The is what the market believes
the future volatility of the stock will be, and the market expresses it's opinion by increasing (higher volatility) or decreasing (lower volatility) the premium of the option.
The is what the market believes
the future volatility of the stock will be, and the market expresses it's opinion by increasing (higher volatility) or decreasing (lower volatility) the premium of the option.
Not exact matches
Cboe, one
of the companies offering Bitcoin
futures trading, also has
futures trading on
stock market
volatility, for example.
Important factors that may affect the Company's business and operations and that may cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward - looking statements include, but are not limited to, operating in a highly competitive industry; changes in the retail landscape or the loss
of key retail customers; the Company's ability to maintain, extend and expand its reputation and brand image; the impacts
of the Company's international operations; the Company's ability to leverage its brand value; the Company's ability to predict, identify and interpret changes in consumer preferences and demand; the Company's ability to drive revenue growth in its key product categories, increase its market share, or add products; an impairment
of the carrying value
of goodwill or other indefinite - lived intangible assets;
volatility in commodity, energy and other input costs; changes in the Company's management team or other key personnel; the Company's ability to realize the anticipated benefits from its cost savings initiatives; changes in relationships with significant customers and suppliers; the execution
of the Company's international expansion strategy; tax law changes or interpretations; legal claims or other regulatory enforcement actions; product recalls or product liability claims; unanticipated business disruptions; the Company's ability to complete or realize the benefits from potential and completed acquisitions, alliances, divestitures or joint ventures; economic and political conditions in the United States and in various other nations in which we operate; the
volatility of capital markets; increased pension, labor and people - related expenses;
volatility in the market value
of all or a portion
of the derivatives we use; exchange rate fluctuations; risks associated with information technology and systems, including service interruptions, misappropriation
of data or breaches
of security; the Company's ability to protect intellectual property rights; impacts
of natural events in the locations in which we or the Company's customers, suppliers or regulators operate; the Company's indebtedness and ability to pay such indebtedness; the Company's ownership structure; the impact
of future sales
of its common
stock in the public markets; the Company's ability to continue to pay a regular dividend; changes in laws and regulations; restatements
of the Company's consolidated financial statements; and other factors.
In their October 2009 paper entitled «Risk Sentiment Index (RSI) and Market Anomalies», Guy Kaplanski and Haim Levy introduce the Risk Sentiment Index (RSI) as a measure
of the residual risk contained in VIX after accounting for the statistical and economic variables most predictive
of future stock market
volatility (such as previous month actual
volatility and VIX).
In their May 2006 paper entitled «The Relation between Time - Series and Cross-Sectional Effects
of Idiosyncratic Variance on
Stock Returns in G7 Countries», Hui Guo and Robert Savickas investigate why the realized idiosyncratic
volatility (beta)
of individual
stocks correlates negatively with
future returns — why there is a penalty instead
of a reward for this apparent risk.
Stock market crashes are synonymous with fear,
volatility and pain while they should be thought
of as a half - off sale and opportunities for those investors that are going to be net savers for the foreseeable
future.
In his October 2012 paper entitled «Time - Varying Relationship
of News Sentiment, Implied
Volatility and
Stock Returns», Lee Smales investigates relationships among aggregate unscheduled firm - specific news sentiment, changes in the S&P 500 Implied
Volatility Index (VIX) and both contemporaneous and
future S&P 500 Index returns.
Most worrying
of all are the ETFs which sell
volatility futures: implicitly leveraged and roughly five times more volatile than the
stock market.
The movement
of this wave demonstrates changing trader expectations
of the
futures stock market
volatility.
Stock market
futures dropped after the news, a sign that the markets will experience
volatility on Wednesday as investors see the odds
of a trade war as increasingly likely.
«Not only doesn't a
stock's past price
volatility serve as a good indicator
of future profitability, it doesn't tell you something much more important - how much you can lose.
The idea is that this tendency leads to a preference for lottery - like
stocks with a small chance
of a very high payoff, and this preference, in turn, drives up the prices
of high
volatility stocks disproportionately, suggesting
future underperformance.
In the absence
of access to leverage, investors may overpay for high
volatility stocks in an attempt to increase risk in their portfolios, potentially leading lower
volatility stocks to become more attractively valued and outperform in the
future.
An Analysis
of the Implications for
Stock and
Futures Price
Volatility of Program Trading and Dynamic Hedging Strategies: Sanford J. Grossman.
With
futures, there is no assumption about the
volatility of an underlying
stock.
Their appeal is not only their non-correlation (or even negative correlation) with other parts
of the portfolio, but their surprisingly low
volatility: as a group, managed
futures tend to have lower standard deviation and smaller drawdowns than both
stocks and commodities.
If the things that made you buy the
stock in the first place are all still true, don't let market
volatility cloud your view
of what makes the company successful and will probably continue to do so in the
future.
Lottery
stocks are defined as having negative returns between the maximum daily return and
future returns, expected
stock - specific skewness (relatively less symmetry in returns), relatively lower prices, a high predicted probability
of jackpot (extremely large) returns and high
volatility.
Looking toward the
future, Langerman said, «The silver lining in all
of the recent market
volatility is that
stocks are at levels where we are finding some attractive opportunities, both in the U.S. and internationally.
Since we are talking about using the past
volatility of a
stock to predict its
future return, the failure
of the risk - return trade - off may be because
volatility reverses.
It is highly questionable whether further
stock portfolio refinements will actually ever yield better
future results in term
of either lower
volatility or higher returns.
For implied
volatility it is okey to use Black and scholes but what to do with the historical
volatility which carry the effect
of past prices as a predictor
of future prices.And then precisely the conditional historical
volatility.i suggest that you must go with the process like, for
stock returns 1) first download
stock prices into excel sheet 2) take the natural log
of (P1 / po) 3) calculate average
of the sample 4) calculate square
of (X-Xbar) 5) take square root
of this and you will get the standard deviation
of your required data.
Volume Determination in
Stock and
Stock Index
Futures Markets: An Analysis
of Arbitrage and
Volatility Effects
In the November 2013 version
of his paper entitled «Dynamic Asset Allocation Strategies Based on Unexpected
Volatility», Valeriy Zakamulin investigates the ability of unexpected stock market volatility to predict future marke
Volatility», Valeriy Zakamulin investigates the ability
of unexpected
stock market
volatility to predict future marke
volatility to predict
future market returns.
The beta measures the past
volatility of the
stock and has no bearing on what the
stock does in the
future.
Many traders are moving out
of stocks,
futures, and equities to invest in the Forex market, because
of it's high
volatility and high liquidity.
Stock traders who have been using approaches that assume low -
volatility conditions will persist indefinitely (e.g., shorting VIX
futures, selling option premium, or simply increasing long position size) need to be prepared for a changing
of the market guard — or risk getting crushed when
volatility doesn't immediately retreat after its next upward spike.
Is the term structure
of CBOE
Volatility Index (VIX)
futures useful for timing the underlying
stock index?
Does identification
of trends in the CBOE
Volatility Index (VIX) via simple moving averages (SMA) support effective timing
of the U.S.
stock market or VIX
futures exchange - traded notes (ETN)?
AMN show that the majority
of stock market
volatility is generated by the learning process around the
future growth rate in fundamentals, such as dividends.
For example, with the
stock portion
of your portfolio, you might choose to balance higher -
volatility stocks with those that have historically been more stable (though past performance is no guarantee
of future results).
In other words, investors can use single
stock futures in place
of stock to speculate or hedge against
volatility risk
of a particular
stock.