Sentences with phrase «future land use changes»

Researchers show that future carbon accumulation rates are highly sensitive to future land use changes.

Not exact matches

The new proposed model could allow a better quantification of the impacts that will likely occur under changing climate and could be considered in future ocean resources and land use management.
GCAM is especially suited for projections such as this because it takes into account ongoing future changes in technology, society and the economy, including energy and land use.
Vulnerability of anaerobically protected carbon to future climate or land use change thus constitutes a yet unrecognized soil carbon - climate feedback that should be incorporated into terrestrial ecosystem models.»
By showing which land use changes have driven pollinator declines over the past 100 years, the research reveals how we could ensure future land use benefits these vital insects.
THE RESULTS Both studies found that changes in land use related to biofuel production would be a significant source of greenhouse gases in the future.
To avoid costly problems in the future, ICA and other groups recommend a variety of policy improvements, including changing land use regulations in fire - and flood - prone areas, strengthening building codes, and improving weather warning and modelling services.
Methods: A global collaboration of scientists responded to a request from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, and generated a set of four scenarios to represent future greenhouse gas emissions and land use cChange, and generated a set of four scenarios to represent future greenhouse gas emissions and land use changechange.
Future carbon accounting frameworks will need to cover all land uses and land use changes in order to fully recognize the land use sector's mitigation contribution.
Cochrane, M. A. & Barber, C. P. Climate change, human land use and future fires in the Amazon.
In particular, the book will help the reader to discover underlying principles for the planning of future cities and peri-urban regions in relation to: (i) Balanced urban development policies and institutions for future cities; (ii) Understanding the effects of land use change, population increase, and water demand on the liveability of cities; (iii) Long - term pl...
The Eastern Quoll may be detrimentally affected by feral cat predation (especially if cats have increased, or increase in the future, following the severe decline of the Tasmanian Devil Sarcophilus harrisii), and dogs, land - use changes and road mortality.
Drawing parallels between the phantom presence of augmented reality and equally intangible notions of «the future» — given the rapid progression of global technological and environmental change — Lucas prompted each artist to create a virtual work imagining the future of Land Art and land Land Art and land land use.
Limiting Human Influences on Future Climate We can't stop climate changing, but we can reduce our many influences on it through our use of energy, land and chemicals.
We find that without dramatic increases in the area of forests, without substantially positive changes in land - use practices, without large net positive effects of CO2 or climate change in the future, or without some other new significant carbon storage mechanism, the U.S. carbon sink itself will decrease substantially over the 21st century.
«Based on these studies, and many others using fossil and historical records, we argue that evidence for the widely cited view that future climate change poses an equal or greater threat to global biodiversity than anthropogenic land - use change and habitat loss (Thomas et al., 2004) is equivocal: extinctions driven by the latter processes of habitat loss pose a far greater threat to global biodiversity.
Based on these studies, and many others using fossil and historical records, we argue that evidence for the widely cited view that future climate change poses an equal or greater threat to global biodiversity than anthropogenic land - use change and habitat loss (Thomas et al., 2004) is equivocal
Implement the Global Climate Change Initiative: Undertaking a pragmatic, whole - of - government approach to speed the transition to a low - carbon, climate - resilient future, including (1) promoting clean energy solutions; (2) slowing, halting, and reversing emissions from land use; and (3) helping the most vulnerable countries strengthen climate resilience.
These models take into account past and future greenhouse gas concentrations, pollutant emissions, and changes to how land is used.
Presuming that we want to be able to compare weather records over time without having to adjust or note for changes in exposure and land use and ground cover, it is best to locate weather stations over natural ground cover, and in an area not likely to experience significant changes in ground cover in the foreseeable future.
However, bioenergy that entails the dedicated use of land to grow the energy feedstock will undercut efforts to combat climate change and to achieve a sustainable food future.
by Judith Curry Health risks arise from the interaction of uncertain future climatic changes with complex ecological, physical, and socio - economic systems, which are simultaneously affected by numerous other changes, e.g. globalisation, demographic changes, and changes in land use, nutrition, health care quality.
Worldwide, from 1980 to 2009, floods caused more than 500,000 deaths and affected more than 2.8 billion people.18 In the United States, floods caused 4,586 deaths from 1959 to 200519 while property and crop damage averaged nearly 8 billion dollars per year (in 2011 dollars) over 1981 through 2011.17 The risks from future floods are significant, given expanded development in coastal areas and floodplains, unabated urbanization, land - use changes, and human - induced climate change.18
One of the featured projects is to generate scenarios for the future of forests in different parts of the United States in light of climate change, land - use changes and other factors.
For example, scenarios that rely on the results from GCM experiments alone may be able to represent some of the uncertainties that relate to the modelling of the climate response to a given radiative forcing, but might not embrace uncertainties caused by the modelling of atmospheric composition for a given emissions scenario, or those related to future land - use change.
No longer tended and watered, those orchards and fields are now fuel for fires, so communities have to account for such changes in land use when planning for future fire risks.
At this session, the SBSTA agreed to consider these other issues relating to HWP in the context of the consideration of broader issues relating to land use, land - use change and forestry, at future sessions.
To address future challenges related to climate change and land use, it will be important to assess the local impacts of tree loss on climate, climatic and ecological consequences, as well as the mechanisms that drive ecological responses in remote teleconnected areas.
In this manual, a methodology is proposed to relate different future scenarios of land use to changes in the runoff indicator and in flood risk.
The paper by Hurtt et al. (2011) is the first to harmonize land - use history data with future scenario data from multiple IAMs to form a single consistent, spatially gridded, set of scenarios on land - use change, to study human impacts on the past, present, and future Earth system.
The main purpose of the first phase (development of the RCPs) is to provide information on possible development trajectories for the main forcing agents of climate change, consistent with current scenario literature allowing subsequent analysis by both Climate models (CMs) and Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs).1 Climate modelers will use the time series of future concentrations and emissions of greenhouse gases and air pollutants and land - use change from the four RCPs in order to conduct new climate model experiments and produce new climate scenarios as part of the parallel phase.
As a basic rule, future land use for the RCPs was based on the absolute changes in the IAM output, combined with 2005 historical data.
The diversity in requirements and approaches among IAMs and CMs for tracking land - use changes (past, present, and future) is significant.
Future global vegetation carbon change calculated by seven global vegetation models using climate outputs and associated increasing CO2 from five GCMs run with four RCPs, expressed as the change from the 1971 — 1999 mean relative to change in global mean land temperature.
These models require consistent, spatially gridded data on land - use changes, historical to future, in a format amenable to carbon / climate studies.
The research needs for predicting — across multiple scales — the impact of land use change and management practices to the future of terrestrial carbon storage and CDR potential
Since «even under the assumptions of the IPCC changes to energy policies wouldn't have a discernible impact on future disasters for the better part of a century or more,» the «only strategies that will help us effectively prepare for future disasters are those that have succeeded in the past: strategic land use, structural protection, and effective forecasts, warnings and evacuations.
For instance AOGCM - based climate scenarios do not usually allow for the effect on climate of future land use and land cover change (which is itself, in part, climatically induced).
(11/15/07) «Ban the Bulb: Worldwide Shift from Incandescents to Compact Fluorescents Could Close 270 Coal - Fired Power Plants» (5/9/07) «Massive Diversion of U.S. Grain to Fuel Cars is Raising World Food Prices» (3/21/07) «Distillery Demand for Grain to Fuel Cars Vastly Understated: World May Be Facing Highest Grain Prices in History» (1/4/07) «Santa Claus is Chinese OR Why China is Rising and the United States is Declining» (12/14/06) «Exploding U.S. Grain Demand for Automotive Fuel Threatens World Food Security and Political Stability» (11/3/06) «The Earth is Shrinking: Advancing Deserts and Rising Seas Squeezing Civilization» (11/15/06) «U.S. Population Reaches 300 Million, Heading for 400 Million: No Cause for Celebration» (10/4/06) «Supermarkets and Service Stations Now Competing for Grain» (7/13/06) «Let's Raise Gas Taxes and Lower Income Taxes» (5/12/06) «Wind Energy Demand Booming: Cost Dropping Below Conventional Sources Marks Key Milestone in U.S. Shift to Renewable Energy» (3/22/06) «Learning From China: Why the Western Economic Model Will not Work for the World» (3/9/05) «China Replacing the United States and World's Leading Consumer» (2/16/05)» Foreign Policy Damaging U.S. Economy» (10/27/04) «A Short Path to Oil Independence» (10/13/04) «World Food Security Deteriorating: Food Crunch In 2005 Now Likely» (05/05/04) «World Food Prices Rising: Decades of Environmental Neglect Shrinking Harvests in Key Countries» (04/28/04) «Saudis Have U.S. Over a Barrel: Shifting Terms of Trade Between Grain and Oil» (4/14/04) «Europe Leading World Into Age of Wind Energy» (4/8/04) «China's Shrinking Grain Harvest: How Its Growing Grain Imports Will Affect World Food Prices» (3/10/04) «U.S. Leading World Away From Cigarettes» (2/18/04) «Troubling New Flows of Environmental Refugees» (1/28/04) «Wakeup Call on the Food Front» (12/16/03) «Coal: U.S. Promotes While Canada and Europe Move Beyond» (12/3/03) «World Facing Fourth Consecutive Grain Harvest Shortfall» (9/17/03) «Record Temperatures Shrinking World Grain Harvest» (8/27/03) «China Losing War with Advancing Deserts» (8/4/03) «Wind Power Set to Become World's Leading Energy Source» (6/25/03) «World Creating Food Bubble Economy Based on Unsustainable Use of Water» (3/13/03) «Global Temperature Near Record for 2002: Takes Toll in Deadly Heat Waves, Withered Harvests, & Melting Ice» (12/11/02) «Rising Temperatures & Falling Water Tables Raising Food Prices» (8/21/02) «Water Deficits Growing in Many Countries» (8/6/02) «World Turning to Bicycle for Mobility and Exercise» (7/17/02) «New York: Garbage Capital of the World» (4/17/02) «Earth's Ice Melting Faster Than Projected» (3/12/02) «World's Rangelands Deteriorating Under Mounting Pressure» (2/5/02) «World Wind Generating Capacity Jumps 31 Percent in 2001» (1/8/02) «This Year May be Second Warmest on Record» (12/18/01) «World Grain Harvest Falling Short by 54 Million Tons: Water Shortages Contributing to Shortfall» (11/21/01) «Rising Sea Level Forcing Evacuation of Island Country» (11/15/01) «Worsening Water Shortages Threaten China's Food Security» (10/4/01) «Wind Power: The Missing Link in the Bush Energy Plan» (5/31/01) «Dust Bowl Threatening China's Future» (5/23/01) «Paving the Planet: Cars and Crops Competing for Land» (2/14/01) «Obesity Epidemic Threatens Health in Exercise - Deprived Societies» (12/19/00) «HIV Epidemic Restructuring Africa's Population» (10/31/00) «Fish Farming May Overtake Cattle Ranching As a Food Source» (10/3/00) «OPEC Has World Over a Barrel Again» (9/8/00) «Climate Change Has World Skating on Thin Ice» (8/29/00) «The Rise and Fall of the Global Climate Coalition» (7/25/00) «HIV Epidemic Undermining sub-Saharan Africa» (7/18/00) «Population Growth and Hydrological Poverty» (6/21/00) «U.S. Farmers Double Cropping Corn And Wind Energy» (6/7/00) «World Kicking the Cigarette Habit» (5/10/00) «Falling Water Tables in China» (5/2/00) Top of page
These analyses highlighted the potential role of non-climate change drivers in future land - use change.
Changing practices in the use of land and water could make these terms larger in future.
Although projected increases in greenhouse gas concentrations caused by fossil fuel combustion are expected to dominate 21st century climate change, some studies suggest that anthropogenic land use may yet be at least as important and may remain so in the near future (8).
Regardless of whether early land use significantly affected global climate, understanding the global role of land use in determining the onset and magnitude of anthropogenic climate change is critical for gauging the climatic impact of current and future modifications of the terrestrial biosphere, including efforts to offset fossil fuel emissions by reducing deforestation (114).
This effort is a critical component of NOAA's research into the future of the earth as a system under the influence of anthropogenic forcing to better understand how emissions of carbon dioxide from fossil fuels, land use decisions and climate and ecological interactions will determine future carbon dioxide levels and the corresponding climate change.
Process - based studies have focused on understanding the role of the land surface on climate, with research looking into the regional impact of historical or hypothetical (future scenario) land - use change on climate, as well as understanding diurnal - scale relationships between surface fluxes of heat and moisture and subsequent atmospheric processes such as convection and the generation of precipitation.
It is far from clear how the interactive effect of climate change, land - use activities and rising CO2 will influence the Sahel in future.
Current models attempt to predict future land - use change based on changes in commodity prices.
The latter will improve our understanding of past land cover - climate interactions and the effect of current and future land - use change on tomorrow's climate.
[Response: For any projection for the future of climate, you obviously need a projection of emissions (greenhouse gases, ozone and aerosol precursors, etc.), land use change and so on.
Ku, S. Gaffin, and P.L. Kinney, 2007: Air quality in future decades: Determining the relative impacts of changes in climate, emissions, global atmospheric composition, and regional land use.
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