In all, a small swing to Labour (of 2 %, or less) from other parties could see
further seat gains fall into the party's hands in a number constituencies (highlighted by the yellow shaded constituencies on the map), with a particular cluster of these target constituencies being located in the Munster region.
Despite this, further small swings to the party in a number of Dail constituencies could see
further seat gains being made by Labour, as the map above suggests.
Not exact matches
Not that I'm looking ahead to Democratic
gains in the Fall, since we're defending
far too many marginal
seats picked up in the wave of 2008, but I do see a more typical incumbent - party loss in the range of 20 - 30
seats in the House and a handful in the Senate.
And all the while, the
seats Labour must
gain if it is ever to return to power spin
further and
further away.
As
far as the national picture is concerned, vote share matters more than
seats gained and lost (Comments: 26)
I have no doubt that the Conservative Party will make major
gains in votes and
seats in the next 10 years that will build to their return to power ultimately, but they are a long way off actually winning a majority and it has to be said that a Hung Parliament now looks more improbable than at any time since 2001, demographic factors are working against the Conservative Party as well - Labour
seats mostly are held with
far lower turnouts which is partly why Labour can get fewer votes than the Conservatives and end up with an overall majority and
far more
seats than the Conservative Party.
So
far, the Conservatives have made a net
gain of 885
seats, Labour a net loss of 492, the Liberal Democrats a net loss 243, and Others and Independents, a net loss of 152.
Democratic
gains were also visible
farther north, including in the counties that make up the competitive congressional
seat currently held by Republican John J. Faso.
If you take an overall view of Labour's performance they seem to be holding their own, but not making any significant advance — of the 164 local by - elections so
far this year (up to August 11th) Labour have made a net
gain of 2
seats.
With some votes still being counted, Natalie Bennett's party have two MEPs so
far,
gaining one
seat in the South West at the expense of the Lib Dems.
But after the Clegg surge, those potential
gains from the Lib Dems look
far less likely, meaning that the Conservatives probably need to make 120
gains from Labour and fight the Lib Dems to a draw, thereby still securing enough
seats for an overall majority.
Ukip have
gained almost 100
seats so
far - already exceeding one prediction made by election experts - and they seem to have
gained almost a quarter of the projected national share of the vote.
The last time any government won a by - election was in 1983, and with Labour considerably behind in the nationwide polls and Corbyn's popularity low, a
gain in either
seat would be a remarkable victory for the Conservatives and
further evidence that they are dominating the post-Brexit political landscape (though, as Matt Singh points out on NumberCruncherPolitics, it would be even more remarkable than this).
Local election results so
far show the Conservatives have made a net
gain of 27
seats across the West Midlands region, with Labour losing control of Nuneaton and Bedworth Council.
Overall the Conservatives have made a net
gain of 27
seats in the region so
far with Labour making a net loss of seven
seats.
Far short of the
gains of 400 council
seats that the likes of Chris Leslie put down as a benchmark.
This retirement is probably of more direct help to Labour than any announced so
far, given the marginality of the
seat; it's a strong chance of a
gain, but not an overwhelmingly odds - on one as is the case with
seats such as N Warwickshire & some others.
It is
far from impossible that the Tories, or perhaps UKIP, could take this
seat even while Labour is making yet more
gains in London.
The consolation for the Liberal Democrats is that relatively few people in these
seats realise they are in a Lab / LD marginal — if the party can successfully position themselves as THE party to beat Labour in those
seats, something they have great experience in doing, they could do
far better in those
seats and start
gaining Labour
seats to balance losses to the Tories.
Further versatility is
gained by rear
seats that slide forward and back — either side of the 60/40 setup will slide independently with a 7 - inch range of adjustment.
Well, the latest version of the Optima continues to
gain inspiration from
far more expensive European - built models and
furthers that idea by offering sport leather
seating in some trims.
While many families with more than four or five members may believe they have to drive around in a bulky minivan in order to
gain the benefits of a third row
seat, but this is
far from the case.
The standard 8 - way power driver's
seat gains a memory function for 2007, and the interior is
further differentiated from the Legacy 2.5 GT Limited model by aluminum - alloy pedal covers, a 3 - spoke MOMO (R) leather - wrapped steering wheel with integrated audio controls and «spec.B» floor mats.
The standard 8 - way power driver's
seat gains a memory function for 2007, and the interior is
further differentiated from the Legacy 2.5 GT Limited model by aluminum - alloy pedal covers, a 3 - spoke MOMOÂ ® leather - wrapped steering wheel with integrated audio controls and «spec.B» floor mats.
* The British National Party (BNP) is a
far - right, whites only, political party that
gained 0.7 % of the popular vote in the 2005 election and has no
seats in the British parliament.