Also, the way in which emissions reductions and enhanced sinks are accounted for can have an impact on
future emissions levels.
They wrote (as quoted by you): «But given how little is known about either the climate's sensitivity to greenhouse - gas emissions or about
future emissions levels,...» The use of the word «either» makes it very clear that The Economist knows that uncertainty about climate sensitivity is * not * the same thing as (or «equal to») uncertainty about emissions.
Not exact matches
It aims to increase carbon
emission reductions from 25 % of 2007
levels to 38 % by 2030, above Singapore's pledge of a 36 %, its CDL
Future Value 2030 document states.
Examples of winery GHG tracking needs include meeting
future regulatory requirements, such as AB 32, which requires the state of California to reach 1990 carbon
emission levels by the year 2020.
One scientific framing that might work is to make a link between a certain
level of cumulative greenhouse gas
emissions and
future temperature rises.
Global greenhouse gas
emissions have already committed the residents of the Maldives to a watery
future: ocean expansion due to warming has raised sea
levels enough to regularly deluge the islands, and melting glaciers will only make matters worse.
As a consequence, mitigation efforts to minimize
future greenhouse - gas
emissions can successfully restrict
future warming to a
level that may avoid dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system.
By the way, in my opinion, the elevated greenhouse gas
levels already in the air, combined with the
future emissions from machines already built, plus increased natural
emissions from carbon sinks becoming carbon emitters (i.e. permafrost melting) will cause the rate of warming to top 0.4 C / decade by mid-century.
PNNL's model scenario limits the heat - trapping effect of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere to
levels only 65 percent of what they would reach if no
future emissions controls are implemented.
Exactly how much the average global sea
level will rise in the
future will depend on our greenhouse gas
emissions.
Tom, the Canadian model results are for proposed
future CO2 / SO2
emission / concentration
levels.
In particular, when we speak about targets of 2 degrees, or even 1.5 degrees, we should remember that climate science has yet to uncover a simple deterministic relationship between carbon
emissions and the
level of
future global warming.
«Projecting to the
future, to stabilise the climate system at a warming
level that is not dangerous does require large cuts in carbon dioxide
emissions and soon.
And if the positive development continues, woodstove
emissions should drop to the same
level as pellet stoves in the near
future.
For a
future of continued growth in
emissions the new results indicate a likely global average sea -
level rise between 1.1 and 2.1 meters (3.6 to 6.9 feet)-- roughly double the IPCC - consistent estimate.
The initial strategy will be a framework for all Member States, which is expected to set out the
future vision for international shipping, the
levels of ambition to reduce GHG
emissions and guiding principles.
Contemporary global mean sea
level rise will continue over many centuries as a consequence of anthropogenic climate warming, with the detailed pace and final amount of rise depending substantially on
future greenhouse gas
emissions.
The Climate Impact Lab's sea -
level rise projections use a framework that ties together multiple threads of information to assess the probability of local sea -
level changes around the world, under different
future emissions scenarios.
CO2 accounts for more than 80 % of the added GHG forcing in the past 15 years [64], [167] and, if fossil fuel
emissions continue at a high
level, CO2 will be the dominant driver of
future global temperature change.
For Coral Springs, for example, which appears to be comfortably inland, the high - tide line will encompass about a quarter of the city's population some time in the distant
future, if
emissions continue at current
levels through the year 2040.
The CEO is not advocating for diesels to stay forever — he sees an electric takeover in the relatively near
future as unavoidable — but the step toward reducing
emission levels still lies through improved diesel tech.
On the sidelines of the Auto Expo, the 11th Indo - German Joint Working Group meeting was organized to develop industrial synergies between both the countries and the 8th «Auto Trade Dialogue» conference was also organized at Auto Expo, where global industry experts dwelled upon the need for greater
levels of collaboration for the development of driverless, connected and autonomous zero
emission vehicles for
future mobility.
By offering a premium - quality, all - electric driving experience, meaning zero local
emissions, together with a whole new
level of connectivity technology, both models represent the
future of urban mobility.
California should be able to make the decision to limit
emissions, because high
levels of
emissions, contributing to the already high
levels of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, have the potential to negatively affect California in the near
future.
I think the only hope we have of phasing down
emissions and getting to the middle of the century with a much lower
level of fossil fuel
emissions — which is what we will have to do if we want young people to have a
future — we're going to have to have alternatives and at this time nuclear seems to be the best candidate.
Mark — What are your thoughts about the analysis by Ramanathan and Feng (PNAS, Sept 17,2008: http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0803838105), in which they calculate the committed warming of cumulative
emissions since the pre-industrial era as in the region of 2.4 °C (with a confidence interval of 1.4 °C to 4.3 °C), based on calculating the equilibrium temperature if GHG concentrations are held at 2005
levels into the
future.
Tom, the Canadian model results are for proposed
future CO2 / SO2
emission / concentration
levels.
CO2
emissions from coal - fired generation were up both in the RGGI region and nationally in the first half of 2013, compared with 2012
levels, which indicates that the new RGGI cap could become more binding in the
future.
In the near term, federal policy could: i)
level the playing field between air captured CO2 and fossil - fuel derived CO2 by providing subsidies or credits for superior carbon lifecycle
emissions that account for recovering carbon from the atmosphere; ii) provide additional research funding into air capture R&D initiatives, along with other areas of carbon removal, which have historically been unable to secure grants; and iii) ensure air capture is deployed in a manner that leads to sustainable net - negative
emissions pathways in the
future, within the framework of near - term national
emissions reductions, and securing 2 °C - avoiding
emissions trajectories.
The Royal Society report includes references to Clark et al, 2016 in Nature Climate Change, suggesting the final sea
level rise on millennia timescale caused by anthropogenic climate change (partly depending on
future emissions) lies in a range between 29 to 55 metres and to DeConto & Pollard, 2016 in Nature, a study suggesting hydro - fracturing and ice cliff collapse around Antarctic ice sheets increases high end projection for sea
level rise by 2100 to ± 2 metres.
Building a better
future can only be accomplished by facing up to the impacts that increasing CO2
emissions are having on the climate, on sea
level, and on ocean acidification.
«If the industrialized (Annex 1) countries were to commit to more ambitious targets of reducing their
emissions to 40 per cent below 1990
levels by 2020, and 95 per cent below 1990
levels by 2050, their
future emissions would amount to 200 Gt CO2.
The first is climate inertia — on very many
levels, from fossil lock - in
emissions (decades), ocean - atmospheric temperature inertia (yet more decades), Earth system temperature inertia (centuries to millennia) to ecological climate impact inertia (impacts becoming worse over time under a constant stress)-- all this to illustrate anthropogenic climate change, although already manifesting itself, is still very much an escalating problem for the
future.
If we as a society are able to significantly reduce our
emissions of greenhouse gases (especially carbon dioxide) to the
levels identified in Oregon's statewide goals and the global Paris climate agreement, we can reduce the amount and speed of
future climate change and its associated impacts.
Our past heat - trapping
emissions have committed us to continued sea
level rise over the coming decades, but our present and
future emissions choices can affect the rise in seas and the pace at which it unfolds beyond 2050.
Although past anthropogenic
emissions already have caused sea -
level commitment that will force coastal cities to adapt,
future emissions will determine which areas we can continue to occupy or may have to abandon.
Sea -
level commitment rises to 2.2 m (0.4 — 4.0 m) after factoring in
future emissions implied by the current energy infrastructure and reaches medians of 2.4 or 7.1 m by the end of the century under RCP 2.6 or 8.5, respectively.
Future sea
levels committed under each of the
emissions and Antarctic scenarios considered present serious implications for US coastal regions.
As reported by other flora wide studies [20]--[21], our projections of range size change vary greatly based on
future climate simulations,
emission levels, and dispersal scenarios.
In this notion, you break down the gap between the
emissions level you want at some point in the
future and the
emissions level you will have at current rates of growth, and break it down into manageable fractions - wedges - that can each be addressed with specific policies.
«Depending on
emissions rates, carbon dioxide concentrations could double or nearly triple from today's
level by the end of the century, greatly amplifying
future human impacts on climate.
Here we develop relationships between cumulative carbon
emissions and long - term sea -
level commitment and explore implications for the
future of coastal developments in the United States.
Both past and
future human
emissions of carbon dioxide will continue to contribute to warming and sea
level rise for more than a millennium, due to the long time it takes for this gas to disappear from the atmosphere.
As in these studies, model projections depend greatly on
future climate simulations,
emission levels, and dispersal scenarios.
Through case studies, key recommendations for new rules, and descriptions of best practices, this working paper can help state officials to determine how best to structure
future state -
level policies — including measures for complying with forthcoming national
emissions standards under the Clean Air Act — to reduce methane
emissions from natural gas development.
When we associate years with warming, sea
level, and city commitments, we are referencing the 21st century years when the commitments are established through cumulative
emissions, not the years farther in the
future when the commitments are realized through sustained temperature increases and SLR.
Future sea level rise primarily depends on our future greenhouse gas emis
Future sea
level rise primarily depends on our
future greenhouse gas emis
future greenhouse gas
emissions.
To project
future emissions from human activities, we used the SRES higher (A1FI) and lower (B1)
emissions scenarios that capture to some extent the uncertainty in
future climate due to human decisions [22], with CO2
emissions ranging from slightly less than present - day
levels up to four times present - day
levels by 2100.
Contemporary global mean sea
level rise will continue over many centuries as a consequence of anthropogenic climate warming, with the detailed pace and final amount of rise depending substantially on
future greenhouse gas
emissions.
By «committed» or «locked in» warming or sea
level in a given year, we refer to the long - term effects of cumulative anthropogenic carbon
emissions through that year: the sustained temperature increase or SLR that will ensue on a time scale of centuries to millennia in the absence of massive and prolonged
future active carbon removal from the atmosphere.