Sentences with phrase «future prediction models»
The development and validation of new risk scores with sex - specific weighting of risk factors could be a promising tool for future prediction models.
https://academic.oup.com/ Not exact matches
Projecting the future, or future - casting, is the work of combining social science, research, technical data, economic trends and, yes, even science fiction, to model a prediction of the future.
Therefore in a scientific model you can run the clock forward or back to model the future or the past and make predictions.
This glowingly successful model can be expanded further to establish predictions about the future evolution of humans and human social systems.
Time for some brutal honesty... this team, as it stands, is in no better position to compete next season than they were 12 months ago, minus the fact that some fans have been easily snowed by the acquisition of Lacazette, the free transfer LB and the release of Sanogo... if you look at the facts carefully you will see a team that still has far more questions than answers... to better show what I mean by this statement I will briefly discuss the current state of affairs on a position - by - position basis... in goal we have 4 potential candidates, but in reality we have only 1 option with any real future and somehow he's the only one we have actively tried to get rid of for years because he and his father were a little too involved on social media and he got caught smoking (funny how people still defend Wiltshire under the same and far worse circumstances)... you would think we would want to keep any goaltender that Juventus had interest in, as they seem to have a pretty good history when it comes to that position... as far as the defenders on our current roster there are only a few individuals whom have the skill and / or youth worthy of our time and / or investment, as such we should get rid of anyone who doesn't meet those simple requirements, which means we should get rid of DeBouchy, Gibbs, Gabriel, Mertz and loan out Chambers to see if last seasons foray with Middlesborough was an anomaly or a prediction of things to come... some fans have lamented wildly about the return of Mertz to the starting lineup due to his FA Cup performance but these sort of pie in the sky meanderings are indicative of what's wrong with this club and it's wishy - washy fan - base... in addition to these moves the club should aggressively pursue the acquisition of dominant and mobile CB to stabilize an all too fragile defensive group that has self - destructed on numerous occasions over the past 5 seasons... moving forward and building on our need to re-establish our once dominant presence throughout the middle of the park we need to target a CDM then do whatever it takes to get that player into the fold without any of the usual nickel and diming we have become famous for (this kind of ruthless haggling has cost us numerous special players and certainly can't help make the player in question feel good about the way their future potential employer feels about them)... in order for us to become dominant again we need to be strong up the middle again from Goalkeeper to CB to DM to ACM to striker, like we did in our most glorious years before and during Wenger's reign... with this in mind, if we want Ozil to be that dominant attacking midfielder we can't keep leaving him exposed to constant ridicule about his lack of defensive prowess and provide him with the proper players in the final third... he was never a good defensive player in Real or with the German National squad and they certainly didn't suffer as a result of his presence on the pitch... as for the rest of the midfield the blame falls squarely in the hands of Wenger and Gazidis, the fact that Ramsey, Ox, Sanchez and even Ozil were allowed to regularly start when none of the aforementioned had more than a year left under contract is criminal for a club of this size and financial might... the fact that we could find money for Walcott and Xhaka, who weren't even guaranteed starters, means that our whole business model needs a complete overhaul... for me it's time to get rid of some serious deadweight, even if it means selling them below what you believe their market value is just to simply right this ship and change the stagnant culture that currently exists... this means saying goodbye to Wiltshire, Elneny, Carzola, Walcott and Ramsey... everyone, minus Elneny, have spent just as much time on the training table as on the field of play, which would be manageable if they weren't so inconsistent from a performance standpoint (excluding Carzola, who is like the recent version of Rosicky — too bad, both will be deeply missed)... in their places we need to bring in some proven performers with no history of injuries... up front, although I do like the possibilities that a player like Lacazette presents, the fact that we had to wait so many years to acquire some true quality at the striker position falls once again squarely at the feet of Wenger... this issue highlights the ultimate scam being perpetrated by this club since the arrival of Kroenke: pretend your a small market club when it comes to making purchases but milk your fans like a big market club when it comes to ticket prices and merchandising... I believe the reason why Wenger hasn't pursued someone of Henry's quality, minus a fairly inexpensive RVP, was that he knew that they would demand players of a similar ilk to be brought on board and that wasn't possible when the business model was that of a «selling» club... does it really make sense that we could only make a cheeky bid for Suarez, or that we couldn't get Higuain over the line when he was being offered up for half the price he eventually went to Juve for, or that we've only paid any interest to strikers who were clearly not going to press their current teams to let them go to Arsenal like Benzema or Cavani... just part of the facade that finally came crashing down when Sanchez finally called their bluff... the fact remains that no one wants to win more than Sanchez, including Wenger, and although I don't agree with everything that he has done off the field, I would much rather have Alexis front and center than a manager who has clearly bought into the Kroenke model in large part due to the fact that his enormous ego suggests that only he could accomplish great things without breaking the bank... unfortunately that isn't possible anymore as the game has changed quite dramatically in the last 15 years, which has left a largely complacent and complicit Wenger on the outside looking in... so don't blame those players who demanded more and were left wanting... don't blame those fans who have tried desperately to raise awareness for several years when cracks began to appear... place the blame at the feet of those who were well aware all along of the potential pitfalls of just such a plan but continued to follow it even when it was no longer a financial necessity, like it ever really was...
By tweaking orbital parameters and running their model repeatedly, the team could make some statistical predictions about the car's future path.
«If — and it's a big if — that turns out to be the right avenue to go down, that could play into the models we use for our future climate predictions.»
This gives confidence in the predictions of the current generation of ice - sheet models which are used to forecast future ice loss from Antarctica and resulting sea - level rise.»
A step that could improve climate models A better understanding of how the atmosphere and the oceans communicate and exchange things like CO2 can also help improve climate models and predictions of the future.
To this end, he revisited Einstein's block universe with an eye toward developing a new model that keeps the best features — including experimentally confirmed predictions about how time is relative — while reinstating the notion that the present is fundamentally distinct from the past and the future.
Thus, Ellis» model of time retains enough of the block universe to match with relativity's predictions, but without needing to take Einstein's drastic last step of assuming that the fourth dimension is solidified into the infinite future.
The objective of these models would not be to provide a precise forecast of the future (an impossible task), but rather to capture enough of the behavior of the educational system to make useful qualitative predictions.
The researchers then used a mathematical model that combined the conflict data with temperature and rainfall projections through 2050 to come up with predictions about the likelihood of climate - related violence in the future.
The team can also use that satellite data to fine - tune their model's predictions for magma overpressure in the future.
The method combines a model for systems such as weather or climate with real - world data points to develop predictions about the future.
He hopes the model will be useful for future predictions along these lines, such as looking at pathways of disease progression.
But Young is concerned that the model's flexibility means it won't make specific enough predictions for future work to test it.
The scientists say that baseline data they collected and modeling predictions are important for comparative studies, especially if significant changes in amphibian health status or climatic conditions are encountered in the future.
«A challenge for the coming years is to use these kinds of climate models to be able to make predictions about populations and ecosystems in the future.
Why are you dubious about the possibility of a centralized model (or group of models) to create accurate predictions about the future?
«We see a lot of species» distributions really start to wink out after about 50 years, but it is tricky to look at future predictions because we will have a lot of habitat loss predicted using our models,» McGuire said.
«Given the promise shown by the research and the ever increasing computing power, numerical prediction of hailstorms and warnings issued based on the model forecasts, with a couple of hours of lead time, may indeed be realized operationally in a not - too - distant future, and the forecasts will also be accompanied by information on how certain the forecasts are.»
A new integrated climate model developed by Oak Ridge National Laboratory and other institutions is designed to reduce uncertainties in future climate predictions as it bridges Earth systems with energy and economic models and large - scale human impact data.
A new integrated computational climate model developed to reduce uncertainties in future climate predictions marks the first successful attempt to bridge Earth systems with energy and economic models and large - scale human impact data.
He begins by highlighting the evidence of North Carolina's salt marshes because they are a storyline from the past — a period that state lawmakers seem to be emphasizing over future predictions developed by computer models.
«The study provides more realistic modeling estimates of how much vegetation change will occur over the 21st century and will allow better predictions of future climate change,» she said.
A drop in CO2 due to the burial of organic carbon in the Late Ordovician is the exact opposite of what is happening now as massive amounts of CO2 are being released; yet, understanding how the historic events occurred can help with future models and predictions, Macleod said.
The paleoclimate data, which included mainly changes in the oxygen isotopes of the calcium carbonate deposits, were then compared to similar records from other caves, ice cores, and sediment records as well as model predictions for water availability in the Middle East and west central Asia today and into the future.
His model also makes specific predictions about the effect these clouds will have on the planet's climate and the types of information that future telescopes, like the James Webb Space Telescope, will be able to gather.
As can be seen your graph, our climate models make a wide range of predictions (perhaps 0.5 - 5 degC, a 10-fold uncertainty) about how much «committed warming» will occur in the future under any stabilization scenario, so we don't seem to have a decent understanding of these processes.
JILA's results, notably the effects of molecular collisions, need to be included in future atmospheric and combustion model predictions, according to the paper.
Kuhn, from Germany's Alfred Wegener Institute, added, «This gives confidence in the predictions of the current generation of ice sheet models which are used to forecast future ice loss from Antarctica and resulting sea - level rise.»
Future modeling of these processes may lead to improved glacial outburst flood hazard predictions.
Oppenheimer and his co-authors use a technique known as «structured expert judgment» to put an actual value on the uncertainty that scientists studying climate change have about a particular model's prediction of future events such as sea - level rise.
Finally it is not true, as implied on Page 12, that «sole reliance on models to the exclusion of observed behavior» is the basis of future climate prediction.
The prediction of a future appearance is based on computer models of the cluster, which describe the various paths the divided light is taking through the maze of clumpy dark matter in the galactic grouping.
In no models or predictions of future warming scenarios does the Antarctic ice mass melt to any significant extent.
In addition, atmospheric scientist Dr. Hendrik Tennekes, a scientific pioneer in the development of numerical weather prediction and former director of research at The Netherlands» Royal National Meteorological Institute, recently compared scientists who promote computer models predicting future climate doom to unlicensed «software engineers.»
The kinder, gentler model from the Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research in the United Kingdom estimated a wetter, warmer future: Rainfall may increase 20 percent to 25 percent, mean annual temperatures could increase 2 degrees Fahrenheit by 2030 and 4 degrees by 2100.
The extra data spanning many thousands of years that this study uncovers will go a long way to matching model projections with past observations, helping scientists identify the most accurate models for making predictions of future climate change.
For large animals, like hippo and buffalo, their sensitivity to change — especially with predictions of more frequent and prolonged drought — means they don't do well in any of the future scenarios modelled by the park's scientific teams.
Further, these machine learning based results can be used to validate the climate models so we have confidence in the future predictions of these models.
They use climate models to understand likely changes in the future and the uncertainty associated with those predictions, and explain their findings using such popular indicates as the Palmer drought index.
This concept model not only previews a new design language for Infiniti, but also offers up predictions for how an innovative VC - Turbo powertrain and next - level autonomous drive technologies could be implemented in the future.
Each tool serves a different purpose: Mint is for budgeting, Personal Capital is for the investment side, Google Sheets is for tracking the history of my journey, and OnTrajectory models future growth predictions based on any number of factors.
You can find all sorts of predictions of expected future returns based on various factors, calculations, and models, but unfortunately, most of them point to a rate of return for both stocks and bonds in the next few years that is below historical averages.
These statistical models are very efficient at encapsulating existing information concisely and as long as things don't change much, they can provide reasonable predictions of future behaviour.
Make future predictions with models.
«Rather the focus must be upon the prediction of the probability distribution of the system s future possible states by the generation of ensembles of model solutions.
A warning to the skeptics — there are very obvious trends for most of the parameters, which accord with climate model predictions for a hotter drier future.