Not exact matches
This suggests that the research community has a sound understanding of what the climate will be like as we move toward a Pliocene - like
warmer future caused
by human
greenhouse gas emissions.»
By the way, in my opinion, the elevated greenhouse gas levels already in the air, combined with the future emissions from machines already built, plus increased natural emissions from carbon sinks becoming carbon emitters (i.e. permafrost melting) will cause the rate of warming to top 0.4 C / decade by mid-centur
By the way, in my opinion, the elevated
greenhouse gas levels already in the air, combined with the
future emissions from machines already built, plus increased natural emissions from carbon sinks becoming carbon emitters (i.e. permafrost melting) will cause the rate of
warming to top 0.4 C / decade
by mid-centur
by mid-century.
It is this background
warming from the heat trapped
by greenhouse gases that actually accounts for most of the predictability in
future temperature change, said Michael Mann, a climate scientist at Penn State.
In contrast to historical droughts,
future drying is not linked to any particular pattern of change in sea surface temperature but seems to be the result of an overall surface
warming driven
by rising
greenhouse gases.
Do you think that in the same way that the Solanki et al paper on solar sunspot reconstructions had a specific statement that their results did not contradict ideas of strong
greenhouse warming in recent decades, this (the fact that climate sensitivity projections are not best estimates of possible
future actual temperature increases) should be clearly noted in media releases put out
by scientists when reporting climate sensitivity studies?
They reported that «no catastrophic hurricane of category 4 or 5 intensity has made landfall in the Western Lake [northern Florida] area during the last 130 year documentary record» but «If
future climatic changes, whether or not related to the anticipated
greenhouse warming, lead to a return of a «hyperactive» hurricane regime characteristic of the first millennium A.D., then the northeastern Gulf Coast is expected to experience a dramatic increase in the frequency of strikes
by catastrophic hurricanes.»
This
warming was obviously caused
by Californian Indians ripping around in SUVs and motorcycles spewing dangerous
greenhouse gases with no thought for the
future.
«But the other thing I want to point out,» England added, «is that
greenhouse gases in the atmosphere are at such high concentrations compared to what they were 100 years ago that you don't need to bring heat back up from the ocean to the surface to get
future warming — you just need to slow down the heat uptake
by the ocean, and
greenhouse gases will do the rest.»
It adopted a moderate anthro - emissions scenario from AR4 as the AGW input, but set arbitrary constraints on its findings
by excluding the
greenhouse gas outputs»
warming from the assessment of the permafrost's rate of melting, and
by assuming that only CO2 was emitted - which allowed the projected
future output to be stated in simple carbon tonnage.
However,
future projections based on theory and high - resolution dynamical models consistently indicate that
greenhouse warming will cause the globally averaged intensity of tropical cyclones to shift towards stronger storms, with intensity increases of 2 — 11 %
by 2100.
A
greenhouse warming may reduce the 1,500 - year cycle aspects, but this provides us with no comfort regarding
future prospects since a
warming can shortcut the usual circuit, bypassing the usual stage - setting
by amplification of the 1,500 - year cycle.
-LSB-...]
Future warming of the climate is inevitable for many years due to the
greenhouse gases already added to the atmosphere and the heat that has been taken up
by the oceans.
A fortuitous
future cooling of this amount, due to the Sun, would not fully compensate for the effects of increases in
greenhouse gases, which are projected to
warm the Earth
by 1 to 3 °.
The class assignment was to identify the year for each spot on the globe in which all
future years were, according to climate model projections,
warmer as a result of
greenhouse gas emissions than the
warmest year simulated
by the models during the historical period 1860 to 2005.
In no place will this internal inconsistency be more obvious than in how the IPCC deals with the discrepancy between the observed effectiveness of
greenhouse gases in
warming the earth and this effectiveness calculated
by the climate models that the IPCC uses to project
future climate change.
To be sure, it remains essential to reduce
greenhouse gas emissions
by strengthening the Kyoto Protocol and augmenting it with other measures; otherwise, the amount of
future warming civilization eventually will have to endure will prove too great to survive.
> Scientists probably did not adequately convey to the public that their projections for
future warming are based on models that account only for the so - called «forced response» in global mean surface temperatures — that is, the change caused
by greenhouse - gas emissions.
Returning to the issue of
future projections of aggregate activity (PDI, as in Fig. 1), while there remains a lack of consensus among various studies on how Atlantic hurricane PDI will change, no model we have analyzed shows a sensitivity of Atlantic hurricane PDI to
greenhouse warming as large as that implied
by the observed Atlantic PDI / local SST relationship shown in Figures 1 (top panel).
By the 1990s, there was a tentative answer: minor solar variations could indeed have been partly responsible for some past fluctuations... but
future warming from the rise in
greenhouse gases was far outweigh any solar effects.
Dr. David Evans, a former climate modeller for the Australian government's
Greenhouse Office, says he found two mathematical errors showing that the IPCC «over-estimated
future global
warming by as much as 10 times.»
The UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) no longer claims a greater likelihood of significant as opposed to negligible
future warming, It has long been acknowledged
by the IPCC that climate change prior to the 1960's could not have been due to anthropogenic
greenhouse gases.
Science writer Greg Laden wrote that the Duke study will receive «criticism from climate scientists» because it includes language that suggests it is assessing the likelihood of different
warming scenarios
by predicting the amount of
greenhouse gas emissions that will occur in the
future, which it can't possibly know.