Forecasts of
future ice sheet behavior appear even more uncertain: Under the same high — global warming scenario, eight ice sheet models predicted anywhere between 0 and 27 cm of sea level rise in 2100 from Greenland melt.
For example, some exciting work being done by David Pollard and Rob DeConto suggests that processes such as ice - cliff collapse and ice - shelf hydrofracturing may play important roles in
future ice sheet behavior that have not been well incorporated into most ice sheet models.
Not exact matches
«Incorporating all of these uncertainties is daunting, largely because of the computational challenges involved,» and to an extent, «whatever we say about the
behavior of
ice sheets in the
future is necessarily imperfect,» note the authors.
The findings, published yesterday in the journal Science, suggest scientists still have much to learn about the factors that govern the
behavior of
ice sheets — knowledge that is crucial to developing more accurate projections of
future sea level rise.
Since that report was released, scientists have worked hard to improve their understanding of
ice sheet behavior and improve estimates of
future sea level rise.
Lack of knowledge about the
ice sheets and their
behavior is the primary reason that projections of global sea level rise includes such a wide range of plausible
future conditions.
«These are two of the largest and most rapidly changing glaciers in Antarctica, so the potential for their evolution to influence each other is important to consider in modeling
ice sheet behavior and projecting
future sea level rise,» Dustin Schroeder, a Stanford geophysicist who led the study, told Earther.
Studies of this kind, which explore the
ice sheet's past
behavior, are critical to developing better predictions of how it will evolve in the
future, Csatho says.
IPCC synthesis reports offer conservative projections of sea level increase based on assumptions about
future behavior of
ice sheets and glaciers, leading to estimates of sea level roughly following a linear upward trend mimicking that of recent decades.
Dr. Alley teaches, and conducts research on the climatic records, flow
behavior, and sedimentary deposits of large
ice sheets, to aid in prediction of
future changes in climate and sea level.