Sentences with phrase «future hurricane activity»

Further investigation with more advanced models is needed for more confident projections of future hurricane activity in a warming climate.

[The MIT] study used six newly upgraded global climate computer models to simulate future hurricane activity around the world.

Gray has been gazing into the crystal ball since 1984 to divine future hurricane activity with remarkable accuracy.

This delay than can be used to make an estimate of the future hurricane activity http://www.vukcevic.talktalk.net/AHA.htm which I mentioned in a post on the Dr. Judith Curry's blog.

Not exact matches

«It is difficult to use climate models to study hurricane activity, and so studies such as ours, which produced a record of storms under different climate conditions, are important for our understanding of future storm activity,» Denniston said.

As another hurricane season comes to a close with no serious activity to date, and even if there were some in the near future, a very tame year, the data piles up.

The study will use a combination of complex computer models to replicate past weather patterns in the Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea and Gulf, and use the results, along with estimates of future production of man - made greenhouse gases like carbon dioxide and methane to predict Gulf hurricane activity.

The stadium wave holds promise in putting into perspective numerous observations of climate behavior, such as regional patterns of decadal variability in drought and hurricane activity, the researchers say, but a complete understanding of past climate variability and projections of future climate change requires integrating the stadium - wave signal with external climate forcing from the sun, volcanoes and anthropogenic forcing.

«The global warming influence provides a new background level that increases the risk of future enhancements in hurricane activity,» Trenberth says.

That said, however, it shows how even if there is no trend in hurricane activity, we are still likely to see dramatic increases in the damage and destruction that hurricanes cause to us in the future.

It is used to investigate regional climate change, as well as past and future changes in hurricane activity and other extreme weather events.

2) Now for future increased «hurricane activity» in an AGW world: I have read data, that indicates that the frequency and intensity of * Pacific hurricanes * (called typhoons) might very well increase no matter what Atlantic hurricanes do.

If this statistical relation between tropical Atlantic SSTs and hurricane activity is used to infer future changes in Atlantic hurricane activity, the implications are sobering: the large increases in tropical Atlantic SSTs projected for the late 21st century would imply very substantial increases in hurricane destructive potential — roughly a 300 % increase in the PDI by 2100 (Figure 1a).

Returning to the issue of future projections of aggregate activity (PDI, as in Fig. 1), while there remains a lack of consensus among various studies on how Atlantic hurricane PDI will change, no model we have analyzed shows a sensitivity of Atlantic hurricane PDI to greenhouse warming as large as that implied by the observed Atlantic PDI / local SST relationship shown in Figures 1 (top panel).