Sentences with phrase «future event attribution»

The committee also recommends that some future event attribution activities could be incorporated into an integrated weather - to - climate forecasting efforts on a broad range of timescales, with an ultimate goal of providing predictive risk - based forecasts of extreme events at lead times of days to seasons.

Not exact matches

Attribution studies are meant to help policymakers understand whether an extreme weather event is likely to repeat in the future.

However, from the perspective policymaking on adaptation, it may be helpful in future to develop much more specific attribution capacity in the science for the obvious reason that as part of the overall development of better forecasting of regional impacts / events, it improves specific risk planning and claims for aid.

In summary, there is little new about climate science in the report, and nothing at all new about attribution of past warming and extreme weather events to human activity, projections of future warming and its effects, or potential for catastrophic changes.

A recent analysis [1] by Dr Luke Harrington and Dr Friederike Otto of climateprediction.net introduces a new framework, adapted from studies of probabilistic event attribution, to disentangle the relative importance of regional climate emergence and changing population dynamics in the exposure to future heat extremes across multiple densely populated regions in Southern Asia and Eastern Africa (SAEA).

If event attribution can be «got right» it is hoped that it will then have something to say about future risk.

But attribution of individual events is not particularly useful in assessing future risk, even if it could be «got right.»