Using data from several sources on 162 terrestrial animals and plants unique (endemic) to the Albertine Rift, the researchers used ecological niche modeling (computer models) to determine the extent of habitat already lost due to agriculture, and to estimate
the future loss of habitat as a result of climate change.
Not exact matches
These projects include work to protect water voles in the South West
of England from
habitat loss and predation by the American Mink; work to safeguard the
future of dormice in Cheshire and the creation
of wildlife corridors benefitting birds, mammals and amphibians in North Wales.
Crowley believes that gaining a better understanding
of how animal mobility has been affected by the
loss of species and
habitat will be beneficial to current and
future conservation efforts on the island.
«We're assuming that the distribution
of the species in the
future will be constrained by the
loss of their
habitat,» said James Hatten, a biogeographer at USGS and author
of the research.
«We see a lot
of species» distributions really start to wink out after about 50 years, but it is tricky to look at
future predictions because we will have a lot
of habitat loss predicted using our models,» McGuire said.
«We then used models to forecast
future habitat loss in the national forests from expected temperature increases in the region,» says Andrew Dolloff, research fishery biologist for the Forest Service Southern Research Station and a co-author
of the study.
«
Losses of insular
habitats will thus be relatively important in the
future, probably leading to a major impoverishment
of insular biodiversity.
«So while it is possible that reduced accessibility
of foraging
habitat might cause
loss of northern colonies in the
future, there is no evidence that we have yet reached a tipping point at which this occurs.»
One
of the main challenges to the scientific community involved in biology conservation is to demonstrate that the
loss and damage
of habitats, ecological interactions and species generates a prejudice (present and
future) that far exceeds the profits from the exploitation
of natural resources and agricultural production.
«Based on these studies, and many others using fossil and historical records, we argue that evidence for the widely cited view that
future climate change poses an equal or greater threat to global biodiversity than anthropogenic land - use change and
habitat loss (Thomas et al., 2004) is equivocal: extinctions driven by the latter processes
of habitat loss pose a far greater threat to global biodiversity.
Because polar bears are vulnerable to this
loss of habitat, they are, in my judgment, likely to become endangered in the foreseeable
future — in this case 45 years....
The US government works on the basis
of $ 37 in social costs per tonne emitted, but two US scientists proposed that the true cost in
future health and
habitat losses was probably six times higher.
«We see a lot
of species» distributions really start to wink out after about 50 years, but it is tricky to look at
future predictions because we will have a lot
of habitat loss predicted using our models,» McGuire said.
This
loss of habitat puts polar bears at risk
of becoming endangered in the foreseeable
future, the standard established by the ESA for designating a threatened species.»
-- which can be found here, draws upon the results
of a series
of UK Government - sponsored studies which employed the IPCC's emissions scenarios to project
future climate change between 1990 and 2100 and its global impacts on various climate - sensitive determinants
of human and environmental well - being (such as malaria, hunger, water shortage, coastal flooding, and
habitat loss).