved economic conditions, while Brazil has seen a slowdown in office fundamentals, along with a weakening economy and political uncertaintin office fundamentals, along with a weakening economy and political uncertainty.
«While domestic buyers may be inclined to be more cautious in times of economic uncertainty, the truth of the matter is the fundamentals remain the same.
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