Speaking of which, if the government believes the market is dramatically mis - pricing
the future price of oil, should they not be buying up oil futures to provide windfall profits to taxpayers?
Not exact matches
I put more faith in
futures markets than in private sector and budgetary forecasts, but given the recent escalation
of oil prices, there is a reasonable chance
prices end up matching or exceeding the estimates in Budget 2016.
Steven Cook, senior fellow for Middle East and Africa Studies at the Council on Foreign Relations, said higher
oil prices lessen all the worries from 2015 and 2016 about the Saudi government's ability to maintain its commitments, but the consolidation
of power in the hands
of the Crown Prince also is significant for the market and investors as his reform program is widely regarded as critical for Saudi Arabia's
future prosperity.
When the company auctions that oilfield drill, for example, the goal is for its
pricing model to forecast demand in the near
future based on different factors, such as the
price of oil, leaving Ritchie Bros. less vulnerable to market surprises.
NEW YORK, April 24 -
Oil prices slipped on Tuesday as concerns the United States might reinstate sanctions against Iran faded somewhat, reducing worries about the
future of Iranian exports.
If you want to know what the break - even
price for new oilsands projects is (at least for the marginal project), look at the forecast
of future oil prices.
The
price of oil could then spike in the
future if the lower
oil production meets higher than expected demand.
«The business model
of an
oil and gas company in the
future is going to have to be built around the abundance model, where your returns are not going to be made by commodity
price increases,» says Munro.
Called the «value - investment ratio,» it assesses the minimum
oil price a project will need in order to throw off, far into the
future, Shell's desired level
of return.
«When we
price in $ 70 [per barrel]
oil, part
of that is
future supply continuity,» Kilduff explained.
But as we know,
oil prices and Canada's overall economy will have a strong impact on the city's growth in the
future, and the possible effects
of the
oil price drop were not factored into our calculations.
The Panel excluded any discussion
of the environmental impacts
of oil sands development, although they did allow the consideration
of increased
oil prices generated by the pipeline on the taxes and royalties associated with forecast
future oil sands production.
In light
of the tug -
of - war in the crude
oil space, where
prices have traded between the low $ 40s and low $ 50s since March, Cramer used the charts to try to foresee the commodity's
future.
The CEOs were divided on the
price of oil in the
future.
Sinclair attributes the higher
prices to a combination
of factors including «the effects
of the production cutbacks by OPEC and non-OPEC foreign producers finally kicked in, not to mention speculative money going into crude
oil futures.»
«The exports are what we need to focus on through the next 30 days,» Kloza, co-founder
of the
Oil Price Information Service, told CNBC's «
Futures Now» last week.
He is a Fellow at Columbia University's Center on Global Energy Policy and the author
of the forthcoming book «Missing OPEC: The History and
Future of Boom - Bust
Oil Prices,» from Columbia University Press, 2016.
It also helps to empty stockpiles by encouraging traders to sell
oil immediately, instead
of storing it to take advantage
of higher
prices in the
future.
The
future viability
of oil sands projects depends not just on your view
of world
oil prices — it depends just as much on how these factors evolve, in particular discounts to Canadian heavy products and the Canadian dollar.
It's even what the
oil companies want, for heaven's sake: Sustainable Prosperity, an Ottawa - based think - tank, recently surveyed 10 major energy companies, including Shell and Suncor, and found all
of them were already incorporating a «shadow carbon
price» into their decision - making, under the assumption they will contend with such regimes in the near
future.
The
Futures Now team discusses the
oil inventory dropping, and the
price of oil spiking more than 5 percent.
Brent crude, which is used to
price international varieties
of oil, was down 47 cents to $ 112.86 per barrel on the ICE
Futures exchange in London.
The
oil market remains in what's known as contango — with the
future price of crude trading at a higher level than today's spot
price.
CNBC's Jackie DeAngelis reports on commodities as several options and
futures contracts expire Friday, and the factors supporting the
price of oil.
Brent crude, used to
price international varieties
of oil, rose $ 1.33 to $ 108.02 per barrel on the ICE
Futures exchange in London.
And most experts think the loonie will stay low for the foreseeable
future, due to depressed
oil prices and the country's deteriorating terms
of trade.
Jason Kirby at Maclean's wrote about a fellow who foresaw the collapse
of oil prices and now predicts
future assessments
of current data will show the U.S. was in a recession at the start
of 2016.
The decline
of Venezuela's
oil production for the foreseeable
future has been assumed, and to a large extent, already
priced into the market.
But when policy - makers studied the data, their models foretold a dark
future from the collapse
of oil prices.
The Shanghai
oil futures contract is similarly designed to wrest some control over
pricing from the main benchmarks in New York and London — West Texas Intermediate (WTI) and Brent — and to promote the use
of the yuan, also known as the renminbi.
In short, the argument was based on a supply - driven analysis that weighed the sources
of future oil supply against the
prices that would -LSB-...]
Benchmark crude
futures contracts have in the past week wiped out the gains made since the end
of September when the Organization
of the Petroleum Exporting Countries said it would agree to cut
oil production to shore up persistently low
prices.
I ask this because some credible folks (well, Goldman Sachs is among them, but still...) have indicated that as much as 30 %
of the run - up in
oil prices is due to speculation on the
futures markets.
* I am indebted to James K. Galbraith for introducing me to the idea
of boundaries and phase changes as they may apply to economics and
oil prices in The End
of Normal: The Great Crisis and The
Future of Growth (2014).
If news breaks that a deal is in hand,
oil prices will sink on the expectation
of this
future volume, potentially dropping by $ 5 to $ 10 per barrel.
His justification for the delay was that uncertainty on the
future of oil prices made it difficult to plan his budget.
Oil prices rose on a drop in supply
of 1.1 million barrels, with West Texas Intermediate
futures jumping to $ 68.47 per barrel, a three - year high.
Weakness in the
price of oil hurt the stock's
price in 2015, but Forbes has predicted a bright
future for the company.
And that
future, more than any regulatory decision in either the United States or Canada, will depend on the
price of oil.
Gold
futures climbed the most in five months as a rally for
oil prices revived demand for the metal as a store
of value.
The reality is that no one really knows the
future of oil prices.
His excuse was that rapidly falling
oil prices were creating an unusual high degree
of uncertainty for budget planning and that he needed more time to assess the
future course
of oil prices and their impact on the economy.
These financial uncertainties are likely to retard consumer sentiment in the short run until market expectations both on the
future of oil prices and the housing market valuations stabilize.
The
futures are designed to reflect the
price of bitcoin without an investor having to physically hold the virtual currency, not unlike how
oil, gold, copper or cocoa
prices are determined by
futures contracts.
In the graph below, you can see that we may be in line for more
of the same, unless the market is wrong about
oil futures, since the Budget 2013 WTI forecast again lies above the
futures price.
Here it is worth mentioning that when
oil companies talk about the
price of oil, they are referring to the
price quoted on popular
futures exchanges —
prices which reflect only the
price of crude
oil itself.
The answer is pretty simple — given your view
of future oil prices, the costs
of building and operating the plant, -LSB-...]
Specifically, they relate spot West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude
oil price to: the U.S. dollar exchange rate versus a basket
of developed market currencies; Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) return; U.S. short - term interest rate; the S&P 500 options - implied volatility index (VIX); and, open interest in the NYMEX crude
oil futures (as an indication
of financialization
of the
oil market).
So, in order to hedge against that risk, a supplier
of oil may wish to gain some insulation from the
price swings inherent to
oil and sell a
futures contract.
When investors buy a large quantity
of futures, that drives up the
price for
oil delivery in the
future, which eventually causes the
price of oil itself to rise.