Sentences with phrase «future climate prediction»

Since these variables are very important for future climate prediction, these results are quite encouraging.

Finally it is not true, as implied on Page 12, that «sole reliance on models to the exclusion of observed behavior» is the basis of future climate prediction.

On the broader implications of the findings and outlook, Dr Hossaini said: «Ozone is an important climate gas and changes to its abundance, including due to the increasing influence of dichloromethane, could be relevant for refining future climate predictions.

«If — and it's a big if — that turns out to be the right avenue to go down, that could play into the models we use for our future climate predictions.»

«Based on what we've found, it is possible that sea - level rise over decadal time scales will be a key storyline in future climate predictions,» he said.

A new integrated climate model developed by Oak Ridge National Laboratory and other institutions is designed to reduce uncertainties in future climate predictions as it bridges Earth systems with energy and economic models and large - scale human impact data.

A new integrated computational climate model developed to reduce uncertainties in future climate predictions marks the first successful attempt to bridge Earth systems with energy and economic models and large - scale human impact data.

The work of Schmittner et al. demonstrates that climates of the past can provide potentially powerful information to reduce uncertainty in future climate predictions and evaluate the likelihood of climate change that is larger than captured in present models.

The cloud feedback question is one of the largest remaining uncertainties in future climate predictions, so this is an important new paper.

The UK Met Office's Hadley Centre, responsible for future climate predictions, says it incorporates solar variation and ocean cycles into its climate models, and that they are nothing new.

«Near term and future climate predictions are essential for anticipating climate shocks and improving food security,» he said.

13) The inability of climate models to adequately reproduce the recent states and trends of Arctic sea ice diminishes confidence in their accuracy for making future climate predictions.

Not exact matches

At present, the long - term recovery of the Ozone Layer from the effects of CFCs is still on track, but the presence of increasing dichloromethane will add some uncertainty to our future predictions of ozone and climate.»

«And hence it provides a baseline for predictions on how that part of the climate system may behave in the future.»

A step that could improve climate models A better understanding of how the atmosphere and the oceans communicate and exchange things like CO2 can also help improve climate models and predictions of the future.

That means the future of agriculture as the climate changes could be even worse than this prediction — and that's before taking into account other factors such as the effect of pests.

At present, the long - term recovery of the Ozone Layer from the effects of CFCs is still on track, but the presence of increasing dichloromethane will lead to uncertainty in our future predictions of ozone and climate.»

To get some idea of what climate change will likely mean for the reefs, the World Heritage Centre asked coral experts at NOAA and elsewhere to produce what they claim is a first of its kind study «that scientifically quantifies the scale of the issue, makes a prediction of where the future lies, and indicates effects up to the level of individual sites,» says Fanny Douvere, marine program coordinator at the center.

But he is hopeful for the future of satellite - based prediction — even as it becomes a greater necessity in a changing climate and globalized world.

By looking at the climate changes that took place thousands of years ago, we can improve predictions for future climate.

Small, low - cost satellites may vastly improve future predictions of weather and climate change

The researchers then used a mathematical model that combined the conflict data with temperature and rainfall projections through 2050 to come up with predictions about the likelihood of climate - related violence in the future.

The method combines a model for systems such as weather or climate with real - world data points to develop predictions about the future.

That is allowing weather forecasters to push their predictions further into the future than ever before, while climate scientists are exploring how the MJO will behave in a warmer world.

The finding suggests that future climate simulations, unlike current ones, should account for the effects of these algae when making predictions about glacial melt.

Armed with these tools, Zeebe was able to make new predictions about long - term future climate change.

This prediction emerges from a new study by Richard Zeebe at the University of Hawai'i who includes insights from episodes of climate change in the geologic past to inform projections of human - made future climate change.

Comparing the snakes» most active temperature range with predictions of shifts due to climate change, the team pointed out that the timing of seasonal activities may shift in the future — which could impact their interactions with other species.

«A better understanding of the controls on reef development in the past will allow us to make better predictions about which reefs may be most vulnerable to climate change in the future.»

«A challenge for the coming years is to use these kinds of climate models to be able to make predictions about populations and ecosystems in the future.

This may become a factor in population numbers in the future, given climate change predictions for the Pacific Northwest include warmer, wetter winters.

«The overall predictions for the future of the area is of a more maritime climate, particularly warmer temperatures and increased precipitation during winter,» Høye says.

The findings could aid predictions of future trends in atmospheric nitrous oxide and help to identify mitigation actions in the Arctic, a region that is particularly sensitive to climate change.

Under future climate change predictions, different reefs on the GBR will lose their protective mechanism at different rates.

Charles Lansdale wonders why we should believe predictions about climate change 50 years into the future when computer modellers sometimes...

The more data we have about what's happened across millions of years of climate, the better our predictions of the future will be.»

Even now, the world's most powerful computers are pushed to their limits extracting predictions of future weather and climate from the equations he wrestled with using pencil and paper.

«The study provides more realistic modeling estimates of how much vegetation change will occur over the 21st century and will allow better predictions of future climate change,» she said.

His model also makes specific predictions about the effect these clouds will have on the planet's climate and the types of information that future telescopes, like the James Webb Space Telescope, will be able to gather.

As can be seen your graph, our climate models make a wide range of predictions (perhaps 0.5 - 5 degC, a 10-fold uncertainty) about how much «committed warming» will occur in the future under any stabilization scenario, so we don't seem to have a decent understanding of these processes.

«According to climate predictions, annual precipitation is likely to decrease in the Southwest but increase in the eastern United States during the 21st century, therefore, the observed diverse trends of surface water body areas since 1984 could continue to occur in the future,» said Xiao.

Oppenheimer and his co-authors use a technique known as «structured expert judgment» to put an actual value on the uncertainty that scientists studying climate change have about a particular model's prediction of future events such as sea - level rise.

A better understanding of aerosols then may well facilitate more accurate predictions of future climate responses to changing CO2.

«In the face of natural variability and complexity, the consequences of change in any single factor, for example greenhouse gas emissions, can not readily be isolated, and prediction becomes difficult... Scientific uncertainties continue to limit our ability to make objective, quantitative determinations regarding the human role in recent climate change, or the degree and consequence of future change.»

The uncertainty in aerosol forcing looks unsettling, but this is a good example of the case where one needs to ask: What are the consequences of this uncertainty for our predictions of future climate?

NOAA's NWS Climate Prediction Center (CPC) is responsible for issuing seasonal climate outlook maps for one to thirteen months in the Climate Prediction Center (CPC) is responsible for issuing seasonal climate outlook maps for one to thirteen months in the climate outlook maps for one to thirteen months in the future.

In addition, atmospheric scientist Dr. Hendrik Tennekes, a scientific pioneer in the development of numerical weather prediction and former director of research at The Netherlands» Royal National Meteorological Institute, recently compared scientists who promote computer models predicting future climate doom to unlicensed «software engineers.»

The kinder, gentler model from the Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research in the United Kingdom estimated a wetter, warmer future: Rainfall may increase 20 percent to 25 percent, mean annual temperatures could increase 2 degrees Fahrenheit by 2030 and 4 degrees by 2100.

A new buzz - word is the concept of «seamless prediction», in which predictions ranging from nowcasting all the way to future scenarios are provided with a sliding time scale and that doesn't make distinction of incremental types such as «weather forecasts» «seasonal predictions» and «climate scenarios».

The extra data spanning many thousands of years that this study uncovers will go a long way to matching model projections with past observations, helping scientists identify the most accurate models for making predictions of future climate change.