Sentences with phrase «future coastal risk»

If sea - level rise remains small, then changes in storm surge are the most important concern for future coastal risk to New York City.

Not exact matches

Rising sea levels caused by a warming climate threaten greater future storm damage to New York City, but the paths of stronger future storms may shift offshore, changing the coastal risk for the city, according to a team of climate scientists.
In the future, Gettelman thinks more accurate risk models will be needed to back up climate models, ultimately showing the accumulating dangers of consolidating societies on coastal shores.
probabilistically projecting future changes in sea levels and their implications for changing coastal flood risk, and translating those projected changes into actionable information for coastal adaptation; and
While it is true that climate change poses an enormous risk for the future because of coral bleaching and more acidic oceans, the fact is that reefs protected from overfishing, excessive coastal development and pollution are more resilient to these stresses.
For example, if climatologists and oceanographers only considered sea level rise to predict coastal damages without regard to escalating rates of beach - front home building, they would be as errant as would a coastal developer who assesses future risks based only on current climate and sea levels (and Professor Pielke has led the charge on such integrated approaches).
Recalling the concern reflected in the outcome document of the United Nations Conference on Sustainable Development, entitled «The future we want», 1 that the health of oceans and marine biodiversity are negatively affected by marine pollution, including marine debris, especially plastic, persistent organic pollutants, heavy metals and nitrogen - based compounds, from numerous marine and land - based sources, and the commitment to take action to significantly reduce the incidence and impacts of such pollution on marine ecosystems, Noting the international action being taken to promote the sound management of chemicals throughout their life cycle and waste in ways that lead to the prevention and minimization of significant adverse effects on human health and the environment, Recalling the Manila Declaration on Furthering the Implementation of the Global Programme of Action for the Protection of the Marine Environment from Land - based Activities adopted by the Third Intergovernmental Review Meeting on the Implementation of the Global Programme of Action for the Protection of the Marine Environment from Land - based Activities, which highlighted the relevance of the Honolulu Strategy and the Honolulu Commitment and recommended the establishment of a global partnership on marine litter, Taking note of the decisions adopted by the eleventh Conference of the Parties to the Convention on Biological Diversity on addressing the impacts of marine debris on marine and coastal biodiversity, Recalling that the General Assembly declared 2014 the International Year of Small Island Developing States and that such States have identified waste management among their priorities for action, Noting with concern the serious impact which marine litter, including plastics stemming from land and sea - based sources, can have on the marine environment, marine ecosystem services, marine natural resources, fisheries, tourism and the economy, as well as the potential risks to human health; 1.
Worldwide, from 1980 to 2009, floods caused more than 500,000 deaths and affected more than 2.8 billion people.18 In the United States, floods caused 4,586 deaths from 1959 to 200519 while property and crop damage averaged nearly 8 billion dollars per year (in 2011 dollars) over 1981 through 2011.17 The risks from future floods are significant, given expanded development in coastal areas and floodplains, unabated urbanization, land - use changes, and human - induced climate change.18
To bring you up to speed here, Hunter et al had written some research in the journal Ocean Engineering discussing how high coastal infrastructure should be built in the future to avoid increasing the risk of flooding.
What's more, sea levels are rising, elevating storm surge and increasing the amount of coastal flooding — and the amount of electricity infrastructure at risk — when future storms arrive.
Sea level rise is not just a concern for the future, it is already heightening coastal flood risks worldwide.
Thus, through the foreseeable future (very optimistically 2085), other factors will continue to outweigh climate change with respect to human welfare as characterized by (a) mortality for hunger, malaria and coastal flooding, and (b) population at risk for waters stress.
HiRAM's overall success suggests that in the future, it could be used to predict regional tropical cyclone risk for periods ranging from 2 weeks to a couple of months — timescales that could potentially benefit the Gulf of Mexico's coastal communities.
«If we cause large sea - level rise, that dominates future risks, but if we could prevent sea - level rise and just have the storm surge to worry about, our projections show little change in coastal risk from today during most years,» said Michael Mann, distinguished professor of meteorology and atmospheric science and director of Penn State's Earth System Science Centre, and one of the authors.
Abstract: An evaluation of analyses sponsored by the predecessor to the U.K. Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (DEFRA) of the global impacts of climate change under various mitigation scenarios (including CO2 stabilization at 550 and 750 ppm) coupled with an examination of the relative costs associated with different schemes to either mitigate climate change or reduce vulnerability to various climate - sensitive hazards (namely, malaria, hunger, water shortage, coastal flooding, and losses of global forests and coastal wetlands) indicates that, at least for the next few decades, risks and / or threats associated with these hazards would be lowered much more effectively and economically by reducing current and future vulnerability to those hazards rather than through stabilization.
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