... formal asset valuation models (extrapolations of historical return data) provide the most (least) predictive estimates of
the future equity risk premium.
Chapter 13 — The Prospective Risk Premium estimates
the future equity risk premium for the U.S., U.K. and world markets.
Estimates of
the future equity risk premium should start with historical results and then adjust for expected shifts in stock market variability and non-repeatability of unusual past cash flows.
Not exact matches
If the
equity premium puzzle is real and not just luck, there is little reason to think that this generation or
future generations will require less expected return for holding nondiversifiable
equity risk.
Does shorting the iPath S&P 500 VIX Short - Term
Futures ETN (VXX) with crash protection (to capture the
equity volatility
risk premium safely) work?
«
Equity Market and Treasuries Variance
Risk Premiums as Return Predictors» reports a finding, among others, that the variance risk premium for 10 - year U.S. Treasury notes (T - note) predicts near - term returns for those notes (as manifested via futur
Risk Premiums as Return Predictors» reports a finding, among others, that the variance
risk premium for 10 - year U.S. Treasury notes (T - note) predicts near - term returns for those notes (as manifested via futur
risk premium for 10 - year U.S. Treasury notes (T - note) predicts near - term returns for those notes (as manifested via
futures).
As a forward - looking quantity, the
equity -
risk premium is theoretical and can not be known precisely, since no one knows how a particular stock, a basket of stocks, or the stock market as a whole will perform in the
future.
In response to «Shorting VXX with Crash Protection», which investigates shorting iPath S&P 500 VIX Short - Term
Futures (VXX) with crash protection to capture the
equity volatility
risk premium safely, a subscriber asked about instead using a long position in ProShares Short VIX Short - Term
Futures (SVXY).
Does shorting the iPath S&P 500 VIX Short - Term
Futures ETN (VXX) with crash protection (to capture the
equity volatility
risk premium safely) work?
Equity risk premium bears argue that so much of these past stock returns have been driven by increases in earnings and dividend multiples, it would be nearly impossible for a further expansion in these to contribute to
future returns.
«The
equity risk premium is the expected
future return of stocks minus the
risk - free rate over some investment horizon.